ABC News v Hillary Clinton

ABC News out to destroy the political dreams of Hillary Clinton?

McCain another Nixon ?

Fox News: Reports that Mitt Romney is accusing Senator John McCain a War Hero, of using the election methods of Richard Nixon. This goes back to the claim made by McCain that Romney wants out of Iraq. Romney has stated this is not true, but with Romney you have to wonder, he has changed his mind to get elected. Didn’t Richard Nixon win two Presidential Elections?

The Hidden Hillary

ABC News: States the following on the real Hillary Clinton when she worked for Wal - Mart, " Hillary Clinton remained silent as the world's largest retailer waged a major campaign against labor unions seeking to represent store workers. " John Edwards if he is really for the Unions and poor people should support Obama in the Super Tuesday contest. ABC News is making a point I think, in other words, Edwards support the real candidate of change Obama. Must Read of the Day.

Gallup Poll - Tracking Poll

Gallup: The great pollster Gallup has John McCain in an eleven-point lead over Mitt Romney. Here are the raw figures: McCain 32%, Romney 21 %. This looks good for McCain on Super Tuesday.

Elite Media and the Republican Debate - Review

Washington Post: Reports on how the Republican Race has become a two man fight, both McCain and Romney had each other as their principal target for critical review, McCain on his view that Romney was weak on Iraq, wanted Timetables to get out, while Romney stated that the McCain was not telling the truth about his policy on Iraq. The Debate also dealt with economic and other hot topic issues just as the appointment of Judges. A very fair article from the WP.

New York Times: As with the Post, the NYT looks at the internal debate between McCain and Romney as to who is the best Conservative. The NYT is a Liberal paper and has a problem with the concept of a Conservative candidate.

Drudge Exclusive - Reagan for McCain

Drudge Report: States that Nancy Reagan supports Senator John McCain but in private, will not make a public endorsement. A public endorsement could finish the race fast. I wonder if any one has suggested that Mrs Reagan. McCain was very supportive of Reagan Presidency in the debate.

Clinton and Obama Election Race 2008

Robert Novak: Looks at the Democratic Race, how the race had developed not in the way the Clinton Machine had planned it, from a Coronation to a real scrappy fight for the Democratic Nomination.

Reagan Library Debate

The Reagan Library Debate was a win for Senator John McCain, he stressed his support for the Iraq surge when others thought more about political considerations, in this case that was Mitt Romney. Governor Huckabee did well in the Debate, this should help him in the Southern States. Why was Ron Paul at the Debate? The Grading for the Candidates is as follows, McCain A+, Huckabee B+, Romney C, Paul F.

The Hillary Clinton Snub

New York Times: Looks at the row about an apparent snub of Clinton by Obama. At the State of the Union, she held her out to shake the hand of Ted Kennedy, Obama was answering a question from a member of Congress, thus had his back turned,it would have been rude not to answer. Well the incident has became a snub debate, give me a break, the Clintons have tried to make Obama a Black candidate running for President not a Democratic Candidate who happens to be black. Then Clinton is on Fox News acting all hurt, please, at what point will the Media call Clinton on these fake shows of emotion, the crying in New Hampshire being an example. Obama has class more than can be said about the Clintons.

Kennedy and Reagan

RCP: Looks at JFK and Ronald Reagan in the 2008 Election. Excellent Article. Must Read.

Edwards out of Race

BBC News: Reports and has been confirmed by the American Networks that Senator John Edwards is out of the race. Who will he endorse, don't be surprised if its Hillary Clinton. It would be the cynical move, does Edwards want the VP spot again, would not surprise he has pandered to the voters. Or will Edwards make the right move and support Obama.

Florida Results and Review

In the Republican Race for President, Senator John McCain won the Florida Primary, second was Governor Mitt Romney, and third was Rudy Giuliani. This was the firewall for Giuliani, thus he is out of the race, media reports suggest he will endorse McCain. Here are the results:

McCain 36%

Romney 31%

Giuliani 15%


Review

I was proved wrong by the good people of Florida, they voted for Senator John McCain. The most important aspect of the race was that Florida was a closed election, only Republicans could vote. Thus I think and hope that Senator John McCain will be the Republican nominee for President.

Liberals and the Clinton Machine

Fox News: Reports how the actions of Bill Clinton, the Master Politician has hurt the campaign of Hillary Clinton. Super Tuesday is the day we shall see if Obama can really win.

Florida Voting - Update

PalmBeachPost: Reports on early voting, could Giuliani win, voters voted early, before his fall in the polls, some gut reaction is telling me watch the Florida vote carefully tonight!!

Kennedy and Obama

New York Times: Flattering piece on Kennedy and Obama and quite negative on the Clinton Machine. A bit of throw back to the early 1960s. I am a Ronald Reagan Fan.

Bill Clinton and Washington Post

Washington Post: E.J. Dionne looks at how Bill Clinton has hurt the Campaign of Hillary Clinton, the former President methods in South Carolina has drawn critical reaction from the left and right, thus the Kennedy support for Obama. Dionne writes the following, " People close to Ted Kennedy say that the former president's aggressiveness pushed the senator to offer an endorsement he was already inclined to make. " Since the flare up it seems that the Clinton Machine has learned its lesson, Bill Clinton has gone back to the usual role of a spouse of a Presidential Candidate, better than becoming George Wallace.

NYT and Bush

New York Times: Sometimes I wish the Liberal New York Times would just surprise me, just the once, but no its Editorial on the State of the Union was typical of a paper that gone off the cliff and wants to take its reputation from the past with it, here what the paper stated about the speech, " Mr. Bush still has a year left — and many serious problems to address. It is time, finally, for him to put aside the partisanship, the bluster and the empty rhetoric. The state of the union is troubled. The nation yearns for leadership. " This from a paper that has published State Secrets on the front page, has released how the USA has tracked terrorists in the international system, if the country needs leadership the NYT needs to respect the USA.

Edwaards as King Maker ?

The Hill: Looks at the prospects for Edwards to be the King maker at the Democratic Convention. Only the Democrats could devise a system that would allow someone like Edwards to have that level of influence. Either a straight win for Obama or Clinton would be better than Edwards as the final decider of the Democratic Race.

State of the Union 2008 - Review

State of the Union Address 2008
Courtesy of the White House


A very good speech by the President, the main areas of interest from over the water was his views on the economy and Iraq. These aspects of the speech should help both Romney and McCain in Florida. The President stated the following on the economy, " As we meet tonight, our economy is undergoing a period of uncertainty. " Thus the President stated the need to pass the economic packaged agreed by the White House and the Speaker. This plays in to positives of Romney, a very successful businessman. On Iraq the President stated the following, " In Iraq, the terrorists and extremists are fighting to deny a proud people their liberty, and fighting to establish safe havens for attacks across the world. One year ago, our enemies were succeeding in their efforts to plunge Iraq into chaos. So we reviewed our strategy and changed course. We launched a surge of American forces into Iraq. We gave our troops a new mission: Work with the Iraqi forces to protect the Iraqi people, pursue the enemy in its strongholds, and deny the terrorists sanctuary anywhere in the country. .....Ladies and gentlemen, some may deny the surge is working, but among the terrorists there is no doubt. Al Qaeda is on the run in Iraq, and this enemy will be defeated. " Thus this helps McCain who argued for the surge and has a background in National Security.

This was a good speech, but the Bush Legacy will be defined by Iraq, and that Chapter is not finished yet, it will be up to the next President to place the final full stop.

Florida Polls - Update

When looking at the Florida vote tomorrow in a objective manner, as stated in previous post I have had Romney winning the state, his money and his stress on the economy very effective given the downword trend of the American Economy. The RCP average of Polls is the following, McCain 29.3%, Romney 28.5%, Giuliani 15.9%, when looking at individual polls we see a tie to a McCain lead of just 3%. McCain gained the recent support of the popular Governor of Florida, the debate has been turned to National Security. Thus who will win Florida, thus still putting my money on Romney but by a narrow margin, again down to money and Conservative support, Conservatives have a problem with McCain, Bush Tax Cuts which he opposed and his plan for amnesty for illegal Immigrants in the USA. Thus still Romney, lets hope I am wrong.

McCain Support

This is my subjective opinion:

Vote for Senator John McCain

The Nation on Kennedy and Obama

The Nation: Looks at Senator Ted Kennedy and his support for Obama. The article states the following on Kennedy, " He's the most powerful player on domestic issues in the U.S. Senate, a stalwart liberal with close ties to organized labor and minority groups that are the backbone of the Democratic party and a living link to the most iconic president of the post-World War II era. " The Nation loves Edward M Kennedy, Chappaquiddick does not get a mention, but since he is supporting Obama on this occasion we will let it go, even Kennedy has to get something right once.

Last State of the Union

New York Times: The reader might have missed it, but its the State of the Union Address tonight, tomorrow is the vote in Florida. Lets have a guess which will have the most air and print time. An interesting article on the Bush Domestic Agenda, what worked and failed to happen during the last seven years. As old British Prime Minister stated to a Minister who asked what could go wrong, " Events, Events " After 9/11 Bush became a War President, his Domestic Agenda came a distant second to the War on Terror.

Florida Voting

Miami Herald: Reports that nearly a million voters have voted already, could this help Giuliani ?

Kennedy and Obama

New York Times: Looks at the background of the Kennedy support for Obama. This is 1960 and 68 over again for Liberals, a real chance of change and headed by Obama, who happens to be African American.

Kinder Bill Clinton

New York Times: Reports that the Clinton Campaign has learned its lesson and Bill Clinton will became a typical spouse of a Presidential Candidate, the article states the following on the Clinton Campaign, " They said his role would be akin to his effort before the Iowa caucuses, when he highlighted Mrs. Clinton’s record and her policy ideas, and was used in part to build huge crowds on college campuses rather than attack Mr. Obama. " I wont hold by breath, Clinton lacks self control, in just needs Hillary Clinton to be in trouble in the polls for Clinton to start on race again or find something else negative to say about Obama. The Elite Media needs to keep a close eye on the Clinton Campaign.

Deaths in Iraq

BBC News: Five US Soldiers have been killed in Mosul in Iraq. According to the US Army, Mosul is the last major city to have a terrorist element still active in Iraq. These deaths show that the USA is still in a war. The McCain Campaign should stress National Security in the Florida vote.

NYT and Bill Cllnton Redux

New York Times: Looks at the role of Bill Clinton in the Clinton Machine. I think the article is a subtle dig at Clinton, what the point of any Democrat with any self respect becoming her Vice - President or Secretary of State, if you have Bill Clinton about, think JFK and RFK between 1961 1963, drove LBJ up the wall, he stated at the end of the day it was about the Kennedys, well this time its about Clintons.

NYT on Kennedy and Obama

New York Times: Looks at the Development of the Endorsement of Obama by Senator Ted Kennedy and the Kennedy Family.

Another Kennedy for Obama

ABC News: Reports that Senator Teddy Kennedy is supporting Obama. That is a slap in the face to the Clinton Machine, recall in 1993 when the young Bill Clinton on becoming President went to the grave of JFK and RFK. The Holiday time the Clinton Family spent with Jackie O. It seems Kennedy wants some influence with Obama, if it was Clinton it would be all about Bill.

Ashdown and Afghanistan

BBC News: Reports that Lord Paddy Ashdown has decided that he does not want to be the UN Special Envoy to Afghanistan. The reason is that Afghanistan has gone off the idea. Lets think, British actions of late in Afghanistan have come under critical review of the government in Kabul and also lets not forget Afghanistan was part of the great game of British Empire Politics. The people of Afghanistan have a long memory, they still go on about defeating the British in the 19th Century, thus on the whole Lord Ashdown had made the the right move.

Elite Media on Bill Clinton and Race

CBS News: Attack the role of Bill Clinton in South Carolina. Its nice from a Conservative Republican angle to see the Elite Media wake up and see the Clinton Machine for what it is, one aim power. The article states the following, " The man crowned as America's first black president for his unprecedented personal connection to the African-American community has abdicated the throne. " Its about winning for Bill Clinton, he will destroy his post Presidential reputation to win the White House for his wife, what if she does not win, time to think Mr President.

Bush and History

Washington Post: Looks how to grade George W. Bush as a President. Must Read of the Day.

What Next for Obama ?

The Politico: Looks at what next for Senator Obama, he increased his vote among white voters, double that for the Jesse Jackson, thus greater appeal for Super Tuesday. Also his political strategy for Super Tuesday, going after the small states, aka Romney has done, New York and California are tied up by the Clinton Machine. Lets hope this is a long and hard fight, that Obama does what Reagan did in 1976, go all the way down to the Convention and do what Reagan did not do and win.

Bill Clinton and Race

ABC News: It did not take long for Bill Clinton to use the race card when Obama won South Carolina. The former President mentioned Jesse Jackson also won when he ran, in a not very subtle way Clinton is using the race card, Obama yes is an African - American but he is running as a Democratic Candidate who happens to be black not the other way around. Clinton is using the old Republican text book in the view of Liberals, that is using terms that will get white support while not being racist. Thus Obama is another Jesse Jackson, the one character that will make white voters vote for Hillary while holding their noses, shame on you Mr President.

Kennedy support for Obama

New York Times: Caroline Kennedy the daughter of President John F. Kennedy has come out in support of Senator Obama. Kennedy writes the following, " I have never had a president who inspired me the way people tell me that my father inspired them. But for the first time, I believe I have found the man who could be that president..." What the Obama needs is someone to counter Bill Clinton, someone that can match him for statement, also someone with the clout to get the press to report the reaction, come Al Gore this is your time, come out for Obama, Secretary of State might be the prize.

Frank Rich and the Clinton Machine

New York Times: Its fun when Liberals see the Clinton Machine for what it is, one aim to get power for Bill and Hillary Clinton. Frank Rich attacks both Bill and Hillary Clinton. By the end of article the Charge of the Light Brigade makes better strategy than Hillary Clinton as the 2008 Democratic Nominee.

Obama Victory

Senator Obama won in South Carolina last night, 28% over Hillary Clinton. This was well over my estimation. It was also interesting that Obama took a healthy white vote, thus he can argue that he has broad appeal not just an African - American Candidate. The final result was the following, Obama 55 %, Clinton 27 % and Edwards 18%. Thus off we go to Super Tuesday, lets see how much dirty pool the Clinton Machine will use against such transformational candidate as Obama.

The Democratic Race

National Journal: A very interesting article on the Democratic Race, lets hope the article is right when it says about the election process, " Nasty, brutish, and long is an ominous combination for Democrats. " Lets hope Obama gets tougher with the Bill and Hillary Clinton and wins the nomination and if up against Romney beats him, if its Hillary the other way around.

Florida Polls - Update

Its election day on tuesday in Florida, as stated my prediction that Romney should win by a healthy margin, but lets have a look at the latest polls from Florida, the RCP average of Polls has the following result, McCain 26.1%, Romney 25.6%, Giuliani 17.7% , looking at the individual polls the race is quite close between McCain and Romney, the margin between them is from a tie to 3% lead for McCain. Thus my prediction is running counter to individual polls and the average of polls from RCP. One simple reason for this, MONEY, unlike the early states, Florida is about getting your political adds on the TV, big state, people get their views from the TV. Thus still sticking with Romney.

Bill Clinton v Elite Media

Vanity Fair: Has a go at the former President, nice to see that the Elite Media finally see the Clinton Machine for what it is, power and winning, dignity out of the window as long as the Clinton's win.

Edwards for A.G ?

Robert Novak: Reports that Obama is thinking of placing John Edwards as Attorney General if elected President. This is a very bad idea, its like putting Bill Clinton in charge of a bordello. Edwards would pander so much to left it could cost Obama his re -election.

Romney Money

Time: Looks at the Romney spending during the election, he outs spent the rest of the filed, the article states the following on Romney and Florida, " But Florida is the first state money really can buy. " As predicted I think Florida will go for Romney, Romney has the money to spend and he is spending it like its confetti, Romney then can challenge on Super Tuesday, its down to the delegate count in the end.

Kerry v Bill Clinton

CNN: Senator John Kerry, the 2004 Democratic Nominee for President goes after Bill Clinton. The reason is that those Senators that have supported Obama think if he is elected he will be adviced by them, if its Hillary Clinton it will always be about Bill and Hillary Clinton. The Senate ego is fragile.

Clinton and the Slum landlord - Update

NBC Shows that Hillary Clinton should not throw stones if you live in a glass house. A picture of both Hillary and Bill with the slum landlord of Debate Fame. Even during the interview Clinton was on the attack, going on about " 17 year relationship " between Obama and the landlord. NBC let her off a bit, by stating it was hard to remember every picture taken, that was for her to state not the questioner.

Drudge Exclusive - Clinton and the Slum landlord

Drudge Report: Has a picture of the Bill and Hillary Clinton with the slum landlord that Hillary Clinton mentioned in the recent debate and his connection to Obama. A picture is worth a thousand words. Obama should go after them for this, people in glass houses should not throw stones.

The Clinton Machine

New York Times: Looks at the role of Bill " Attack Dog " Clinton, if the former President wants to get in to political trenches, don't expect any Presidential courtesy when the other side point out your not telling the truth. The NYT states the following, " Mr. Clinton is deliberately trying to play bad cop against Mr. Obama, campaign officials say,..." I do hope Senator Hillary Clinton wins the nomination, because if Romney wins the Republican nomination he does not look he would have any trouble going after Bill Clinton with some very effective negative adds, lets see, " Any one for a cigar " your get the idea, cant wait for that fight.

South Carolina Prediction 08

I am making a prediction for South Carolina, Obama will win the state, he should get between 9 % and 11 % margin over Hillary Clinton. Lets be honest the African - American community is going to vote for the first African - American with a real chance of winning the White House. That is just truth. The RCP average of Polls for S.C has Obama ahead by 12.2% over Hillary Clinton. On the other hand, the Clinton's, both Bill and Hillary have bought Obama down to earth, this is my prediction for the Democratic Nomination, early yes just gut feeling, Clinton will be the Democratic Nominee.

Romney Factor Party Two

An interesting article in this mornings WSJ, Romney is worth two hundred and fifty million, that's a lot political adds that he can pay for, he can challenge in all states on Super Tuesday, he has the money while the other candidates have to beg for the dollar. This is why as stated in previous post that Romney is not liked, he has it all while the others have to fight every day to get on air. Think Kennedy v Nixon and you get the idea, would not be my favorite either, but main problem is his change of opinions from a Liberal to a Conservative almost over night. Lets have a look at Florida and the state of the Romney Campaign, the respected pollster Rasmussen has the following results, Romney 27 %, McCain 23 %, Giuliani 20%, Mason - Dixon, also has lead for Romney of four points, Romney 30 %, McCain 26 %, Giuliani 18%. Its down to money, Romney has the money to fight while the other candidate's have to pick their states, Huckabee is out of Florida and heading South. It should be noted about Florida they they have early voting, so Giuliani should not be written off just yet, depends how much votes he has gotten from those that have moved from New York State to Florida. RealClearPolitics average of polls has the following result, McCain 24.5%, Romney 23.5% and Giuliani 18.8% a close race. Based on these polls am going to call Florida for Romney, with a 5% - 10% margin over McCain.

BBC v President George W. Bush

BBC News: A very fair and accurate look at the legacy of President George W. Bush. Read of the Day.

Obama and the Slum LandLord

The Times: Article on contributions to the Obama Campaign that the Campaign has had give to charity. This goes back to the Clinton attack in the S.C Debate. The Clinton's looks for a weakness and play dirty.

Romney Factor

New York Times: Interesting article that looks at the relationship between Romney and the other Republican candidates, its the NYT thus a negative view of that relationship, the article states the following reasons for the dim of view of Romney, " attacks on opponents in television commercials, the perception of him as an ideological panderer and resentment about his seemingly unlimited resources as others have struggle to raise cash. " The last reason is the most important, Romney has the money, the rest don't, this could be the reason Romney became the nominee of the Republican Party. The vast money chest of Romney allows him to run ads in the states he needs to win on Super Tuesday. The rest of the candidates are not so lucky they need to win states to go on, thus Florida is make or break for Giuliani. The race could go down to the following match up, Romney v McCain or McCain v Giuliani. Huckabee it can be argued is a Southern Christian Candidate without much support in the secular states.

The Nation and Bill Clinton

The Nation: Never and I mean never thought I would say this about an article in the bible for Liberals ( if they believed in Religion ) the Nation. A correct article and to the point. The article is having a go at Bill Clinton , LIBERALS HAVE SMELLED THE COFFEE, PITY IT TAKEN THEM THIS LONG.

Politics and the Gipper

The Australian: Looks at the political problem that Obama got by his use of Ronald Reagan as an example of Presidential Leadership. On the one hand, reach beyond the Democratic base, good in a General Election context, bad as the Democratic base is very Liberal and out of touch. It has been noted in recent articles that while Reagan created Reagan Democrats, Obama wants to create Obama Republicans. The article states the following, " so the next agent of change a liberal version of Reagan. " The problem that Obama faces is that Bill Clinton who wanted to move the Democratic Party to the centre has to pander to the Liberal base to get his wife nominated as the Democratic Nominee. An ironic twist, the agent of change in 1992 is know the upholder of the establishment. As the establishment Democratic Party protected him in 1998 over Impeachment, Clinton has a debt to pay at the expense of the future of the Democratic Party.

Death in Afghanistan

BBC: Another death in Afghanistan, the total is now 87. How many more how long. I don't see a winning strategy that will finish off the terrorist threat for the future.

Where is the Gipper ?

Bloomberg: Looks at how each candidates on the Republican side has a problem when it comes to the mantle of Ronald Reagan. The Gipper was a one off, but we do miss him, that was a President.

NYT on Thompson

New York Times: Has a look at why Thompson did not take off, the usual critic, lack of energy on the campaign trail, others taking position that made them more conservative, thus undercutting his platform. Also looks at how the withdrawal with help other candidates.

Fred Thompson OUT

BBC News: Reports that Fred Thompson is out of the Republican Race for President. In the end he was no Ronald Reagan, in 1976 Reagan had early defeats against President Ford but went down to the convention. A candidate needs the fire in the belly to win, Thompson wanted to President as long as he didn't have to work for it, you are not given the Presidency you take it, that is power.

Obama v Bill Clinton

The Times: Looks at how the Obama camp is going to make sure Bill Clinton keeps to the truth about the Obama record. Good Luck with that Chaps, recall Bill Clinton has a problem with the English Language. As IS a former President not a candidate.

Florida Polls 08

Two polls for Florida, that cover the same days, but had different leaders, give me a break, Rasmussen has Romney 25%, McCain 20 %, Giuliani 19% while SurveyUSA has McCain 25%, Giuliani 20%, Romney 19%. Need some more polls before even thinking of making a prediction.

Bill Clinton and Reagan

RCP Blog: How the Reagan comment by Obama has allowed Bill Clinton to go about his record in office. This is time for Chicago Political rules, if Clinton wants to play dirty, let the Obama Campaign start to hit back hard, the weakness of the Clinton Administration to deal withe Terrorist threat, from 1993 onwards, the White House Scandals also in other Departments, the Dot Com Bust. If need be the Impeachment of Bill Clinton, he he was fined by a judge for answers, much more, time for Obama to hit hard and win.

Clinton and Reagan

Washington Post: One of the best articles of the day, how Bill Clinton wants to be seen as another Ronald Reagan, not much chance of that, that went down the tubes with Impeachment.

Press Review of S.C Debate

Washington Post: Looks at the fight between Clinton and Obama, and how far both went back to get some negative stuff on each other, also the Reagan comment by Obama and how this effects the political race ( as stated in early post, Reagan never a favorite of Liberal Democrats ), how S.C is the jump off point for Super Tuesday.

CNN: Reports that Edwards was on form, also has a look at the Strategic plans of Obama and Clinton, Clinton appealing to the base while Obama is reaching out beyond the base. The question that this very interesting article asks is which strategy will win the nomination. Recommend Reading.

S. C. Debate Review - Democrats

As VIEWS is over the water had a good chance to think about the Democratic Debate last night, Obama and Clinton don't like each other, some real dirty pool of politics, he stated she had been a Director of Wall Mart while she said he had been Lawyer for a slum lord. John Edwards was there for this contest, but he came across as quite normal, not the rule for John Edwards, Edwards tried to keep to the subject and he did not bash on about his Two Americans stump speech. Obama showed he was not going to allow the Bill and Hillary Clinton to define his record. He is learning what others have learnt about the Clinton's they fight dirty. Thus on the grading of the debate, Obama A, Clinton B+ and Edwards a C-.


Obama gets a A because he showed in the first hour that he was willing to fight his corner, he showed that Democrats have to get votes beyond the base, thus the reference to Ronald Reagan, he showed that they needed Obama Republicans and Independents to vote for the Democrats as to have the support Reagan had in 1980.

Clinton gets a B+ because she kept Obama on earth, made him fight dirty, as ab0ve she has no chance in S.C but she made sure she will get support for Super Tuesday. Her support is older women over 50 and those from Mexican decent. In the General Election she will need to get greater support to win.


Edwards gets a C- he made himself noticed, but this is not his year.

Edwards in 08 Election

The Politico: Looks at the role Edwards could play if neither Obama or Clinton score an outright victory by the convention. What a thought Edwards as King Maker!

Reagan in the Washington Post

Washington Post: Has a look at the man and the myth.

Reagan in the New York Times

New York Times: A very interesting article that sets out to prove that none of the present Presidential Candidates are another Ronald Reagan. They go through all the Reagan positives, tested in previous campaigns, 1968 and 1976, one of the best political speakers in the history of the USA, leader of a Conservative movement, as Obama is hoping to be the leader of his own movement. The point is none are another Reagan so vote Democratic.

South Carolina and Nevada Results

I was right about the Nevada result, Clinton winning with high single digits, over 5 %. I was out on the McCain result, I was to generous, in the end McCain won by 3 % over Huckabee.

The Final Results:


Nevada:

Clinton 51 %

Obama 45 %


South Carolina:

McCain 33 %

Huckabee 30 %

The outcome of Nevada is odd, CNN last night stated that both Clinton and Obama would gain 14 delegates but that includes Super Delegates, Governor etc who is a Democrat. Without counting Super Delegates, Obama would be ahead. What is the point of Clinton winning if she does not get the majority of the Delegates. But that is the Democratic Party!! McCain if does not make slip ups should be the nominee of the Republican Party after Super Tuesday.

Clinton on Obama and Ronald Reagan Part Three

The Hill: Senators Clinton and Edwards go after Obama about his views of Ronald Reagan, the real point is that they are not in the league of Ronald Reagan and never will be, that is the real reason. They don't have that greatness, Obama just might have that Reagan magic, and Clinton and Edwards hate that idea.

Obama and Reagan Part Two

WSJ: Comes to the defence of Senator Obama, looks at the context how Obama used Reagan as a symbol for his movement and how the extreme Liberals wing of the Democratic Party reacted. The article stated the following, " Mr. Obama committed a grievous blunder by nodding at the achievement of one of the most consequential Presidencies of the 20th century. If the rest of the Democrats can't even recognize the same, it suggests that the change they have in mind is back to the 1960s and '70s. " The USA needed Reagan after Vietnam and Watergate, he allowed the country to regain its confidence in itself, he used military spending to end the Cold War, Gorbachev was selected by the old guard to match Reagan, with Gorbachev and Reagan we see the end of the Cold War. The Reagan Administration did not lose an inch of ground to communism during its time in office. The Economy was turned, a economic boom developed due to tax cuts and domestic cuts. Reagan was the best President since JFK. The last great President of the 20th Century.

No Reagan ?

The Weekly Standard: Looks at the Republican race and how none of the candidates are another Ronald Reagan. The article states the following, " It's foolish to wait for another Ronald Reagan " As the article points out, Reagan was a Master politician but also a leader of a movement. Obama wants to do the same thing, this has got him in to trouble with the Liberal wing of the Democratic Party, we shall see if has the Reagan magic. McCain or Huckabee should be a good candidate for conservatives, but not Romney, sorry a phony is a phony.

The Mind of Bill Clinton

Washington Post: A very interesting article that looks in to the role of Bill Clinton in the 08 race and how this goes back to his time in the Presidency. The article states the following, " Collectively, his recent comments echo the feeling of victimization he often expressed when he was president. " On the whole a fair article but one gets the impression that the Elite don't want to fight the Culture Wars of the 1990s, it should be recalled this is the Democratic Race, when its over and if Hillary is the Nominee the Republicans wont allow Bill Clinton a free ride, if he starts to act as some fighting Vice - President Nominee, in other words an attack dog, they have enough stuff on Bill Clinton to make the Hillary Clinton have to defend him twenty four hours a day for weeks and months. That is why the Elite Media in their hearts want Obama, a West Wing President they can support in the press.

Edwards on Obama and Ronald Reagan

CNN: Obama is taking flak from Senator Edwards for his remark that President Ronald Reagan changed the political landscape, to be honest he was quite complimentary about the Gipper. Not a good idea when your running for the Democratic Nomination. But on the other hand shows courage compared to Edwards who just wants to pander for any votes, so far he not getting that much support.

Obama and Nevada

New York Observer: An article that looks at the election effect of Nevada. Looks at how Obama needs a win in Nevada. Very interesting article and to the point, Obama is the Outsider he needs a win, keep the process going, a loss in the view of the article would be bad for Obama and good for Clinton. I see the point. MUST READ OF THE DAY.

Nevada Prediction

I predict that Senator Hillary Clinton will win Nevada, only one poll has had Obama ahead in the state, the RCP Average of Polls has Clinton ahead by 3.7%. Has it is hard to poll a Caucus, it would be risky to predict the point spread, the difference between Clinton and Obama, it is all down to who turns up and how many and if Union support is effective for Obama. I think is safe to predict that that Clinton will win by 4 % to 7 % over Obama.

South Carolina Prediction

I am predict that Senator John McCain will win South Carolina, the latest polls ( recall my warning about political polls ) is up by 7% , on the whole Polls for Republicans are pretty accurate for the result. Thus if McCain wins by what margin, an estimation would be between 7 % and 10%. The RCP average is 4.9% for McCain, on the whole looking one can postulate from this that the winning candidate should get near the 10 % mark in the final result, if one looks at the previous election results.

New York Times v Bill Clinton

New York Times: The Liberal NYT is having at go at the temper of President Bill Clinton, they must be in the Obama camp.

South Carolina Polls

The Polls in South Carolina are getting close, the race looks like it is between Senator McCain and Governor Huckabee. Romney is the only campaign to have take an interest in the Nevada Caucus thus will win that fight. In South Carolina, we have two factors, Military veterans who should support McCain and religious supporters for Huckabee. The respected pollster Rasmussen has McCain and Huckabee at 24 % each, thus a very close race. A Mason - Dixon Poll ( pdf required ) has the following close result, McCain 27 % and Huckabee 25 %. The race is to close to call at this moment.

Update to New York Times Row

The Times: An article on the hiring of a, wait for it, cannon salute, a Conservative Writer for the once prestigious New York Times. I hope those that have opposed the hiring , read this article and show some remorse for their arrogance and lets be honest, show some morality of character and learn from this disgrace by those on the left.

Judge Rules on Nevada

Fox News: Reports that a Federal Judge has thwarted attempts by those that support Hillary Clinton to prevent those working in the service industry to vote at work. The attempt had all the aspects of old fashioned dirty politics. The Clinton machine is afraid its behind so what do they do, want to change the rules, not new for the Clinton Machine. This will make President Clinton even more annoyed. See previous post on his articulate temper tantrum. Lets hope the voters in Nevada send a message to the Bill and Hillary Clinton, you have to play by the rules, lets hope they vote for Obama.

Nevada Polls

After New Hampshire I am weary of Democratic Polls, RealClearPolitics has all the major polls for Nevada, in all Clinton has lead par one. I think and this is not a prediction that Senator Hillary Clinton should win Nevada, it might be in the high single digits. The problem the turn out for the Caucus could go from nine thousand in 2004 to a hundred thousand. On the other hand Obama has a major Union backing, thus they will want to show that if they support a candidate they can get the votes, so Obama should should get a good vote, but it has to be noted that African - Americans are not the majority ethnic vote in Nevada Caucus. Thus I think and stress think not prediction that Clinton will win in Nevada by a narrow margin. Thus on to South Carolina.

Dirty Pool in Las Vegas ?

Fox News: Looks at reports that the Union supporting Obama in Nevada is using strong arm tactics to gain votes for Obama. If this dirty pool was for Clinton would we be hearing this story!

Ronald Reagan TODAY

RCP: The best article of the day, looks at the Gipper in context, one of the greatest Presidents in American History, but not perfect, JFK was also great but not perfect as we all know. As kind readers of the blog know I set Reagan as the gold standard for a President and a Politician, but he was not perfect. Reagan was always looking forward to that " Shinning City on the Hill " that is the USA. Reagan looked to the past to set the future, the present candidates can evoke his name but never be him, there was only one Reagan for USA history as only one Thatcher in the UK. The Republican candidates have to inspire, you wont agree with all their policy views that is not the point you have to trust them and like them, Obama has that, wish he was a Republican.

Clinton Afraid of Nevada Result

The Clinton Machine is very afraid that they could lose Nevada. Here is Bill Clinton in full SPIN MODE. Typical of the Clinton Machine when the rules work for them they are ok but if the rules work for Obama its wrong. I hope the African American community take note of this in S.C and vote for Obama.

Obama another Reagan ?

The Politico: Interesting video on Politico, Obama compares himself to Ronald Reagan as in the creation of a movement, and how Nixon and Clinton failed to create a legacy after they left office. Bill Clinton will go through the roof, VIEWS recalls reading that Clinton hated that Reagan the Teflon President got away in his mind with some bad polices but Clinton got a Special Prosecutor if he didn't salute in the right way. Not that VIEWS is a cynic but one has to wonder if the Clinton Machine is behind this, Nevada coming up, do they want to make the base mistrust Obama thus this video. VIEWS is a cynical SOB when it comes to politics.

Liberal Arrogance

RCP: Excellent article on how the New York Times considers itself to be Solomon and also above the law. This is a follow up to the shock that the NYT has hired, have a stiff drink, a Conservative. Arrogance of the Elite on show.

1992 = 2008

I hope the 2008 Presidential race does not seem like a replay of the 1992 Presidential Election. The least favorite subject held by VIEWS is Economics. Economics are boring, yes if you out of work or about to lose your House its important but to explain how you get form A to Z in economic terms is well just boring!!. Give me a Security Election not if the Dow Jones is down a few hundred points on a given day. A this wont be another Wall Street Crash of 1929, even the dot com bubble when it burst was a economic correction, over priced stocks for companies that had good public relations but not much selling. In the end how ever bad economic news its never as bad the New York Times would like you to think but not as great as those that are not really effected by the Market. You see why I don't like discussing Economic Issues. No more Michigan Elections please, a request from this humble writer.

Obama and Vegas

Las Vegas Review - Journal: Endorse Senator Obama. They are not fans of either Bill or Hillary Clinton.

Liberals v Conservatives

New York Times: Liberals time to head to the bunker, the world is ending, the extreme Liberal New York Times has hired a , wait are you in the bunker, the Nation just about to read, a conservative columnist. The thought Police are shocked, the NYT the bastion for the their Truth if not reality has hired the ENEMY, no we say no, Conservative at the New York Times, all that is bad in the world, yes freedom in Iraq and Afghanistan, no terror attack on the United States since 2001, the NYT is the truth if not reality of the World.

African American Vote and Hillary Clinton

CNN: An interesting post by CNN on the breakdown of the Michigan vote as it concerns the African - American Vote and how Clinton lost it in Michigan. Read of the Day.

Michigan Result

As predicted, Romney won Michigan, the margin of the victory was higher than predicted, had Romney winning by 3 % - 5 % but the margin was a healthy 9% over John McCain. In the end Romney 39 % and McCain at 30 %. This issue of the economy could the be the Issue that pushes Romney over the rest of the pack. His central themes should be that Washington is not working, rather like the Olympics before he took over and and that he made the Olympics profitable he will make States like Michigan rich again.

McCain the next President ?

Watch this add and see why you should vote for Senator John McCain an American Hero.

Michigan Vote Update

The Boston Globe: An interesting article that looks how the move by Michigan to place its Primary early will effect the Democratic and Republican Primary. Well on the Democratic side its a popular contest of no value, the DNC removed the delegates from Michigan because of the early move. On the Republican side they lost half of their delegates. The question that has to be asked, will Independents and Democrats vote for McCain or vote for Romney as to make the Republican race last longer. As after the New Hampshire, no one is sure, that is why Democracy is fun, not great but fun, its neck and neck in the state. If Independents and some Democrats move to McCain he should win, but on the other hand as stated in previous posts Romney has many assets in Michigan.

Civil Rights Peace ?

New York Times: Its seems on the Democratic side that both the Obama and Clinton campaigns want a mutual deterrence pact when it comes to race relations. It is easy to understand, Obama is not running as a African Candidate and Hillary Clinton does not want to get in a race fight with an African American Candidate with a real chance of winning the White House. Lets see how long this Election Peace will last, if Obama was to win Nevada all bets are off, the Clinton's want to win the White House.

Vote for McCain in Michigan

I have done my objective prediction for Michigan, now I ask the voters of Michigan to vote for Senator John McCain. McCain tells the truth, will keep to his guns while the rest are taking political polls, a War Hero. A win in Michigan should help Senator McCain get the Republican nomination. It should be noted that Independents and Democrats cant vote in the Michigan Primary. Please vote for Senator McCain.

Michigan Vote

Its the day of the vote in Michigan, the RCP Average of Polls has Romney ahead by 1%, a half percent up from the last time. I still hold to my prediction that Romney should win Michigan given the factors, home state, money spent, last stand of the campaign. Also he is pandering to the state, hoping to return the state to its past economic glory, never going to happen in this global age.

Clinton Dirty Pool Redux !!

Fox News: The Clinton Machine has gone back to its usual methods, when both Clinton's walked in to the mine field that is race, they attack those that had a right to be angry with the comments. Dirty Pool with no class.

Clinton Dirty Pool in Nevada

RCP Blog: Have to admit when I first read this thought it was a joke for Sunday, it seems that a Teaching Union in Nevada wants to close down nine of the large caucus sites in Nevada, it seems its leaders are Clinton supporters, how dirty can you get, in way wanting to prevent hard working workers getting the vote. They argue that Janitors would have to open up the buildings. As a teacher I know Teaching Unions don't care about the rights of Janitors to vote.

Michigan Prediction

Michigan Prediction, Romney will win the state, RCP Average of Polls has Romney ahead by 0.9 %, my prediction is based on the fact, that his father was a popular Governor, the Romney Campaign is making this his last stand, he has the money. Economic worries are the main worry in the state, Romney what ever his faults, has been a successful businessman and running the Olympics at a profit is not as easy as it sounds these days. McCain should come in second, this will help him in South Carolina. Romney should by win by 3% - 5 %.

Romney Moment ?

The Politico: Reports that Romney is ahead in Michigan his last firewall, his father was a popular Governor and he grew up in Michigan. Interesting finding, it is Economic worry that is helping Romney, he has run a business and had a successful Olympics. After N.H VIEWS wants to see lot more polls and their background before calling Michigan for any candidate.

Home Turf ?

New York Times: Reports on the Obama threat to a Hillary Clinton win in her own state. I cant seen African Americans what ever their State, National Leaders voting for Hillary Clinton over the first African American with a real chance of winning the Presidency.

Bush or Iran

BBC News: Reports that President Bush has called on the World to deal with the threat from Iran in a Speech. The world is weak, it will be down the USA under President George W. Bush to deal with Iran. An air attack is the best option.

Bloomberg Effect on 08 Election

New York Times: One gets the feeling from reading this article that the Liberal New York Times is very afraid that Mayor Bloomberg will run for President. Bloomberg is a billionaire he could buy the New York Times in his sleep!! Liberals are scared and for good reason, if he ran the general view is that he would hurt the Democratic Candidate and thus help the Republicans. Run Bloomberg Run.

The Kerry support for Obama, Reviews

Boston Herald: Looks at why Senator Kerry supported Obama over his former Vice - President Nominee. They cant stand each other, the usual politics.

USA Today: How the Kerry support could help Obama on the money front. American Politics is all about money at the end of the day with the exception of Romney.

Civil Rights and the Clinton Machine

New York Times: Interesting article that's shows how much of the Establishment candidate the Clinton Machine has become, the NYT point out an interview given by Hillary Clinton as an example of how experience is more important that hope, in this case LBJ v the role of Martin Luther King. It was the Civil Rights movement that was the fire for change, the skills of LBJ with the help of Republicans got new laws on to the books, but it was MLK and his hope of a better future of African Americans that got equal rights for African Americans, reality, the master skills of LBJ needed the hope of Dr King. If Clinton does not understand that she could lose all the good gained by her husband within the African American community.

The Press on S.C Debate

The Hill. Has Thompson having a strong performance and how Ronald Reagan was used as example by most of the Candidates. McCain stated he was a " Foot Soldier in the Reagan Revolution " and Huckabee stated he was with Reagan in 1979, helping in getting christian support for the Gipper.

Weekly Standard: Bill Kristol reviews the Debate, Has Thompson showing his skills and some fire in the belly.

NBC News: Has Thompson as the winner.

Republican Debate - S.C

As the Republican debate was not on till 2am UK time, it has given VIEWS time to think about who won and who lost. I would say from thinking about the debate, McCain kept the surge from New Hampshire. Huckabee will have played well with the Christian vote, he can quote the bible without sounding like a bible basher. The surprise of the night was Fred Thompson, he was on top form, the Fox Review of Voters had him winning but doubts if he could win, there was the opinion if he had acted like this from the start the race would have been different on the Republican side. On the negative side, Ron Paul is in the wrong party, Giuliani was okay not great but not bad either, wont have hurt himself in Florida. Lets to get to the great phony Mitt Romney, sorry not a good night, even a phony can have nights when he is not a good second hand car salesman.

Kerry Supports Obama

Washington Post: Today Senator John Kerry endorsed Senator Obama, so far after losing New Hampshire, the Senator has gained Union support in Nevada the next fight in the race and gained the support of the Democratic Nominee in 2004. I was surprised Kerry endorsed Obama so early then I put my cynic hat on. The Clinton relationship of Hillary and Bill recalls that of JFK and RFK. At the end of the day the chief adviser to JFK was RFK, not the Vice -President or the Secretary of State. If Clinton was to win, what would be the point of being Vice - President, Bill would have the final word, snap with State. If your Kerry who do you want as President, someone who might appoint you to State but more important will listen to your advice. Or someone who sees you as a failure and does not ask your advice at all on important matters. Would any one of high caliber really take the Vice - Presidency or State if Clinton was President. It can be argued that either job would not be worth a cold cup of tea!!.

Nevada Next

New York Times: The Democratic race goes to Nevada next, Obama as his Campaign Manager and the NYT point out have gained Union support while Clinton is getting the Democratic Establishment. This vote could set the trend, if Obama wins a edge in the race to win the nomination if Clinton wins she is on a roll to the nomination. Its Las Vegas time folks, whats happens in Vegas stays in Vegas, in this case a political career.

Obama and the Democratic Base

Views saw Senator Obama on Sky News, the Senator was in New Jersey, it seems that the Senator has learned the lesson of New Hampshire, the speech was full of meat for the Democratic Base, the evils of the world, Iraq, Corruption, Katerina was the blame of the Bush Administration. Is this is a wise road to go down if he wants to keep Independents and Moderate Republicans voting for him.

The Road to the Oval Office

Newsweek: Interesting article that has a look at the very long road to the election in November. The Result will be debated for years by Political geeks.

The Day After

A good night sleep can help clear the mind, is Hillary Clinton going to win the nomination, it can be argued that her comeback in New Hampshire is better than Bill Clinton in 1992. But on the other hand Bill did not have to deal with Obama, and the media almost going out of its way to underplay New Hampshire. There is comeback talk but then there is also Senator McCain. It can be argued, Clinton had a few bad days, McCain was seen as dead in the water when it came to the Presidential Race. The Campaign Manger for Senator Obama has come out with a few positives, Union Endorsement and Money. This race is not over, but you would have to give Clinton the Edge. On the other hand if Obama can win Nevada and South Carolina, then it could be down to Super Tuesday.

The Future for McCain and Clinton

The Politico: Looks at what happens after New Hampshire in both the Republican and Democratic Race. VIEWS predicts that Clinton will be the Democratic Nominee, the Republican race is to close to call.

ADVICE DONT TRUST POLITICAL POLLS

DON'T TRUST POLITICAL POLLS

Comeback Lady

Washington Post: Hillary Clinton wins New Hampshire. This comeback beats the 1992 Campaign, its shows Hillary Clinton is a master politician in her own right. All the pundits had her finished, this pundit included. Clinton will be the Nominee of the Democratic Party.

New Hampshire Results Update

Its not over yet, but Senator McCain has won the Republican Primary by around seven percent, my forecast, on the other hand my forecast for the Democrat Race was wrong. As of now, Hillary Clinton is leading 39 -37 to Obama ( final result, Clinton 39 % - Obama 36 % ). The Polls had it wrong, sorry reader, forgot my own advice, never believe polls.

1992 Again !!

Fox News: Reports that the Clinton Machine is getting a infusion of old blood, the Campaign team of 1992 is coming back, Mr James Carville and Mr Paul Begala. If any one that can turn this disaster around its these two men. One point again, Hillary Clinton is not Bill Clinton. I don't think they are listening in the Clinton Camp.

Hollywood Liberals

LA Times: How Hollywood Liberals can tell the difference between Titanic and Waterworld. They want to be seen on the winning side. Don't they watch the West Wing, similar story line. Ethnic Minority Candidate over takes the Establishment Candidate to win the White House.

No Ballots - Drudge Report

Drudge is reporting that New Hampshire is running out of Democratic Ballots, if McCain does not get a good lot of Independent voters then Romney could over take him, this could be a very interesting development in the Republican Race. As for the running out of Ballots it could mean that Obama is heading for a massive victory, can Hillary Clinton go on if she is massively defeated.

Clinton Road Map

New York Times: Looks at post New Hampshire, who is going to be thrown over board, the question that has to be asked is it to late for Clinton.

The Democratic Establishment

WSJ: Looks at the prospects of the Democratic Establishment going over to Obama. If Obama wins by double digits Democratic Senators will want to support him, he gets votes, they want votes its that simple.

Money

Time: Money is the foundation of modern American politics, Time reports that the Clinton is need of money. The problem is when you think you are going to win, an arrogance develops within the machine, the problem is that the Clinton's are arrogant enough, so when you add the Elite Media view that Clinton was going to walk these early votes you have trouble. It seems that the Clinton machine needs money to fight Obama. They are in trouble.

Iran Threat to USA Ships

BBC: United States Ships in international waters came under threat from Iran yesterday, no action was taken, it could be argued that it might have been better if the USA had taken action, sunk some ships that had been a threat, send a message to Iran, Iran understands a steel fist in a glove.

Fox on the Spot, the Clinton Moment

Are you watching the end of a Political Dynasty? Weak Women don't get elected. Can you see Lady Thatcher doing a cry moment during an election. This could cost Hillary the Election. I hope it was no fake, it would be a major political mistake.

The Problem with Bill !

New York Times: Looks at the problem of what do with Bill, as in President Bill Clinton. Welcome to Al Gore's World in 2000. The NYT writes the following, " Mr. Clinton’s presence is at the heart of the tricky two-step that Mrs. Clinton’s campaign has been trying with mixed success — to convince voters that it is wise to reach into the past to change the future; that these old familiar faces can convincingly sell a “new beginning. " At least Al Gore could place some distance between himself and President Clinton. Hillary Clinton is married to him, very complicated and Bill has an ego!!.

Bob Shrum Advice

New York Daily News: Mr Shrum has lost more Presidential bids than VIEWS has had healthy dinners in total. Advice to Hillary, Read it and do the opposite.

New Hampshire Polls

RCP: All the latest polls on RealClearPolitics have Obama ahead from 1 % to 13 %. This is my prediction Obama by double digits over Clinton, would not be surprised to see a margin of over 15 %. On the Republican side lot more closer, as stated its down to the Independents, Romney had a good debate last night it seems from those voters asked by Fox News. But recalled Romney has won a Debate before the Iowa Vote and he came second in that race. I think McCain will have about 7 % over Romney. Then down to S.C.

Muskie Moment ?

ABC News: Looks at when the Clinton Facade broke and Clinton cried, if it was planned a disaster if not then not fit to be President. Go ask President Muskie what happens when you cry on TV in New Hampshire.

Is Clinton Out?

Drudge Report: Is reporting that Hillary Clinton is thinking about getting out if she was to lose New Hampshire. If she was to lose by double digits, she does not want to be recalled as the Clinton that could not win. Depends on the Result.

New Poll - Republicans

Rasmussen: A new poll out on New Hampshire, this shows a close race between McCain and Romney. In my view as stated in prev post, this will be quite a close race, if the Independents go for Obama then McCain will win but it will be a tough fight, just a gut feeling about the race.

Rasmussen Poll:

McCain 32 %

Romney 30 %

If it looks like Obama will win easily, then more Independents will vote in the Republican race. A very close race, Romney could still pull it off in N.H. He has the money.

New Hampshire Polls

I have selected a poll that I think follows the trend I see, but there are a lot of polls, so take your pick.

McClatchy-MSNBC poll: On the Democratic side this poll has Obama and Clinton tied, I think Obama is way ahead, but we shall see, on the Republican side more interesting, McCain well ahead, here are the figures:

Democrats:

Obama 33 %

Clinton 31 %


Republicans:

McCain 32 %

Romney 24 %

Head on chopping block again, I see Obama and McCain winning in New Hampshire. I think the Republican side could be quite close, if the Independents vote in the Democratic Race. I think Obama will win big in N.H.

The Clinton Mess

Time: Reports on the internal finger pointing within the Clinton machine. If Senator Clinton was to lose New Hampshire some one will have to be thrown off the Cliff. A few worried people at the Clinton Campaign.

Hillary Clinton's Last Stand

Reagan in 1980 looked strong in a Debate, Senator Hillary Clinton looks like a former Front Runner who is about to lose her chance to be President.

Drudge on New Poll

The Drudge Report: Has a new poll from the respected pollster Rasmussen on the Democratic Race in New Hampshire:

Obama 39 %

Clinton 27 %

If that was the result on Tuesday the Clinton Campaign could be over, Obama would win the nomination.

Fox Review of Debate

If these undecided voters are the norm on N.H then the Clinton Campaign is toast. You cant impose Bill on Hillary.

The Left and Bush

Washington Post: An article by George McGovern, Defeated by Richard Nixon in 1972. A call to impeach both Bush and Cheney. It has a very funny paragraph, " But the case for impeaching Bush and Cheney is far stronger than was the case against Nixon and Vice President Spiro T. Agnew after the 1972 election. The nation would be much more secure and productive under a Nixon presidency than with Bush. Indeed, has any administration in our national history been so damaging as the Bush-Cheney era? " I wish President Nixon was around to read this, I think he would just laugh, your never as bad as one of your successors. This article should tell you why the Democrats lose Presidential Elections starting with 1972.

President Obama ?

Washington Post: The Dean of the Washington Press has a look at the race in New Hampshire. The Republicans are in for a long race, but if Obama can win N.H the race could be over. Broder writes the following, " Any way you view it, the race is now Obama's to lose. " The Clinton Machine is tough, both Bill and Hillary are not going to give up without a fight. Twenty Four hours is a long time in politics.

The Debate R - D

Have to admit folks was out on Saturday so did not see the debate, also over the water thus not shown on CNN or Fox. Lets see how the Elite Media play the Debate, also the question does it matter, its a Saturday, so low audience figure. The Election is on Tuesday, not sure it will effect the outcome.

Obama and Clinton

Fox News: A look at the Clinton operation and the new movement by Obama. VIEWS is supporting Obama and McCain in New Hampshire.

Clinton and History ?

The Politico: Article of the day, looks at the importance of the election in New Hampshire, how this will define both Bill and Hillary Clinton, a win, and Clinton will be up there with Kennedy and Reagan, a loss would recall that fear of LBJ that he would be the man between the Kennedy Administrations, Bill Clinton would be the man between the Bush Administrations, in a time of peace and economic growth, the only elected President to be impeached by the Congress. That's how important the election is for the Clinton's.

Bad Politics !

Washington Post: It seems from this article in the Washington Post that the Clinton machine has learned nothing from Iowa, the message of Experience and Change will be combined. Have the Clinton's became so arrogant that they think the art of politics does not effect them, Senator Hillary Clinton can still win, but she has to look to the future, this past look to the 199s, is a big fat political mistake, god awful politics to be blunt. The Clinton Machine is tough but if they go all out in winning the nomination they risk losing the Presidency. Obama has that Kennedy/ Reagan Teflon, when he is attacked it makes the attackers look bad, the Clinton's cant go to hard or in November any Republican Candidate could defeat Senator Hillary Clinton.

Clinton Machine in Meltdown ?

New York Times: Interesting article in the Liberal New York Times, a theme that VIEWS picked up on the networks on Thursday, at the Clinton Concession speech it was like the famous faces of the 1990s, President Bill Clinton, , former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, General Wesley Clark. The NYT writes the following, " Some advisers say that the campaign miscalculated in having Mr. Clinton play such a public role, that Mrs. Clinton could not effectively position herself as a change agent, the profile du jour for Democrats, so long as he stood as a reminder that her presidency would be much like his. Other advisers say that Mr. Obama now owns the “change” mantra and that Mrs. Clinton needs a Plan B. " If Hillary Clinton wants to be President, she has to earn it, its not her god given right because she married Bill. Bill Clinton what ever his faults and they are many, fought and won the Presidency.

McCain Surge - New Poll

Rasmussen: On the Republican side, McCain is still ahead of Romney, as stated New Hampshire will go for McCain. The good showing in Iowa also the lead before should help McCain. The one thing that could stop McCain is if Romney should go very negative. If Romney was to lose N.H its over for him, money or no money.

The Poll:

McCain 31 %

Romney 26 %

Huckabee is a now show is N.H. The place is quite secular and has voted for McCain in 2000. In fact it helps Huckabee if McCain wins and Romney is forced out. The next target for Huckabee is South Carolina, lot of religious voters. This will be a clash between McCain and Huckabee.

Obama Surge - New Poll

Rasmussen: A new Rasmussen poll for New Hampshire, has Senator Obama ten points ahead, can the Clinton Machine crawl the Senator back down to political earth in the time they have, less than three days before the vote. Here are the figures from the Poll:

Obama 37 %

Clinton 27 %

Edwards 19 %

If Independents go with Obama this could course serious problems for Clinton and help Edwards . An outside chance, a very outside chance that Edwards could come seocnd in N.H. In South Carolina Obama should win as it has a heavy African - American vote there for him. This would push Clinton to follow the Giuliani plan and wait for Super Tuesday.

Iowa Result 2008

Well folks it was nice to be right about the result in Iowa, the prediction was lucky by 1 percent in both Democratic and Republic race. Had the order right, on the Republican side, Huckabee, Romney and McCain and on the Democratic side, Obama, Edwards and Clinton. McCain was 1 percent ahead of Thompson and Clinton was 1 percent behind Edwards.

The full result is as follows.

Democrats:

Obama 38 %

Edwards 30 %

Clinton 29 %

By the entry polls taken by the networks change played a part in the result on the Democratic side. In the speech by Clinton the old experience card was used again for the future. Might work in N.H. McCain has gained from this card.

On the Republican side:

Huckabee 34 %

Romney 25 %

McCain 13 %

Entry polls showed religion played an important part in the result, New Hampshire is more secular. McCain should win New Hampshire. All the latest polls have him leading. But Iowa is out of the way now, so Romney has five days to win N.H.

The Ghost of 9/11

New York Times: The Chair and Vice Chair of the 9/11 Commission are not happy that their Commission was not informed of the CIA Tapes. They write in the NYT the following, " What we do know is that government officials decided not to inform a lawfully constituted body, created by Congress and the president, to investigate one the greatest tragedies to confront this country. We call that obstruction. " They have a point, this smells like Pearl Harbour all over again, after 9/11 the Commission should have had all the information, if we don't learn from the past we will make the same mistakes in the future.

CIA Tapes Destruction and Law

New York Times: Reports that an outside Prosecutor, John H. Durham has been bought in to look at the destruction of the CIA Tapes. The paper is never happy it writes the following, " Mr. Durham was not appointed as a special counsel in this case, a step sought by some Congressional Democrats. He will have less expansive authority than a special counsel and will report to the deputy attorney general rather than assume the powers of the attorney general, which he would have had as a special counsel. " This is a wise move by the Justice Department, just in case we have a Prosecutor like we had in the Libby Case, the Justice Department can make sure he keeps to brief, and deals with the actual case. Expect many a story about this case in the NYT, its Watergate in their eyes.

CNN Poll

CNN: Has a new poll that shows the Senator McCain has tied with Governor Romney in New Hampshire. If one looks at the general trend of the polls one can see that McCain has a good chance of winning New Hampshire. A repeat of 2000. The question is can he win the nomination down the line.

CNN Poll Results:

McCain 29 %

Romney 29 %

Giuliani 12 %

If Huckabee wins tomorrow, this should cut the Romney lead by a few points in N.H. As the Primary is within a few days gives McCain a chance, but he has to be tough, more tougher political adds. McCain is a War Hero, use it and win.

New Hampshire Poll

Franklin Pierce University: Reports a new Poll that has Senator John McCain ahead again over Romney. I am going to make a prediction, McCain takes N.H. The Republican contest comes down to S.C.

Here are the results of the poll:

McCain 37 %

Romney 31 %

If Huckabee wins Iowa, McCain will take N.H. A very interesting race will develop.

Robert Novak Tip

The respected Reporter Robert Novak has predicted that Obama and Romney will win Iowa. Novak is the best in the business when it comes to Presidential Politics.

Iowa Result - Republicans ?

On the Republican side, even with his faults over the past week I see Huckabee winning Iowa, those of a religious faith will go out in to the cold to support their guy. In second Romney should not be far behind. His toughest match is in New Hampshire with Senator McCain. The third ticket out of Iowa goes to McCain. If McCain can come in third, he should win N.H five days later.

Iowa Result - Democrats ?

This is prediction time for the Iowa Result, its like putting your head on the chopping block!! On the Democratic Side I see the following results.

The winner is Obama, he has the intense support, but this comes from younger supporters, Univ Students. If they have recovered from the New Year Celebration and can get out of bed they will support Obama. As to Second this is a very close call, Edwards or Clinton, Edwards has union support, always good to have in the Democratic field. On the other hand Clinton has the money and the ground work, her support on the whole comes from older women, over 50. The question will Union supporters over take older women. As Edwards has lived and breathed Iowa since the 2004 Presidential Election this should give him second place. The question does it matter, he is getting public money, cant compete with Obama and Clinton outside Iowa. Then Hillary Clinton should come in third. The question is, how much behind Edwards will she be, my gut is telling me that it wont be as close as the pundits are calling it, Clinton just might be some way behind Obama and Edwards. If Clinton can win N.H she can became the second Comeback Candidate after her husband.