Thursday, February 13, 2020

Is this the end for VP Biden? - US 2020 Election


Lets Get Real:

Biden has had two bad showings, the question is will the African - American vote stand with him in S C, in the latest poll he support has dropped by half, the voters will see that he is wounded and wonder can he get the white vote even if black Americans stand by him.  In one regard he is lucky, Mayor Pete gets around ZERO support from African American voters, Senator Klobuchar is gets minus zero.   The next stage is Nevada, it is a caucus State, one only hopes that the Nevada Democratic Party has its voting structure in place and it works, no one wants another Iowa, well the exception of POTUS.  The question is can Sanders pull off a victory, can Mayor Pete start to get the ethnic vote and is Nevada the last hope for Senator Warren.  

Tuesday, February 11, 2020

Sanders takes Pole position in new Poll - US Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

If Biden crashes and burns again after Iowa there will be serious questions about his candidacy, he was meant to be the vote getter, if he can not win in areas like Iowa and New Hampshire, what are his chances in the fly over States.  The main camp to be worried will be the Warren camp, she is a Senator in the neighbouring State, it would be expected that she would get some voters from that, as voters would get the TV from the neighbouring State.  If Sanders wins then the Democratic Establishment might look to Mayor Bloomberg to take him on, as he has billions, let's face it, he could buy most States if he wanted.  The question is can Sanders or Bloomberg get the black vote, as to be elected POTUS they need African American votes.  It seems Mayor Pete is a no go with African American voters, as the men it seems have a problem with the fact that Pete is gay, there is not a lot he can do about that, also he is married.

Trump gets the CASH IN for the General Election - US 2020 Election


Lets Get Real:

While the Democrats are in to trenches of NH as to gain more votes.  A recent poll of  NH voters has Sanders on 29% and Mayor Pete on 22% The Trump Campaign is getting the money in for the November General Election.  The Democrats will vote tomorrow in New Hampshire, the FINAL Iowa result ( will it ever be finally ) has Mayor Pete winning followed by Santor Sanders, both candidates have asked for a recount in selected areas, as they think that the will gain in % stake, and Biden way back in the poll.  IF that is the result then both Sanders and Mayor Pete can claim a win, the Mayor Pete camp will argue that the election was tied in Iowa and Pete is the moderate to beat not Biden.   As for Biden, if he comes in 4th or 5th then question will be asked about his campaign, is time up for Joe, has his chance passed by in 2016?

Monday, February 10, 2020

Doctor Who Review - Can You Hear Me? - Arts


Lets Get Real:

This episode had a message, but it was well done by using what makes human fear when they dream.  The Doctor took on an Immortal, who used the fears of human to keep his partner alive.   The Doctor saw her Tardis family having their worst nightmares, also the Doctor visited Aleppo Syria in 1380, and discovered humans can create the worse dreams themselves and not need reality to add to it.   The message of the show was the need to talk to others if you have mental health problems, that it is nothing to be scared off.  Just do not ask the Doctor to be your shrink, still not good at the inter- personnel relationships.  Next week Lordy Byron and his famous challenge to create a horror story for all time. 

Friday, February 07, 2020

New CNN Poll for New Hampshire - NH Part 3 - 2020 US Election

CNN Politics: Reports on its latest poll for New Hampshire,  " Senator Sanders 24%, Mayor Pete 20%, VP Biden 17%..."

Lets Get Real:

The Bidne campaign will be hoping that VP Biden comes out firing with good lines in the debate tonight, he needs a moment when he can show he is the front runner, he can not afford another average performance or a poor show.   The former VP needs to go after Mayor Pete as to young and Sanders as to LEFT WING, he needs funny lines, like Reagan's put down of Walter Mondale in 1984.  Thus the VP needs to be in the top two after Tuesday, anything else and he will have to win Nevada, another caucus State ( God help us )   

Is Biden FINISHED in 2020? - NH Part 2 - 2020 US Election


Lets Get Real:

The Biden campaign lowered expectations for the early States. in this they were right, the point of a campaign is to beat expectations, in that the Biden campaign is failing badly, if Biden comes in 4th in New Hampshire there will be questions if Biden is up to taking on Trump in November.   The firewall for Biden is SC, the majority back vote is supporting him,he was Obama's loyal VP for eight years, the question is how deep is the black vote for Biden, will they see him as needing their support or will they go to someone else, NH and Nevada could make or break Biden.

Sanders just Leads Mayor Pete in New Hampshire Poll - NH - 2020 Election

Boston Globe: Reports on a new poll that shows that Mayor Pete is surging in New Hampshire, just behind Senator Sanders, " Sanders held steady at 24 percent, while Buttigieg nipped at his heels with 23 percent. Biden slipped to 11 percent, below Warren’s 13 percent."

Lets Get Real:

The Iowa results are in, it was a tie between Mayor Pete and Senator Sanders, with the Mayor just ahead by half a %.  The question for NH voters is simple, do they think that Biden is DONE, the moderate lane has been taken over by the Mayor and if the can carry on the success of Iowa he would have taken the first two States of the Democratic race, while if Sanders wins he will have won Iowa with the Mayor and NH.   VP Biden has to refresh his act, he can not afford another 4th place finish, will his firewall in SC last, if the African American voters see that Biden is a no hopper against Trump in November.   There is a debate tonight, let's recall Reagan's famous line at a debate in NH " I paid for this microphone Mr Green ", that made him the nominee, it can be argued even President.  Will the VP match that level, one does not have much hope in that area.