Thursday, February 11, 2021

The need for Article 16 from the UK side - Post Brexit

BBC News: Reports " the UK and EU have admitted there have been "teething problems" with the so-called Northern Ireland protocol since it came into force on 1 January. "

Lets Get Real:

The problems of Northern Ireland transport shows that the UK needs to invoke Article 16,this would return the Northern Ireland back to its position before the end of the transition period, the UK is one Country, made up England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, there should be no custom problems in any of the regions of the UK.   The EU is playing silly buggers, and the people suffer.   There has been problems with the movement of goods and animals, and it is all down to the EU, sticking to the rule books, without concern about actual events on the ground.  The EU and Ireland might not want to remove the Northern Ireland protocol but its not their decision, Boris Johnson is the Prime Minister of the UK, at the end of the day its the interests of the UK that matter most. ARTICLE 16 MUST BE INVOKED.  

Monday, February 08, 2021

The DEATH of George Shultz - Reagan's Secretary of State


Lets Get Real:

The World owes a thanks to Shultz he was the great Secretary of State, in his diaries Reagan was full of admiration for his 2nd Secretary of State.   In this blog's opinion a dream American Administration, would have Reagan as President, who else, VP of course being Bush 41, while James Baker would be Chief of Staff.  The left was not always so full of administration for the Reagan Administration,  does any one recall the nuclear freeze that the LEFT wanted for the West while allowing the USSR to build up its nuclear defences.   This blog recalls George Shultz attending a Congressional Committee and being asked if he was aware that the Reagan Administration has not had a Summit meeting with the SOVIET UNION, so be it Schultz stated.   The Reagan administration being tough with the USSR, lead to the INF Treaty, the first Treaty to reduce nuclear weapons and then of course we have the downfall of the USSR.   The Reagan Administration deserves credit for this development and by accident Gorbachev. 

Biden on IRAN - Part 2 - Biden Era


Lets Get Real:

This blog has assumed that President Biden would be an appeaser, this statement that the Biden Administration will not seek to lift sanctions placed on IRAN by Trump, does not change its argument, people do no change, Biden opposed Obama's Afghanistan policy, and used any negative story to undermine the policy.  Also President Reagan had a dim view of Biden, that he was a demagogue who got the big issues WRONG.  The article states that the US will not have talks with Iran in less it returns to the Obama Agreement, while Tehran has stated that it will not return to talks in less the USA removes all sanctions.  One does not have to be brilliant to see the outcome, back channel talks with Iran, the US not pressing to hard on sanctions and then Tehran using that reason to go back for talks.  At the end Iran will get the bomb, as they will hide any new developments, and Biden will find at the end of his first term that Iran has got the bomb, and Biden will have a massive political problem, and Israel with its allies in the region will have to take action. It as if night follows day, and political experts to miss quote LBJ, will be ramming Iran right up's Biden backside or that of his VP if Biden goes gaga. 

Saturday, February 06, 2021

Biden on Russia and China - Biden's Foreign Policy - Biden Era

White House: Remarks on the new policy of the Biden Administration by President Biden when it comes to Russia and China, here are the highlights, " ( Russia )  American leadership must meet this new moment of advancing authoritarianism, including the growing ambitions of China to rival the United States and the determination of Russia to damage and disrupt our democracy....That’s why, yesterday, the United States and Russia agreed to extend the New START Treaty for five years to preserve the only remaining treaty between our countries safeguarding nuclear stability....At the same time, I made it clear to President Putin, in a manner very different from my predecessor, that the days of the United States rolling over in the face of Russia’s aggressive actions — interfering with our elections, cyberattacks, poisoning its citizens — are over.  We will not hesitate to raise the cost on Russia and defend our vital interests and our people.  And we will be more effective in dealing with Russia when we work in coalition and coordination with other like-minded partners.....( China ) And we’ll also take on directly the challenges posed by our prosperity, security, and democratic values by our most serious competitor, China.  We’ll confront China’s economic abuses; counter its aggressive, coercive action; to push back on China’s attack on human rights, intellectual property, and global governance.  But we are ready to work with Beijing when it’s in America’s interest to do so.  We will compete from a position of strength by building back better at home, working with our allies and partners, renewing our role in international institutions, and reclaiming our credibility and moral authority, much of which has been lost. "

Lets Get Real:

This is tough talk from Biden, a man that has never been right when it comes to foreign policy, as Robert Gates, the former Defence Secretary, that Biden has not been right in 40 years when it came to the subject.  President Reagan did not have a high opinion of Biden, in the Cold War days he was seen a a major DOVE and during his time as VP to President Obama, he used all his time to undermine the Obama policy, any negative stories were feed to OBAMA through Biden.  Putin will eat Biden for dinner, and China will just outwait him, one doubts that Biden will run for a 2nd term, he's far to OLD, and the job President does take it out of you, President Obama's great black hair had gone white after eight years in the job, on the other hand President Reagan looked great, so did Bill Clinton to be fair.  In the speech Biden also removed US support for Saudi Arabian action in Yemen, that might come back to haunt Biden, the Saudi's are blocking Iran in Yemen, is of strategic importance to itself and the West.  

The EGO ( Trump ) vs. The Bore ( Biden ) - Round 1


Lets Get Real:

This will not go down well with the Trump in Florida, he will feel that he is being treated differently to other former Presidents.  That the WITCH hung is on going. Let's recall the reason that Trump ran in 2016 was that the felt he had been snubbed and made fun of President Obama at a press dinner.  Thus it is expected that Trump will be found not guilty in his Trial before the Senate, one doubts that there are 17 Republican Senators are ready to face the wrath of the Trump base of the Republican Party.  IT can be argued that Biden has made a mistake, he should have avoided the question, this latest snub by Biden will and could cause Trump to start to visit IOWA and NEW HAMPSHIRE, do not annoy a BEAR with an EGO, who likes to be stroked. 

Wednesday, February 03, 2021

Article 16 and Northern Ireland - Post Brexit Part 2


Lets Get Real:

IF the EU does not grant the UK demands, the removal of EU hurdles to free trade between both parts of Ireland then the PM might be forced by events to invoke Article 16, this allows either the EU or the  to  UK to overwrite parts of the EU/UK agreement when it comes to the non border in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, an essential part of the agreement that allowed for the troubles to end in the North.  As stated once the EU Brussels machine issued the THREAT the issue was open for debate, IF the UK does invoke Article 16 expect a massive ROW with the EU, and in the House of Commons.  THE UK will be accused of breaking international law, the nationalists groups within Northern Ireland will blow a fuse, and nationalist MPs in the House of Commons will decry the move as breaking international LAW. Ireland and the EU are never easy.

The Northern Ireland Border PROBLEM - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

There were problems with the EU Withdrawal Agreement before the EU made a mess of it in the last few days, as stated in my post, post going to the Republic Ireland via Northern Ireland had added taxes.  There are reports of people refusing to pay the surcharge and the goods having to be returned.   The PM might need to invoke Article 16, the EU has let that genie out of the box, if the EU can think of doing it, well the UK can also the arguments goes.  Article 16 allows the UK to override parts of the Brexit Deal, if due to circumstances there is a economic cost to Northern Ireland of the DEAL.  The Unionist Parties in Northern Ireland are in full cry, the PM might not have a choice if the EU does not play ball with the demands from the UK, that such problems are thrown in to the VERY LONG GRASS, in essence removing them as  problem, returning Northern Ireland to its position before Brexit.