Tuesday, November 27, 2018

The PM in Northern Ireland and Wales - Brexit Update - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

This blog does not see the point of the PM going to Northern Ireland and Wales, they are not the problem, it is the House of Commons.   Let's be clear, Northern Ireland voted to remain in the EU, while Wales voted out ( thank goodness for South Wales ).   Thus we have two weeks of a phony political campaign, the PM will try to sell her deal around the UK, while it is a dead on arrival in the House of Commons.   The PM has challenged Jeremy Corbyn the Labour Leader to a debate, that will be the most boring thing on earth, neither are great on TV, also Corbyn has not read the Withdrawal Agreement thus far.   HAS ANYONE but the PM!! There are rumours of secret meetings between Cabinet Ministers who want a Plan B, that will come out after the Deal is voted down in the House.   Of course the defeat could lead to a Conservative leadership contest, that could take two weeks.  At December will not be boring, well not if your a political geek. 

President Trump is CRITICAL of Ronald Reagan - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

President Trump is not worthy to shine the Golf Shoes of President Reagan.   President Reagan had to deal with Democratic House throughout his two terms as President, and then deal with a Democratic Senate in his last two years.  The Gipper could make DEALS, he worked with the Democrats, he cut government spending, he had a major tax cut, the next one of that scale was by Trump,  he then increased defence spending, to such levels that the old USSR could not match it, he used American power Lebanon and Grenada, he showed the US was back after Vietnam.  The Gipper called out the Soviet Union by calling it the " Evil Empire "  In the 2nd term he had summits with President Gorbachev of the USSR, their Summits ended the Cold War, and lead within a few years to the fall of the USSR itself.   On the domestic front Reagan and the Democrats reformed taxes, and showed that the White House could work with a Democratic Hill.   As for Presidente Trump he has not won a 2nd term, he has been far to friendly with Putin of Russia, he thinks he can deal with North Korea, and his tone as President has not been Presidential.  President Trump will be lucky not to get impeached next year.   Ronald Reagan was a GREAT President, his VP won in 1988, neither Bill Clinton or President Obama could get the Democratic nominee after them elected. 

Monday, November 26, 2018

PM May in the House of Commons - Brexit Update 3 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The Daily Mail has been very supportive the PM, but even they can see the writing on the wall, the UK-EU Deal is dead on arrival, so what is the point of the PR campaign by the PM.   The article reports that the No 10 will try to get Labour MPs to support the Deal, good luck with that, even Labour Hard Brexit supporters have stated they will oppose the deal, why take the heat of supporting something if it is going nowhere.   On the whole is must be boring for the reporters, the next two weeks will not change the result, of course the PM could be going for a 2nd House of Commons vote, that might work if the Markets fold, but that is a great gamble, like the rest of the UK voters this blog just wants it OVER. 

What if the May's Brexit Plan fails? - Brexit Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Well the above is  NON ANSWER, will the PM go back to the EU, will she resign, will she do a deal with the other Parties, or will she call an election.  One is starting to suspect that No 10 is starting to believe its own press statements, that is NOT GOOD in political terms.   So lets see the options, if the PM was crafty she would go for a No Deal Brexit, that would frighten the Opposition Parties and the hard remainers in the Conservative Party.   If the PM followed that route then the Aces would be held by her, the EU would come running for a deal, and the Opposition Parties would be forced to deal.  The question is the PM a  good politician, if the General Election is anything to go by then the answer is NO, she is no Lady Thatcher. 

PM May on her Brexit Deal - Brexit Update 1 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The UK/EU Withdrawal Agreement and the Political declaration on the future relationship will not PASS the House of Commons.   Thus the question what is the point, this blog can not see the political master plan that gets the House of Commons to pass the deal.   However much the PM goes on the road to sell the deal it will not pass, most of the press is against it, even those considered loyal to the Government.  One theory is that that PM May wants the economic markets to crash and then bring the agreement back to the House of Commons, but what if that does not happen, it has been suggested that the markets might take time to react.  Of course the question is will the PM be leader if she loses her vote in the House of Commons, are we going to have a leadership contest, that could take a couple of weeks.   One just wishes that Brexit was finished, one way or another, we shall the result of March 29 2019. 

Doctor Who Review - The Witchfinders


Lets Get Real:

This was a fine historical episode, but as the Doctor pointed out when she was a bloke she did not have to put up with been talked down too, of course when it's King James 1 it must irk the Time Lord more.  The episode starting with the Doctor and the companions thinking they were going to the coronation of  Queen Elizabeth 1, of course the TARDIS is not playing ball, one gets the impression that the TARDIS is not too happy with a female Doctor, she was the only long standing woman in the Doctor's life, watch the Doctor's Wife for more details.  The Tardis crew found themselves in the early 17th Century and Witch trials, the Doctor could not save a suspected witch, this new series shows that the Doctor can not save everyone.    It was fun to see the TARDIS crew join up with the King, it was fun to see the King have the hots for one of the companions ( the King was gay ) also talking down to the Doctor, that does not happen often, even King's outrank Time Lords.   It was also excellent to see that the Doctor did not have the solution at first, it took time, it makes for a more interesting Doctor, some of them have had a God Complex.   The Doctor was nearly drowned by the King as he saw her as a witch, but they short of formed an alliance to defeat the alien threat, and it was alien threat.  A must see episode, the Doctor and the crew were excellent as usual, but the guest starts nearly stole the show, more of King James 1 please. 

Thursday, November 22, 2018

UK - EU Draft Agreement on the future relationship - Brexit Update - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The showing in the House of Commons this afternoon shows that the Conservative MPs will not support the agreement, that also goes for the Labour Party, DUP, and other Parties.   Thus the question WHY is the PM forcing the issue, it has been suggested by this blog and others that the PM expects the deal to be defeated at the first attempt in the House of Commons but will come back when the markets crash and dare the House of Commons to reject it for a 2nd time.   This is a very risky move.  The Speaker showed his hand by allowing critics of the PM to have a majority of the time at the start, so the Government can not expect any help there.    As a Conservative this blog does not believe in revolution or anything drastic, thus with major concerns this blog will support the DEAL.   After March 2019 the Conservative Government under a Brexit leader can have another look at the agreement, better to take a half loaf now than no loaf.   God only knows what Churchill or Thatcher would have made of this mess. 

Read the Future Deal here: