Sunday, December 16, 2007

The Democratic Race for President

Lets have a quick look at the polls for the early states voting, Iowa by an RCP Average has Obama ahead by 3.5 %, looking at the polls over all in Iowa VIEWS is going to name Obama the winner in Iowa. Next the firewall for Hillary Clinton, New Hampshire, this one is harder to call, RCP on Average has Clinton leading by 3 %, if Obama can win Iowa by a good margin, then he can win N.H. In this state Obama is lucky Independents can vote in either the Democratic or Republican Primary, depends if the good people don't vote as they did in 2000 for McCain then they will vote for Obama on Election Day. This is a close call but VIEWS has Obama winning New Hampshire. Then on to Michigan, well the Clinton Campaign should be happy, the RCP Average has Clinton ahead by 23 %, but should Obama win the first two states, can Clinton keep the lead here, yes it would take a miracle for her to lose Michigan, so Michigan for Clinton. The same goes for Nevada, another Clinton win in less Obama can run the field. Then on to South Carolina this could finish Hillary Clinton, RCP Average is only 2.2 % ahead for Clinton and if Obama can move the African - American vote he should be able to win this state. Then Florida, this should be a win for Hillary in less Obama runs the field again.

Here is VIEWS prediction, early and could be very wrong, but just a gut instinct, Obama will be the nominee for the Democrats.

Bill Clinton Again !!

New York Times: It seems that Bill Clinton is losing the plot, yet again he his having a go at the experience of Senator Obama, lets be honest Bill Clinton has wanted to be President since he took his first breath, so the argument that someone par a Clinton has not enough experience does not wash, time to send Bill Clinton on a long holiday trip, get him out the way during the election. DOES BILL WANT HILLARY TO WIN ! !

Massachusetts Press Support

Boston Globe: The newspaper form the home state of Governor Romney supports Obama for the Democrats and McCain for the Republicans. Its odd that the newspaper did not support the candidate from its own state, but its a Liberal Newspaper.

Iowa Press Support

DesMoinesRegister: The State Paper supports Clinton for the Democrats and McCain for the Republicans, one point McCain has his eye on N.H, cant see this helping much, it will help Hillary Clinton, tied or just behind Obama. Are the Elite Media playing games, an endorsement that really helps Clinton but on the Republican side, a support that does nothing for the game on the ground.

Handover in Iraq

The UK has handover Basra Province to the Iraqi government, in the end our brave Service Personnel did their best in a bad situation, but I wonder did we help the people of Basra. We never had enough troops, but if this prevents the loss of another Soldier then so let it be, we can be proud of our Armed Forces. The BBC see what it wants to see, troops out of Iraq, in the years to come the first people to complain should events on the ground go bad will be the BBC.

Friday, December 14, 2007

Clinton Dirty Pool Part Two

Its an old political game, point out a problem, and if a fuss say sorry; Hillary Clinton has said sorry for the actions of her aide; but the story is out, in this case the past drug use of Senator Obama, he has been very honest about his past mistakes, but the Clinton Machines is in trouble thus its dirty pool time, it should be recalled that the Clinton machine play dirty, they win, so the Obama Campaign should look for more dirty pool from the Hillary Clinton Campaign. The Clinton's think they have a divine right to the Presidency. Lets hope the good people of Iowa show that the Presidency requires their votes. Lets hope they vote for Obama.


NO MORE DIRTY POOL CLINTON CAMPAIGN

Democrats V Democrats

Washington Post: An article that looks at the political battle between the Congressional Leaders on the Democratic Side. The House and the Senate work on a different level, in the House the majority rules, in the Senate it needs over sixty votes to work. The row at its centre is based on the fact that LIBERAL pressure groups have a lot of influence in the House, they give the money, and all Democrats are up for election, the Senate is different, Senators serve six years and the Democrats look good for next year, but at the present they still need Republican votes to pass Bills. The core problem for the House is that the base wants out of Iraq and the Leaders in the House cant move the Senate and thus they have to fold and give the Administration what it wants, the base in not happy, but the House leadership is caught between a rock and hard place. Very informative article on the process of government in the United States.