Syrian - Turkish War ? - Syrian Update

Telegraph:  Reports that the Turkish Parliament has approved " ...approved military operations against targets in Syria following the deaths of five Turkish citizens from Syrian shelling. "

Lets Get Real:

This could be the October surprise of US elections folks, what if Turkey, a NATO member gets dragged in to a War with Syria, thus the US and President Obama would have no choice but to support its close ally.   While Iran would be supporting the Assad Regime.  The US left would go bonkers should POTUS after Libya get the US in to another War.   That could have been the reason that Obama was off his game at the 1st Presidential Debate.   Also when it comes to the Presidential debate of foreign affairs the Oval could be dealing with the growing perception in the US that the Oval covered up the terrorist attack on the US Consulate in Libya and that Obama is weak over Iran, that he has thrown Israel under the bus and he has not take clear action in Syria, thus the chance of a Syrian - Turkish War. Well President Obama wanted the job, the World does not rest for US Elections. 

Romney WINS 1st Debate - US Election 2012

BBC News: Reports that Governor Romney won the first of the US Presidential Debates of 2012.

Lets Get Real: 

It was interesting folks, as this blog has called the election for Obama it was more interested in what a 2nd Obama term would look like, thus my tweets of last night, in doing so this blog missed something, its how the Candidates appeared before the voters.   Thus while this blog had Romney winning the debate on substance it did not really take in to account the manner of either candidate.    Thus this blog fell in to 1960s trap, let me explain, those that listened to the 1960 debate between Kennedy and Nixon thought Nixon had won on substance, but of course it was the start of the TV age, and Kennedy won on PR.   Thus as mentioned by commentators Romney looked happy to be there, up for a fight, while POTUS wished he was anywhere else.  It showed.   This blog still thinks Obama is going to WIN, but it will be narrow, and there will be no mandate, just a 2nd term.  It was a good show by Romney if to late, it might help in Congressional races, the 2nd debate should be fun folks, Obama can not afford another bad debate. 

The Polls before the 1st Debate - US Election

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): In its daily tracking poll it finds that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 49% to 47%.  A 2%.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports in its daily tracking poll that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 49% to 45%.  A 4% lead.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks POTUS has a lead of between 2% to 4%.   It will be interesting to see if the 1st debate secures that lead, or extends it, or even in national polls brings the Candidates closer.   Given the economic mess of the Obama years the Republican ticket should have been miles ahead, also they should have expected the tough Campaign by Team Obama.  As  the Romney/Ryan ticked failed on both counts it is no surprise that they will lose, these debates as sideshows, the game is over, but they are fun to watch.   It is nice to put OUR leaders on the spot, make them sweat a bit, lets face it folks, US voters do not have much fun these days. 

1st Presidential Debate of 2012 - US Election

BBC News: Reports on the build up to the first Presidential Debate of 2012 between President Obama and Governor Romney.  

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks we come to last major event of the US Election cycle, the winner of the 1st Presidential Debate, as this blog has already called this election for President Obama it can be objective about the winner.   Both sides in the race have told the Media that their candidates can barely walk and speak as to lower expectations.   Thus the argument is that as long as the candidates do not fall off the Stage or start to speak Russian they have had a good night.    This blog will tweet the debate that starts after 2am UK time.    On the whole it can be predicted as the Candidates have had tons of prep that it will be draw.   There are examples from recent history of debates that have changed the race, in 1976 President Ford stated that Eastern Europe was not under the control of the USSR, bad mistake, that was tough clean up job for the Ford Campaign, in 1980 Reagan just had to look Presidential, in 1984 against former VP Walter Mondale the age issue came up, Reagan took Mondale down with a joke.  In 1992 Bush 41 looked like he was bored with a debate when he looked at his watch.   In 2000 then VP Al Gore gave the impression that he was less than impress with Bush 43, the voters were not impressed.    Thus in less either Candidate makes a major mistake it should be a draw, even boring, lets see how it turns out. 

12 Million Jobs over 4 Years - Romney/Biden Advert

Lets Get Real: 

This is a good advert by Governor Romney, a promise to create 12 million jobs over four years.   The problems is the candidate, there is no passion, even fake passion would be nice, the Republicans need a large that life character next time around.   The need someone who can skip the liberal main stream media and connects to the voter.   The Obama team have defined Romney as a rich guy out of touch with main street, not true, but politics is about selling a message, the truth gets thrown out of the window.   Poor Governor Romney. 

Romney and China - Obama/Biden TV Advert

Lets Get Real:

Easy message folks, business IS BAD, therefore Romney is bad.  Of course the advert does not mention that POTUS has been in power for four years, what has he done about CHINA, bugger all, the Democrats will forget this message after this Campaign.   Its low, and not in the real world, but very effective, thus Obama 2nd term.   The Republicans failed to play hard ball with Obama, thus the Chicago Obama Team defined Romney before he could define himself.   That is the Chicago way folks, low but they WIN. 

Obama and Foreign Policy - Romney Super Pac

Lets Get Real: 

This is hard hitting advert folks, it seeks to define POTUS as more interested in talking to the US voter via light TV shows, and not dealing with terrorists threats to the US.    The Republican Super Pacs have really failed to nail Obama, so many weak points and they missed the board.   Thus the reason that POTUS will get his 2nd term.   The only benefit for Republicans is the fact that Nixon, Reagan, Clinton, Bush 43 had troubled 2nd terms.