Mid Term Elections, End of October 2006

Here us the latest poll from Missouri, a state that could decide who controls the US Senate:

Missouri: Talent ( R ) 47% - 47% McCaskill ( D )

The fight over stem cell research seems to have helped the Democratic candidate get to even, can it get her over the top in November is another question.

Some interesting articles on the US Mid Term Elections for your Sunday viewing:

Is Bush Alone, Time Article, In essence the article states that the President is a problem to his Republican Candidates and the future depends on how much seats the Democrats win. A narrow majority a limited action, a large majority more problems for the President. The Article states that the Administration will use all the administrative powers of the Presidency to gain its agenda.

The Political Plan of Karl Rove, LA Times Article , the article main point being that the Republicans might be down but they are not out just yet.

The Money game in Politics, Washington Post Article , the article states the following on the political TV adds that will be produced by both Parties, ‘ Most of the ads will be dark and accusatory ’ As the article points out, the right political plan followed could decide who controls the House for the next two years.

A Hung Parliament, Sorry Hung House of Representatives

An interesting article by Michael Barone today, he writes the following, ‘ My predictions would produce an almost evenly divided House: 219 Democrats, a net gain of 16, and 216 Republicans. ’ As this would very slim majority, and VIEWS recalls the Majority of around 21 John Major had in 1992, that went fast one way or another. Thus a massive shift would become a day-to-day battle to gain a majority for new ideas to get passed. As the Speaker Nancy Pelosi, would have to balance the demands of the far left on the Democratic side of the Party with the voting power of those on the conservative side of the Party, they do still have some. As with the lose of votes over the two years, it could place President George W. Bush in a very interesting position. Speaker Pelosi might need President Bush more than George W. Bush needs a helpful Speaker. The Democrats if this prediction came true would not have the majority to overrule a Presidential Veto, thus if they wanted to get anything done and have a chance of keeping a majority they would have to work with the White House, that’s why Democracy is interesting if not perfect.

Some new Senate Polls, have come out, Tennessee, Bob Corker (R) is at 49% compared to 44% for Harold Ford ( D ) RCP average is Corker up by 3%. In Missouri, two Polls have Jim Talent ( R ) up by 3% , they both place Jim Talent at 48% and his Democratic Opponent, Claire McCaskill at 45% , the RCP average is Talent up by 1% . In Virginia we have two different Polls, one has George Allan ( R ) up by 4% over his Democratic Opponent James Webb, but another Poll has Webb ahead of Allen by 3%. The RCP average has Allen ahead by 1.8%. RCP has the Democrats taking four seats in the Senate; they are two short for control of the Senate.

Does Money matter more that Polls

An interesting article on the Mid Term Elections that argues that the Republicans will hold on to Congress based on how much money they have as a back up before election day, Click Article. VIEWS is in two minds about this issue.

A Counter view to this argument on Power Line, Click Article.

A look at the recent AP reported Polls on the Mid Terms.

The New York Times on the Outlook held by Democrats going in to Mid Term Elections.

The Washington Post on the latest political attack used by Karl Rove on the Democrats.

Dr Who Awards

Folks it’s that time of year again, time to vote for the National Television Awards on ITV. In the final round we have Billie Piper and David Tennant for Dr Who and Dr Who for Best Drama, Click NTA to VOTE

American Politics Update for October

Is Pelosi a non show for Speaker, interesting article in the Conservative Washington Times, Click here

All the talk has been about how many seats the Republicans would lose in the House, what about the Democrats, an interesting race in Indiana / 7. The Republican leads by three points, 45 -42

The VIEWS has been checking out the House races, based on his last look at the all FIFTY RACES on RCP, so far the Democrats seem to be odd on favourites to win 10 off the bat. Then VIEWS has 9 Seats in the 50/50 bracket. If the Democrats take all the Seats and don’t lose any they will have a majority of three or four. It should be noted the Race in Indiana, if the Republicans take just a few Seats that magic number of 15 goes up. But considering the toxic waters at the Moment, Congressional Scandals and Iraq, it would be almost like 1948 and the one and only Harry S. Truman coming back when he was seen as dead in the Water by the political elite.

VIEWS has been looking at the following as possible upsets in the House Race, these have been seen as automatic Dem pick ups considering recent events: Texas 22, Florida 16, it would be interesting if the Republicans put their up and coming operatives in to the Races and got the Vote out in November, more Seats the Republicans can hold the more the Democrats need to gain.

Iraq = Vietnam

Does Iraq equal Vietnam, has VIEWS been so wrong, was the WAR a mistake?

American Mid Term Elections

An interesting article in the Washington Post, President George W. Bush and Karl Rove think the Republicans will hold on to Congress, Click here for Article.

Interesting article in the New York Times between growing Democratic Support and the Professional operation run by the Republicans, Click here for Article.

Views was watching Fox News on Saturday night, and their political analysts have the Democrats taking the House by 18 to 21 Seats, on the Senate side the Republicans would just remain in control. If you think about it, after the Iraq War, Congressional Scandals, the Democrats should be making more headway. On CNN’s Late Edition, one of the political analysts had about 50 Seats that should be looked at over the next three weeks. Views just has a feeling, that the Democrats should not be that over confidant, Events. Events.