Trump LEADS in New Hampshire - Election 2016

CNN - Politics: Reports " Trump is in the lead with 26% of the vote in the latest survey, 10 percentage points ahead of his closest competitor retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson. Rubio was in third place at 13%, but that's up from 4% from the last Monmouth New Hampshire poll in September. In contrast, both Carson and Trump dropped from September. "

Lets Get Real:

There is an argument that Trump should ditch Iowa to Carson as the Doctor has a good lead there, a win in New Hampshire could lead to Trump having the BIG MO as Bush 41 stated, the question is can the ego of Donald Trump take letting Iowa go, in many ways Trump is like LBJ, he likes to be loved, that is a weakness for a candidate or even a President.   The Donald should use his money in the primary States, develop a staff structure and go ALL IN to win.   My God it could still be President Trump!

No Terrorist Act - The US Government

Guardian: Reports " Sinai plane crash: no direct evidence of terrorism, says US intelligence chief..James Clapper says it is unlikely that the Airbus 321 could have been brought down by Isis but adds: ‘I wouldn’t rule it out’ "

Lets Get Real:

Thus you have claim and counter claim and that is from the people who should know what in the hell is going on, of course there are reasons why both Russia and Egypt might want the plane crash to be an accident,  on the view fro Egypt a terror attack would be BAD for the tourist trade, the Country has just recovered from the counter revolution from the Army, it needs the tourist trade for dollars, while Putin in Russia does not want the view to form within the Russian people that the actions of Putin in Syria lead to this attack, that might cause Russians to question their popular President.   Thus nothing over in till its over. 

Terror Claim for Plane Crash in Egypt - Russian Airline

BBC News: Reports " The Russian airline Kogalymavia has blamed "external influence" for Saturday's Sinai plane crash which killed 224 people. "

Lets Get Real:

This blog has not commented on the crash as original ideas were that it was a technical error with the plane that caused the crash, as the days have gone it has become generally thought that the bringing down of the plane was due to the hands of Daesh or many other terrorists groups in the region.   Lets look at the reason why a Russian airline was hit, at the present Russia is hitting targets in Syria, the general view from the West is that Russia is hitting enemies of Assad while not targeting Daesh in a direct manner.   This opens the prospect that Al Qaeda or one of its franchise bodies hit the plane, or that it was Daesh directly, the Middle East is murky, it might takes years to find the answer, so let us think of those that died, let us never allow terrorists to win. 

The Legal VIEW of the Iraq War - Iraq Inquiry

BBC News: Reports " Tony Blair denies ministers ordered to 'burn' Iraq warning "

Lets Get Real:

IF true this would be quite damaging to the reputation of the former PM.   The question did it happen, one has doubts, Government records are not on the whole destroyed, they just go missing and can not be found or are marked Top Secret never to be seen again or after fifty years.  As the Iraq Inquiry's report comes close to publication expect more of these stories, those there at the time will want to cover their positions.   This blog still supports the invasion of Iraq in 2003, but is fast becoming a minority of two, me and the former Prime Minister. 

Doctor Who Review - The Zygon Invasion

Doctor Who News: Reports " 3.87 million viewers watched Doctor Who: The Zygon Invasion, according to unofficial overnight viewing figures.  "

Lets Get Real:

This week Doctor Who took on the War on Terror, there were even drones, you would have to be an idiot not to miss for a allegory of the Zygons being a combination of Al Qaeda and Daesh.    Also we see the return of UNIT, and the Doctor as the President of the World, would you call his plane Doctor One, the Doctor wanted to talk to the Zygons, the chaps at UNIT just wanted to bomb the threat, the Brig would be for bombing.   What was interesting was the Doctor's argument that the terrorists were a bad faction, that he needed to talk to the leaders, problem there was a coup against the leaders.    Also Clara was taken by the Zygons and her double shot down Doctor 1.   The BBC really needs to get Doctor Who back to its early timing, it is losing viewers to reality shows, no more reality shows!

The Differences over Assad of Syria - Syrian Crisis

Daily Mail: Reports " Major powers still have 'significant differences' in opinion over future of Assad after eight hours of talks to end Syria civil war in Vienna  "

Lets Get Real:

The powers through back channels need to have talks off the radar, the Russians and Iran must see that their interests are taken care off, while the West and its allies must keep to their stated policy that Assad must go, therefore the Russians and Iran and the West need to select a candidate that they can live with, its far from a perfect solution but it seems the only solution.  One gets the impression one is writing a script for the series Homeland at the moment when one writes about Syria.  There needs to be stability in Syria, so those refugees can go home and take the pressure off, Lebanon, Jordan and other allies in the region.  The last thing that the US needs is for a close ally in the shape of Jordan to come under Daesh attack or for Baghdad to fall to Daesh.   Thus the diplomatic talks needs to reach a successful end, even in secret agreements, where is Henry Kissinger when you need him. 

The Vietnam Lessons for Syria - Syrian War

BBC News: Reports " The US is sending special forces to Syria to assist anti-government rebels in fighting the so-called Islamic State (IS), officials have said. "

Lets Get Real:

President Obama does not want to lose Iraq to Iran or Daesh, lets be honest Iran now has more power in Iraq since the US left in 2011,  with Syria the Oval wants the removal of Assad at some time, but also a regime that is moderate, and is not actually hostile to the West, while allowing Russia to keep its warm water port.   The Syrian policy and to call it a policy would be kind to the Oval Office and to the rest of the Obama Administration, is a mess, the civil war started with moderates but President Obama would not fund them with arms, this policy was countered by the hawkish policy of Hillary Clinton, it can be postulated that Obama did not want another War in the Middle East before his re-election in 2012, well that has cost, the War in Syria is bloody mess, you have Assad, Russia and Iran on side, you have Daesh and other religious groups, and then you have the " moderates " the US and its allies.   The Obama Oval is going for the Vietnam path, gradual buildup, this is a mistake, either your all in or your just placing a plaster on the wound, and we all know the fate of the Vietnam War,