The Obama Transition Part Four

The New York Times: Reports on the transition period between Bush 43 and the next President. The article points out the paths the two candidates have chosen, but lets be honest, its going to be Obama. The Liberal Times reports that Obama is thinking of placing ex Senator Tom Daschle as his Chief of Staff, the Times of London reported that Senators Kerry could be Secretary of State and Senator Clinton would take the Health Post in a Obama Cabinet. If a President Elect Obama goes down this road he will be making the same mistakes that another President did, that being Clinton. The best first term team was the Reagan Team, they pushed the President's Agenda through, it was when the team left in the second term that Reagan had problems, Iran - Contra. A President Obama cant have that many senators around, they all think they should be President, Obama does not have a record lets be honest, is really going argue Foreign Policy with Kerry, Health Policy with Clinton. This is novel idea, what about Bill Clinton for Chief of Staff, allow him to correct the mistakes of his first transition. Also it would make the Clintons happy, also Obama could keep any eye on both of them, lets be honest Obama will be the new rock star, that will ruffle the Clinton feathers. Also if Obama wins re - election the chance of the Clintons going back to the White House are zero. If that is a to bold of move for Obama what about James Baker, Reagan's First Chief of Staff and Treasury Secretary and Secretary of State.

Biden on Obama by McCain

Its taken the McCain Campaign time to use the Biden remarks against Obama. Its an effective Ad but to late. The polls are what they are, its going to be Obama in that Oval Office, not good idea to undermine the next President. As a political Ad great but far to late, far to late.

Weekend Polls

Lets have a look at some of the polls folks. There are many, but here is a selection that I think have the 08 race about right.

Gallup: Reports that their Likely Voter Poll; the methodology based on those that have voted and will vote; finds a 5% lead for Obama. The Poll finds the following, Obama 50% - McCain 45%. As my prediction is a six percent win for Obama this polls tracks with this view, also those polls that Obama in double digits lead I don't believe. Lets all say two words New Hampshire. A five to six point win for Obama would be good and would give him a mandate to push through his policies. Also it has to be asked now many voters are telling the pollsters what they think the right answer is but might vote in a different manner in ballot box.

IBD/TIPP: Reports a 4% lead for Obama over McCain. The poll finds the following, Obama 46% - McCain 42%. Why do I think Obama will not win in double digits, the spread the wealth comment has not helped, the concern about his national security record, this connections to a domestic Marxist - anarchist terrorist, his racist ex pastor, the voter fraud of ACORN. Also lets be honest you cant discount the Bradley Effect in till you see some real votes. Lets hope the Bradley Effect in wrong, this writer would rather Obama win by double digits than have the Bradley Effect. I think the Obama Campaign would be happy with a five to six point win and a Democratic Congress.

Become Joe

Another great Ad by the McCain Campaign. The USA voter wants the American Dream, work hard and make life better for himself and his family. We are Joe's in some respect. DO YOU WANT THE GOVERNMENT TO SPREAD YOUR WEALTH. VOTE McCain.

Pennsylvania Part Two

CNN: Reports that the Democratic Governor of Pennsylvania, Ed Rendell wants Obama back in the state. If the Obama Campaign cant trust the lead in the state, then any state is at risk of going Republican. The Obama Campaign wants a historic win, thus Pennsylvania is in the tank for Obama. The Obama Campaign wants to win a lot of red states, thus making 2008 like 1980 victory of Ronald Reagan. Its up to the Democratic Machine in the state to make sure they get their votes out, the reason the Democrats want Obama back in the state is down to dollars. They want Obama to spend money on a state that he is going to win easily. The last Republican to win the state was Bush 41. The Obama Campaign is following the correct strategy to win big in November.

1% lead for Obama

IBD/TIPP: Reports on their new Poll, this finds Obama leading by 1%. The poll finds the following, Obama 45% - McCain 44%. This and yesterday's AP poll are the only ones that show such a close race. My Prediction still stands for this race. The arrival of Joe the Plumber was to late, Obama has convinced the voters that he will cut their taxes and also give every one in the United States Health Care. The McCain Campaign could not have for seen the economic 9/11. The American Middle Class want a tax and also more important they have fallen for the liberal line that the USA needs to be liked abroad. Thus they will vote for Obama and Europe will like them again, that will change when a Obama Administrations ask for more troops for Afghanistan.

Pennsylvania and the 08 Race

Fox News: Reports that the state of Pennsylvania could be play in the 08 race, according to the Fox Report the Obama Campaign has Obama only ahead by two percent in the State. The Obama Campaign has not been helped by Representative John Murtha who has called his state racist and full of rednecks, it should be noted that the redneck was meant as a form of apology by Murtha. As a political geek this will be fun state to watch, as we have the public polls which Obama is well ahead, the latest Poll has Obama ahead by twelve percent. Also the private Obama Poll has him ahead by 2%. It can be postulated that if Obama wins big here as the polls suggest then we will see a massive victory for Obama in the popular vote and electoral college. If by some Act of God McCain should win, expect a very long night. Obama will win but it will be a narrow win, if Obama should lose Pennsylvania expect him to win Ohio. Lets hope its not a long night, its been a very long election.