Happy New Year World

HAPPY NEW YEAR WORLD

Husband Bill

The Politico: Looks at the role of Bill Clinton in Iowa and a future First Husband. The reason that Master politician has been needed is that Hillary Clinton is not him, the problem with Democrats is that they super impose Bill on Hillary and expect it work, software patches on your PC should work, does not mean they will all the time. Hillary is not Bill.

A Fake but a good Fake ?

Romney is good very good on the TV spots, a fake but a good fake. Sometimes a fake is better than the real thing, politics is a very odd sport. Romney the next President ?

New Poll in Iowa

A new poll from Zogby, on the Democratic side the Obama surge has stalled and Edwards is on the up, a trend of this week, a winning trend ? If Edwards was to win, he has no where to go, he is taking public money, he can not afford to fight the Clinton Machine. Here is the Zogby Poll:

Clinton 30 %

Obama 26 %

Edwards 26 %

The race is to close to call on the Democratic side.


On the Republican side, we still have Huckabee in the lead just over Romney. Romney due to his money should be able to take Iowa. Here is the Poll Results:


Huckabee 29 %

Romney 27 %

McCain 13 %

If Huckabee can hold on, and McCain can sharpen his political add in N.H then McCain just might get the nomination.

The Wild Card of 08

New York Times: This could be the wild card of o8, if Mayor Bloomberg was to run for the Presidency. He is a BILLIONAIRE, the NYT writes the following, " Advisers have said Mr. Bloomberg, a billionaire many times over, might invest as much as $1 billion of his own fortune (he spent about $160 million on his two mayoral races) on a presidential campaign. " Both Republicans and Democrats combined could not match him in the money stakes, he could spend a billion and not notice, this would then become even more an interesting race, the establishments of both Parties should be very worried about a Bloomberg Campaign.

Howard Dean Moment

CNN: Reports that a Top Supporters of Senator Hillary Clinton, Governor Ted Strickland of Ohio has been critical of the role of Iowa in the election process. This recalls when Howard Dean was seen to be critical of the role of Iowa in the election process, this did not help him with the good people of Iowa. Also do the Clinton people have internal polls showing them behind, it seems that the Senator was planning a quick getaway from Iowa to N.H. I hope the good people of Iowa will vote to show their negative view of candidates who don't wait to to hear the election result.

Does Thompson have the fire in the belly to win ?

CNN: Reports on the view that Senator Fred Thompson does not really want to be President, no fire in the belly would be the correct term, Reagan in 1976 and 1980 wanted to be President, will Thompson carry on if he was to lose the early states, have doubts on that question. The Presidency is taken not given, one sometimes gets the impression that Thompson wants to be handed the job, it does not work that way.

McCain goes after Romney

McCain is a good man, a heroic man, but is he tough enough to win the Presidency. On the whole I think the Romney add on Huckabee is better, I think the Senator has to improve his adds. Need to be tougher on Romney.

Romney Add and Huckabee

This could be the add that stops Governor Huckabee in Iowa, its very effective political tool. Its negative but factual, this could be the add that gives Romney the Nomination. Very Effective.

Fred Thompson Add

Thompson another Reagan ? Reagan in 1976 lost the early states but carried on, came close to the nomination in 1976.

CIA Tapes

New York Times: A look at the decision by the CIA to destroy the tapes of its interrogation of Terrorists. On the whole a very fair article from the Liberal NYT. THE NYT OF COURSE IS OPPOSED TO HARSH METHODS WHEN DEALING WITH THERATS TO THE USA.

Romney and Huckabee in Iowa

Washington Post: Interesting article about the fight between Romney and Huckabee in Iowa. The fight back by Romney and his critical adds seems to have halted the Huckabee surge at the moment as seen by the latest polls from Iowa, a Mason - Dixon poll has Romney 27 %, Huckabee 23 %, Zogby has the following results, Huckabee 29 %, Romney 28 %. Iowa is still to close to call, I though Huckabee would win, not so sure just to close to call.

Union Leader on Clinton

New Hampshire Union Leader: Interesting article asking for Senator Clinton to release files from the Clinton Administration. The paper states the following, " A candidate with White House experience who really believes that would let voters examine the records from the period during which she claims she was such a vital part of "the White House team." But Mrs. Clinton's actions show that she does not believe what she says. " This should help Senator Obama. The Clinton Machine is doing a con trick, asking voters to take the word of a politician.

Iowa Polls Part Two

Well folks it getting close the vote in Iowa, but it seems from the polls that on the Democratic side its even stevens, small lead for Clinton in a new Zogby Poll, Clinton 31 %, Obama 27 % and Edwards third at 24 %. The Clinton's should not get the good stuff out to drink yet, another poll has another story. A McClatchy-MSNBC poll has Edwards ahead, in this poll Edwards 24 %, Clinton 23 %, Obama 22 %. Thus you take your pick with polls, recall 1992 Polls for the UK General Election, LESSON, don't trust people when you ask them how they will vote.

NYT on McCain

New York Times: Another good article on the McCain Campaign, one gets the impression that the one Republican that the Liberal NYT likes is Senator John McCain. Although they disagree on many issues, they share agreement on some very important issues, Torture, the Role of the Presidency v Congress. The one major exception is Iraq, McCain supported the surge the NYT was against the Bush policy in Iraq.

Salon on the Democrats

Salon.com: Looks at the Democratic Race and who can win in Iowa and how the voters of Iowa will pick their candidate. One simple answer, a winner, but that goes for Republicans and Democrats.

Romney in Spin over McCain

Governor Romney has decided to go negative on the McCain Campaign. The Governor is fighting on two fronts, Iowa and N.H. If he was to lose both he could be out of the race. Click here to see the latest negative add from Romney.

Iowa and the Democrats

WSJ: I could be wrong put this article is more like an endorsement for Senator Obama, goes all through the negative aspects of the Clinton Administration and the positives of Obama. Has WSJ endorsed Obama, read and decide.

Iowa Third ?

Fox News: An article by Susan Estrich on the effect of coming third in Iowa, how this can have a massive effect this year when N.H votes. The effect will be negative. This follows on from previous commentary on Iowa. On the Republican side it could be different, if McCain can come in Third he has a chance of winning in N.H.

McCain the next POTUS ?

Robert Novak: The respected reporter looks at the prospects for Senator John McCain and his chances of winning the Republican Nomination. Its all down Iowa, a Romney loss would help McCain in N.H.

McCain and Foreign Policy

New York Times: If did not not better would think that the NYT wants Senator John McCain to the be the Republican nominee, the article looks at how the McCain campaign is stressing National Security Experience after the events in Pakistan Today.

INF Treaty

The National Security Archive; George Washington University; has a new look at the Washington Summit of 1987. The NSA has the latest released documents from the then USSR and the USA. Must Read of the Day.

Pakistan and O8 Election

CNN: Looks at the effect of the events in Pakistan on the up an coming vote in Iowa. Iowa has a Isolation bent in character, both Democrats and Republicans, but Foreign Policy Experience could help Clinton and McCain. My gut is telling me could be seeing a Clinton v McCain contest after February.

Iowa Polls

Just after the Christmas, and the polls in Iowa are all over the place, a Strategic Vision Poll has Obama ahead by 1 point, 30 % Obama, Clinton 29 %, a ARG Poll has Clinton ahead by 15 points, Clinton 34 %, and Obama in third place at 19 %. Its getting interesting folks.

Iowa Trail

DesMoinesRegister.com: A very interesting article that looks at the effect of coming third in Iowa, the article states the following, " On the Democratic side, a third-place finish will severely wound a leading candidate, perhaps mortally. On the Republican side, it just might provide a shot of political steroid for a lagging candidate as the race heads to New Hampshire. " If McCain can come in third this could give him the chance of New Hampshire; should Huckabee beat Romney; as in N.H Huckabee is at the bottom of the polls. The last poll I saw had Fred Thmpson in third place, but events events as a old British Prime Minister stated to a Minster, third place just might be POTUS.

A Sad Day

The Assassination of Benazir Bhutto, the former Prime Minister of Pakistan and leader of the PPP is a sad day for Pakistan and for those that support Democracy. The up and coming election in Pakistan has to be carried on, if Democracy is stalled then the Terrorist wins. The Assassination does raise a question, can Pakistan have security and Democracy or do the people of Pakistan have to chose between Security and Democracy. Pakistan is nuclear armed thus the future of Pakistan is a concern of the West and the World.

Peace

Happy Christmas and a Happy New Year to the World

LETS HAVE SOME PEACE THIS YEAR

Fake Romney

Concord Monitor: Has come with a negative view of Governor Romney, the paper writes the following, " If you followed only his tenure as governor of Massachusetts, you might imagine Romney as a pragmatic moderate with liberal positions on numerous social issues and an ability to work well with Democrats. If you followed only his campaign for president, you'd swear he was a red-meat conservative, pandering to the religious right, whatever the cost. Pay attention to both, and you're left to wonder if there's anything at all at his core. " This gives McCain an excellent chance in New Hampshire, he is only a few points behind Romney, as stated it all goes down to Iowa, if Huckabee can win Iowa then this should help McCain in N.H, the general view is that Romney would lose support in the state and thus allow a McCain win.

NYT and Hillary Clinton

New York Times: Another biting article on Hillary Clinton, is the LIBERAL New York Times really out to support Obama. Two biting articles by their top writers, I smell a hatched job here, if your supporting Obama NYT just come out and support him, he is a good choice to be President.

Bill Clinton and the NYT

New York Times: A biting article by Maureen Dowd on the Clinton marriage, what she did not mention was the fact that if Hillary Clinton is elected you can almost guarantee sometime during her Presidency there will be Special Prosecutor, mixture of soap and law and order.

New N.H Poll ( PDF Required ) - Republicans

Boston Globe: The new poll shows how the Huckabee effect in Iowa has effected Romney in New Hampshire, McCain is back from the political dead, he is know second to Romney, if Romney was to lose Iowa this could move McCain to take N.H. The race would be wide open it would come down to South Carolina and and Super Tuesday in early February. Here are the figures:

Romney 28 %

McCain 25 %

McCain should get his supporters to support Huckabee in Iowa and Huckabee who has no chance in New Hampshire should get his voters to support McCain. This method could see Romney out of the race and the contest would be between McCain, Huckabee and Giuliani

New N.H Poll ( PDF Required ) - Democrats

Boston Globe: A new poll from New Hampshire, that's shows Obama still ahead by two points, it should be recalled that Hillary Clinton was miles ahead, her campaign for the past few weeks has been a semi disaster. Here are the figures:

Obama 30 %

Clinton 28 %

Edwards 14 %

In N.H Edwards has not chance, the contest is between Obama and Clinton. If Obama can win Iowa and Clinton should come third, she could lose N.H. The contest would then go down to Super Tuesday in early February.

Fox on the Money and Truth!!

Romney is not the Gipper, in future he has to get his history right. Romney should read history and the fate of the Gore in 2000. The Press will go after any error and they have the money to check and double check. The Elite Press dont like the Republicans.

Romney another Clinton ?

Speak the Truth and Win!

Iowa Poll - Democrats

Strategic Vision Poll: Democrats

Obama 30 %

Clinton 27 %

Edwards 27 %

Another poll showing Obama ahead and Clinton and Edwards tied for second place. An interesting thought, what if Obama wins and Edwards comes second and Clinton third, will N.H be enough to protect the nomination for Clinton. In N.H Obama and Clinton are tied, one gets the impression that Democrats don't really want Hillary Clinton and are looking for reasons to support Obama, lets face it the Clinton Campaign has not helped itself in Iowa, so many mistakes but can the powerful Clinton Machine turn this around, the next few days and weeks will be very interesting on the political front.

New Iowa Poll - Republicans

Strategic Vision Poll: Republicans


Huckabee: 31 %

Romney: 25 %

Thompson 16 %

A interesting poll, have Huckabee and Romney fighting each other taking their eye of the ball, Thompson is going up, and McCain is close to Romney in N.H. Is it possible that Romney could come third after spending his millions in the State. The Problem with Romney as shown in his Meet the Press Interview and his claim that he saw his father march with Martin Luther King; his father did not march with King but supported Civil Rights; is that Romney is a fake, his use of the English Language is like Bill Clinton not a good example in the Republican Race for President.

CIA Tapes

New York Times: Reports that a Judge at the Federal Level has turned down a request that he hold a hearing in to the destruction of the now well known CIA Tapes. The NYT wont be happy, they see this as another Watergate, they hate the Bush Administration so much they want Terrorists treated as if they are common criminals. The CIA was right to destroy the Tapes, National Security should always come first, the protection of CIA Agents should always be the first order.

The Nation - Liberal Bible

The Nation: The bible of the left is not happy, no one seems to match their need to lose elections. LBJ once said if you had a grandmother with one eye you don't show her to the public, think The Nation and you get the idea, out of Iraq, tax the rich, etc, the loony tunes of the left, God help us ( they wont like that either !! ). Makes one almost vote for Hillary Clinton.!!

Democratic Congress and Power Politics

USA Today: As with previous post this looks at the failure of the Democratic Congress to get what it wanted through, looks at how they failed and how the players, The Hill, The White House can work to get some work done in Washington D.C. Its an Election Year, I wont hold my breath.

Bush V The Hill

New York Times: An article that looks how Democratic Dreams from last year meet the reality of the Power of the Presidency. One feels the the NYT has the same problem as the Democratic Leadership, they trusted their own spin rather than looking how real power works on the The Hill. Even the Democratic Leadership has learned not to attack the President on Iraq, the NYT writes the following, " They will keep the pressure on over Iraq, though the speaker indicated that she might focus more on policy questions and less on money for troops. " In other words the Democrats don't want to be seen as weak on National Security in an Election Year. It would be ironic if the Democrats lost the White House because of the actions of a Democratic Congress.

New Hampshire Poll

USA Today/ Gallup Poll: The Firewall that was New Hampshire has gone for Hillary Clinton, Senator Obama and Senator Clinton are tied in the latest poll from the state. Here are the figures:

Obama 32 %

Clinton 32 %

The Edwards campaign is at 18 %, in other words Obama is the main challenge to Clinton. If Obama can win Iowa and N.H and then South Carolina it could be over for Clinton. It charisma v experience, hope v harsh politics. The War in Iraq has improved, the threat of terrorism has gone down, thus voters will consider a risk and vote for a less experience candidate because they want some hope for the future, a bridge to the 21 Century as a certain President once stated, who could that be? Think it was a certain President Clinton.

Clinton Dirty Pool Part Three

ABC News: Has an exclusive story that the Clinton machine will launch Web sites to attack Senator Obama. Do the good people of Iowa want that kind of candidate to win their sate and even worse win the Presidency. The true colours of the Clinton Machine is coming out, win at any cost, no matter the damage to the election cycle. This is move makes Richard Nixon look like a Liberal!! No wonder the Richard Nixon had praise for Bill Clinton when he meet him, share the same political view, destroy your opponent and win at any cost.

McCain Next President ?

New Hampshire Union Leader: Has an interesting article on the real challenge to Romney coming from McCain in N.H not Huckabee. Early in the Campaign McCain was the front runner, can he do a Clinton and come back, as George W. Bush did in South Carolina in 2000 when McCain beat him in N.H. Politics and Xmas what fun!!!

CNN Poll in Iowa

CNN: Reports that the Iowa candidates are grouping together, latest figures in the Democratic Race for President.

Clinton 30 %

Obama 28 %

Edwards 26 %

The Edwards Campaign of late has even lead in one poll, that is one poll, even if Edwards could win Iowa it would mean a Clinton win, Edwards does not have the money he is taking public funds, if Clinton could come in second and win in N.H then she will win the Democratic nomination for President.

Drudge Report on McCain

Drudge Report: Reports a conflict between the Liberal New York Times and the McCain Campaign. It seems that the NYT has a interesting story connecting the Senator to a Lobbyist. What is most interesting is who leaked the story and why, well it seems to have come from the NYT, reporters who are not happy that the Editor does not want to run a story before people vote next year. This sounds like a good story if true, all those in the story deny its basics. It shall be interesting if the Elite Media follow up on this story. Could the Clinton Machine be behind it, always assume they are guilty of something, even if different campaign.

New Republican Poll

ABC News/Washington Post: A new poll that shows that Governor Huckabee is still in the lead in Iowa.

Huckabee 35 %

Romney 27 %

I still think my early call for Huckabee in Iowa is correct. I dont think Romney cant get pass his Mormon faith, not fair but that is politics.

Republican Poll

Rasmussen: Has Huckabee blown Iowa, when he started to take a long lead in Iowa other Republicans started to look at his record as Governor, but this is the important part, he treated Iraq like a Democrats would treat the issue. Bush might not be popular at the moment but with Republican cadre he is still popular. Governor Huckabee has been critical of Bush over Iraq, not a good move in Iowa.

The Poll:

Huckabee 28 %

Romney 27 %

Is Romney the Comeback Candidate of 2008.

The New York Observer

The New York Observer: Having a go at the Liberal Congress for not getting out of Iraq. They missed the Surge in Iraq.

New Iowa Poll

ABC News/Washington Post: A new poll from Iowa, it shows how successful Senator Obama has been in the last few weeks, in giving himself a chance at the nomination.


Obama 33 %

Clinton 29 %


And in the second round the Senator is also ahead of Clinton.

Obama 37 %

Clinton 31 %

This is the time for the Senator to make Iowa is First Home, half day for Xmas celebrations then back on the Campaign Trail.

Xmas Holiday and Campaign

This is how to run a campaign during the Xmas period.

Xmas Period

While we eat and be merry over the Xmas period and watch Dr Who on Christmas Day, the poor people of Iowa get harried by people wanting to be President, poor them, could be worse they cold be French!! Governor Huckabee again shows his smarts, an add about Xmas, he has that Reagan charm. If a Democrat don't be to keen on him to win, recall Reagan.

Back to Politics !!

CNN: Reports that if Hillary Clinton should win next year, on her first day she will send her husband and his new best buddy, George. H. W. Bush around the world to fix the problems created by the Bush 43. The Bush Clan is about one thing if anything and that is loyalty. Don't think Bush 41 will take kindly to being dragged in to the mess that is the Clinton Campaign at the moment. The Clinton Camp must be worried, not a good idea to annoy a former President and his son who is President.

MBF Away from Politics

PM Not at Home !!

Gordon Brown not ready to take the advice from VIEWS ( on the left, shinny one )

Cranford

Sunday will not be the same without Cranford on BBC 1, best drama in a long time.

Lieberman Supports McCain

Fox News: Reports that Senator Lieberman is to Endorse Senator McCain, how about a McCain - Lieberman Ticket, not a bad idea if you think about it for second, Republican - Democrat, and Lieberman is strong supporter of the War in Iraq.

Clinton = Reagan ?

NY Daily News: Reports that Senator Clinton has stated that she is in for the long run, well that does recall Reagan in 1976, loss early states and came close to unseating President Gerald Ford.

Meet the Press

Well saw Governor Romney on Meet the Press, honest opinion of VIEWS family, a fake, sorry but a fake, all over the place on Issues, had that Bill Clinton negative that he tried to use the English Language as a shield. I think Huckabee has a good chance in Iowa.

Afghanistan

New York Times: Reports that the Bush Administration is doing a review its operations military and non military in Afghanistan. This is an excellent move, the terrorists have recovered from 2001, thus we need new ideas to attack them on the military front but also to keep the support of the good people of Afghanistan.

New Hampshire Firewall

Washington Post: Interesting article in the Post, it seems that the Clinton Campaign is hoping that past alliances will help them in 2008, they should be very careful, Hillary Clinton could win N.H but be like Paul Tsongas see Obama come in a strong second like her husband and go on to win the nomination.

Boston Globe: I was curious about this article, by the one and only James Carville, it looks back at the race in 1992 in N.H. Then I read the above article, are the elite media giving the Clinton Machine a pass on losing Iowa and N.H but coming in a strong second aka Bill Clinton in 1992. YES VIEWS IS THAT MUCH A CYNIC.

Republican Race for President

Its to early to make a call in this race overall, just have to see some more polls and Iowa result.

The Democratic Race for President

Lets have a quick look at the polls for the early states voting, Iowa by an RCP Average has Obama ahead by 3.5 %, looking at the polls over all in Iowa VIEWS is going to name Obama the winner in Iowa. Next the firewall for Hillary Clinton, New Hampshire, this one is harder to call, RCP on Average has Clinton leading by 3 %, if Obama can win Iowa by a good margin, then he can win N.H. In this state Obama is lucky Independents can vote in either the Democratic or Republican Primary, depends if the good people don't vote as they did in 2000 for McCain then they will vote for Obama on Election Day. This is a close call but VIEWS has Obama winning New Hampshire. Then on to Michigan, well the Clinton Campaign should be happy, the RCP Average has Clinton ahead by 23 %, but should Obama win the first two states, can Clinton keep the lead here, yes it would take a miracle for her to lose Michigan, so Michigan for Clinton. The same goes for Nevada, another Clinton win in less Obama can run the field. Then on to South Carolina this could finish Hillary Clinton, RCP Average is only 2.2 % ahead for Clinton and if Obama can move the African - American vote he should be able to win this state. Then Florida, this should be a win for Hillary in less Obama runs the field again.

Here is VIEWS prediction, early and could be very wrong, but just a gut instinct, Obama will be the nominee for the Democrats.

Bill Clinton Again !!

New York Times: It seems that Bill Clinton is losing the plot, yet again he his having a go at the experience of Senator Obama, lets be honest Bill Clinton has wanted to be President since he took his first breath, so the argument that someone par a Clinton has not enough experience does not wash, time to send Bill Clinton on a long holiday trip, get him out the way during the election. DOES BILL WANT HILLARY TO WIN ! !

Massachusetts Press Support

Boston Globe: The newspaper form the home state of Governor Romney supports Obama for the Democrats and McCain for the Republicans. Its odd that the newspaper did not support the candidate from its own state, but its a Liberal Newspaper.

Iowa Press Support

DesMoinesRegister: The State Paper supports Clinton for the Democrats and McCain for the Republicans, one point McCain has his eye on N.H, cant see this helping much, it will help Hillary Clinton, tied or just behind Obama. Are the Elite Media playing games, an endorsement that really helps Clinton but on the Republican side, a support that does nothing for the game on the ground.

Handover in Iraq

The UK has handover Basra Province to the Iraqi government, in the end our brave Service Personnel did their best in a bad situation, but I wonder did we help the people of Basra. We never had enough troops, but if this prevents the loss of another Soldier then so let it be, we can be proud of our Armed Forces. The BBC see what it wants to see, troops out of Iraq, in the years to come the first people to complain should events on the ground go bad will be the BBC.

Clinton Dirty Pool Part Two

Its an old political game, point out a problem, and if a fuss say sorry; Hillary Clinton has said sorry for the actions of her aide; but the story is out, in this case the past drug use of Senator Obama, he has been very honest about his past mistakes, but the Clinton Machines is in trouble thus its dirty pool time, it should be recalled that the Clinton machine play dirty, they win, so the Obama Campaign should look for more dirty pool from the Hillary Clinton Campaign. The Clinton's think they have a divine right to the Presidency. Lets hope the good people of Iowa show that the Presidency requires their votes. Lets hope they vote for Obama.

NO MORE DIRTY POOL CLINTON CAMPAIGN

Democrats V Democrats

Washington Post: An article that looks at the political battle between the Congressional Leaders on the Democratic Side. The House and the Senate work on a different level, in the House the majority rules, in the Senate it needs over sixty votes to work. The row at its centre is based on the fact that LIBERAL pressure groups have a lot of influence in the House, they give the money, and all Democrats are up for election, the Senate is different, Senators serve six years and the Democrats look good for next year, but at the present they still need Republican votes to pass Bills. The core problem for the House is that the base wants out of Iraq and the Leaders in the House cant move the Senate and thus they have to fold and give the Administration what it wants, the base in not happy, but the House leadership is caught between a rock and hard place. Very informative article on the process of government in the United States.

EU Treaty

Mr Bean, sorry Mr Brown turned up to sign the treaty. Another year of Disaster we face.

Huckabee = Reagan ?

Newsday: Interesting article that looks at the view held by Democratic Strategic thinkers, that Governor Huckabee would be easy to beat, as the article points out these same thinkers thought President Carter would beat an ex actor, ex Governor, lets see, Ronald Reagan. The Democratic Speaker of the Congress, Speaker Tip O' Neill wanted Reagan to win the nomination, he thought Carter would win. It has to be recalled your dealing with Elite Liberals, they think New York and California is the the United States, they forget the states in between. Must Read of the Day.

Afghanistan

NATO and Afghan forces have retaken Musa Qala but the point is how long can NATO keep retaking towns they lose, what is the end game or is there no end game, WAR WITHOUT END. If we are there for years, lets build up our troops, make sure they have the best equipment and pay. Also when troops are killed or suffer serious injury the government should make sure that families are supported and the money is there, we own our troops the best support.

Thompson Win at Debate

The last Republican Debate before voting was won by Senator Fred Thompson. Did recall the famous 1980 Debate performance of the Gipper. But on the whole should not effect the race, Huckabee should still win Iowa.

New Hampshire Poll

As always the respected pollster Rasmussen shows whats going on in New Hampshire. Obama is leading Hillary Clinton. Here are the raw figures:

Obama 31 %

Clinton 28 %

The race is close, its to early to call the race for Obama, but if Obama can win in Iowa he should come close or win in N.H. If Obama can manage that kind of show he should beat Hillary Clinton down the line, Bill Clinton will not be a happy man if that happens, he would see it as personal defeat for himself.

Is Clinton OUT ?

A new poll by Strategic Vision should cause some worry in the Clinton Camp. Its the same feeling one has with Huckabee, as he will win Iowa, well Obama is on the way to winning over Clinton. Here are the raw figures:

Obama 32 %

Clinton 25 %

The poll has an interesting question on what the voters want in a candidate, and charisma beats experience. Obama could be the new Clinton, that would very ironic if that happens.

Bush Factor

The Hill: A interesting article that points out all the good aspects of the Bush Presidency that you will miss in the elite media, Iraq, Stem Cell you get the drift. The Elite Media can not stand Bush or Republicans, thus they only go after the negative story. Must Read of the Day.

Clinton Dirty Pool

New York Times: Reports that the Deputy Campaign Manger for Senator Clinton is looking in to the background of Senator Obama. Bob Novak was right, the Clinton machine is up to its usual tricks and is looking for dirt on the Senator. What is more news is that the New York Times should run the story, are they moving to support Obama.

New Hampshire Polls

I think Iowa is a done deal on the Republican side, as in Huckabee will win, in New Hampshire if you look at the polls on RCP it can be seen that Romney is going down the negative root, there are ups but they never go beyond his high water mark. If it is a given that Huckabee is a given in Iowa, the Romney campaign should move to New Hampshire, in all Polls he leads, even if slow decline. The most interest is who will come second, either McCain or Giuliani. It is South Carolina that could decided which two candidates will fight it out for the nomination.

Huckabee and Iowa

A new poll by the respected pollster Rasmussen shows that Huckabee has Iowa tied up, the latest figures show the collapse of the Romney Campaign. In hard terms here are the figures, 39 % for Huckabee and 23 % for Romney. This could destroy the Romney plan, if he was to lose in Iowa but win narrowly in N.H, this would would give time for Giuliani in the later states. I think Huckabee has a good chance for the V.P spot under Giuliani.

Iran Diplomacy!

New York Times: Interesting article that shows many of the ideas held by Liberal Democrats in the USA. A lot of carrot for Iran, it shows why Iran cant wait for a Democratic Win next year, the threat of real action would be gone and Iran could develop the bomb.

Israel and Iran

The New York Times reports that Israel is not happy about the new US NIE on Iran. I have a feeling that Israel is worried about a Democratic Win in November, might take action early, less flak from a Bush Administration than a new Democratic Administration. That clock just might be going again....

Libby Case Closed

Fox News: Reports that Scooter Libby will drop his appeal plan. President George W. Bush should pardon this loyal aide, the case should never have reached trial.

The Hillary Problem ?

Bloomberg.com: Interesting article that looks at the problems the Clinton machines is going through. At its centre is her record, on one level a plus, First Lady then Senator, the problem is that voters don't trust her, and that is being polite, Hillary does not have the charm of Bill, but as stated in this blog for a long time, Hillary is not Bill, if Democrats cant see that they will lose next year.

The Role for Bill ?

Washington Post: Interesting article on the Role of Bill Clinton in a Hillary Clinton Administration. He would need a role, we recall what happened when he was bored, Cigar any one!!

The British and Iran

Telegraph ( UK ): A very interesting article that looks at the view in London that the the CIA has been turned over by Iran. In other words the CIA wants the new NIE to be true, no matter if it not, USA might not attack Iran but then there is Israel.

Liberals and Iran

The Nation: The Bible for Liberals is all carrots for Iran, not stick, why are Liberals so weak, do they have no back bone or one not worth having for the security of the West.

Death in Afghanistan

Another death in Afghanistan, total losses know stand at 86, we will lose more but are we winning?

Extreme Investigation

The past couple of days the elite media have decided that the extreme investigation of terrorists suspects is another Watergate. That's Bull, would used a stronger term but lets just say bull. These are terrorists and what more high ranking terrorists. The CIA has to get the information out of them the best way they can, after they are no value in VIEWS opinion they should be taken out placed against a wall and shot.

The Democrats are again making a massive political mistake, do they recall 9/11, do they recall the constant fear for years after that the USA would be attacked. The President should call their bluff, tell the American people what information was received from the extreme investigation of terrorists and then shoot the SOB's, terrorist give no quarter and thus should expect no quarter, a firing squad for terrorists would show the West was tough and would use any method to destroy threats to Western Security. Put the Democrats in between a rock and a hard place. The problem with the Democrats is that they think that their base is the United States, its not. This could damage the Democrats in the long term.

Background to the NIE on Iran

New York Times: Interesting article that looks at the background for the NIE on Iran. The US Intelligence Services, CIA etc, discovered new information that ran counter to their original view of Iran. The NYT of course does not agree with the Bush policy when it comes to Iran, more carrot and carrot if the Times had its way. This is shown by the following written today by the Times, " Administration officials have said that they would continue to advocate tougher sanctions, which seems increasingly unlikely. ( author's VIEWS highlight )" The Times does not want sanctions, it is elite and weak, might be right about Iran but there is still a need for tough sanctions on Iran but also back channel diplomacy, if the NYT would allow the government to keep secrets.

Iowa Poll

A new poll by Strategic Vision in Iowa, this is very good for Obama, here are the good results for the Obama Camp.

Obama 32 %

Clinton 25 %

It should be noted that Clinton is even with Edwards in this poll. What a political race we would have if Obama wins and Edwards comes second and Hillary Clinton third. The six point lead she has in N.H would fade over night.


A very interesting poll ,to the point and simple to read, click here to read.

Clinton Win ? ( PDF Version )

I must admit at the dawn of time, e.g when the race for the 2008 started, that over all I thought Hillary Clinton would win, now I am not so sure, if Obama can win in Iowa and Edwards can come in second I think we are looking at a new whole ball game. The latest poll from ABC/Washington Post shows Clinton with only a six point lead over Obama in New Hampshire, Clinton 35 % - Obama 29 %. The question has to be asked, will Hillary Clinton lose ?

NIE on Iran ( PDF Version )

Read and Decide, is Iran a threat, a future threat, or is it following the path of Iraq and conning the the World Community with the threat of developing the Bomb.

Death in Afghanistan

Another British Death in Afghanistan. The UK has loss 85 Service Personnel since 2001.

Bush on Iran

President George W. Bush: Courtesy of the White House

President George W. Bush has not allowed the NIE to change his views on Iran, there is an argument for allowing the issue to get the radar a bit in less your going to take action military action , the President stated the following on Iran Today.

On the Campaign Trail today: " It is clear from the latest NIE that the Iranian government has more to explain about its nuclear intentions and past actions, especially the covert nuclear weapons program pursued until the fall of 2003, which the Iranian regime has yet to acknowledge. The Iranians have a strategic choice to make. They can come clean with the international community about the scope of their nuclear activities and fully accept the longstanding offer to suspend their enrichment program and come to the table and negotiate, or they can continue on a path of isolation that is not in the best interest of the Iranian people. The choice is up to the Iranian regime. "

This could be a chance to follow the Reagan path and open secret talks with Iran, just a problem, finding someone you can do business with, as the Gipper stated, Trust but Verify.

NIE and Clinton

The new NIE which has undermined the Bush Administration and its policy towards Iran, could also have an effect on the Clinton Campaign. A few Debates back, Obama stated he would meet with Iran and others to discuss their problems via the USA. At the time this was seen as naive in some quarters but it could be argued that the NIE gives Obama cover to be quite liberal about Iran. On Iran Clinton has been seen as a hawk compared to the rest of the Democrats, Bush Light, but this could damage her campaign as Iran has halted its nuclear bomb aims in 2003.

This is the time for Obama to show that he can win and that he is the future while Clinton represent the past, politics is about winning.

NYT and the NIE

The New York Times the paper of record has what it wants, points that it can use against a military reaction to Iran. They just might be right when it comes to Iran.

The Clinton Factor ?

New York Times: Interesting article in the Liberal NYT, how a Clinton nomination could hurt others on the ticket. Is the NYT moving its support to Obama.

New Iran Update

A new United States National Intelligence Estimate states that Iran halted its attempt to develop the bomb in 2003. The Start of the Iraq War, they got the message it seems. The news came yesterday, my reaction was two fold, the American Intelligence networks got something right for once, they had to get a lucky break sometime, or Iraq has spooked them so much they are extra cautious. I take the first option, have to revoke my prediction that the the USA will attack Iran next year. This debate with Iran should became low key for the next few years, in less Israel finds that Iran has developed the bomb then all bets are off. The West can breath a bit more easier for the time, but still have to be on guard.

Iran Update

New York Times: Reports that Iran has refused to talk in good faith to the West, it is playing games, the whole diplomatic routine was to gain time. A military action by the West is need to prevent Iran becoming a nuclear power.

McCain Endorsment

CNN: Reports that Senator McCain has received the endorsement of New Hampshire Union Leader, this will help him in the state. If Huckabee can win Iowa, this helps both McCain and Giuliani.

Who Knew What When ?

The donations scandal that has hit Labour in England and Scotland has to have one resolution or resolutions for both wings of the Party. Someone is in for the High Jump, and I don't mean resignation, I mean jail time and fine. If no one is charged over this what is the points of these elections laws. There is no point in new laws if they are broken nothing will happen to those caught. The system needs a hard reality check, people who brake the law have to face courts and if found guilty do the time.

Iowa for Huckabee

DesMoinesRegister: New Poll in the Republican race. The leading candidates gain the following support in Iowa.

Huckabee 29 %

Romney 24 %

If Huckabee wins Iowa, this gives Giuliani a good chance in N.H. Lets be honest here, Romney is a good candidate but he is a Mormon, the USA is not quite ready for a Mormon President, not fair but that is the reality of American politics.

GOP POLL

Rasmussen: A Daily Poll by the respected pollster, my man Huckabee is on the way up, good debate performance. Here are the raw figures:

Giuliani 22 %

Huckabee 17 %

Is Huckabee the next President of the United States? I think he has a very good chance against either Obama or Clinton.

New Iowa Poll

DesMoinesRegister: A new polls that shows that Obama is now ahead in Iowa. Here are the raw figures for the two leading candidates:

Obama 28 %

Clinton 25 %

I think Clinton should give up on Iowa, move main operations to N.H. The reason being, that if she was to lose Iowa she could claim that she had decided to stress N.H first. In the poll Edwards in just two percent behind. What happens if Hillary Clinton should come third in Iowa. Is the race over for the Clinton Campaign.