President Obama, Iran and the Oval Lies - Iran Crisis

Bloomberg View: Reports " The Barack Obama administration has estimated for years that Iran was at most three months away from enriching enough nuclear fuel for an atomic bomb. But the administration only declassified this estimate at the beginning of the month,..."

Lets Get Real:

Thus the Oval Office down played the threat from Iran, while it knew that Tehran was only a few months away from the bomb.  This is typical of low level Chicago politics, and there is no cost to the Oval Office.   The US Congress should set up a select committee of Congress to investigate the relationship between Iran and the US, and what the Oval Office has agreed to in the talks in Europe.   It is clear that the Oval has been economic with the truth when it comes to Iran, it stated that Iran would take the year to to get the bomb, now they say a few months as they try to make the US Congress swallow the deal set up by President Obama.   It has been shown that when it comes to Iran that President Obama is a modern appeaser, the result will be a disaster, but by then Obama will be out of Office, the next President will have to deal with Iran. 

The THREAT of the SNP to the UK, Part 2 - Election 2015

Guardian: Reports on the Conservatives attack on the match up of the Labour and the SNP, " They have managed to combine their warnings of economic chaos after 8 May – the threat of excessive borrowing, leftwing influence and instability – with the threat posed by Scottish nationalism.  "

Lets Get Real:

As a ploy the placing the political target on Labour and SNP has worked, a good attack, never mind the merits, works if there is a sense of truth to the charge, thus the double talk out of Ed Miliband every time the issue of SNP and Scotland comes up, the Labour leadership understands that it only gets back in to power with the support of the SNP.   This would be an ironic development as Labour's Shadow Foreign Secretary and the leader of the Scottish Labour Party could lose their seats to the SNP.   How could Ed Miliband appoint Douglas Alexander to the FCO if he has lost his seat, of course if PM, Miliband could place Alexander in the House of Lords, thus he would get his Shadow Foreign Secretary back but it would not look good to the Scottish voters.   The last couple days has ALL been about the vote by vote deal between Labour and the SNP, the Labour Party should take the risk and state it will not govern as a Minority Government under the SNP supoppport.  Also if Labour is the second Party it would mean that it won less English and Welsh seats than the Conservative Party, it would be seen as a losers Government.   This again would not be good, as Sir John Major said this morning, the Labour Party would be at the beck and call of the SNP.   This would be a political disaster for the UK and the Labour Party in the long term, English voters would not be happy that they are being ruled from Scotland. 

What is the US up to in the waters of Yemen - Yemen Crisis

BBC News:  Reports on the US presence in the waters of Yemen, the article notes the following, " The US has warned Iran against arming the rebels - but a US spokesman said the ships would not stop the convoy. "

Lets Get Real:

Is this the Oval Office doing its usual, of creating new policy then cutting the feet off the Secretary, in this case the Defence Secretary, as it has been noted before in this blog the Oval Office allowed Secretary Kerry to set the stage for war with Syria and then backed down, thus the growth of IS in Syria and Iraq and the present US attacks on IS in Iraq.   If the US sends out an aircraft carrier it sends a strong message that the opposition needs to back off, but now the Oval has made the mission pointless, the Tehran Regime will take this move as a greenlight to supply the houthis of Yemen with more weapons, thus creating more problems for Saudi Arabia, a Western ally in the region.  Whenever the Obama Administration says something about the Middle East  it causes even more problems, some people never learn. 

Conservatives 4% ahead of Labour - Election 2015

Ashcroft National Polls: Reports " Con 34%, Lab 30%, Lib Dem 10%, UKIP 13%, Green 4% "

Lets Get Real:

A second poll that has the Conservatives ahead, but the article notes the following, " The changes are within the margin of error, suggesting that the parties’ national vote shares remain very close. ".  It can be argued that Ed Miliband should be able to get the Labour vote to around 33% to 35%, even if the Conservatives had a lead of about 1% to 2% the Labour Party should have more Seats in the House of Commons.   This blog when being subjective supports the Conservative Party, but in its objective mode it follows the polls, which way people are betting, and its guts instinct.   Of course it would be a nice surprise if on May8th the Conservative Party wins outright, but that does not look to be in the cards, the cards show a Labour victory with the support of the SNP.   They say we get the Government or anarchy we deserve.   

The THREAT to the UK from the SNP - Election 2015

Daily Mail: Reports " 'A match made in hell': Fury as Sturgeon reveals her £140billion price tag for doing a deal with Labour where the SNP calls the shots across Britain..

• Includes an end to austerity, £140billion in spending and scrapping Trident "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the price for Ed Miliband getting his hands on No 10 is taking the UK down the road of Greece, that is the only way that the SNP will support him, but the cost to UK would be a disaster, it could lead to the end of Labour in the England.   There is always a price, so will Ed stab the English in the back as he stabbed his brother's political career.   It is a simple QUESTION, do you TRUST Miliband, will he look after your interests or himself and Labour.   Voters IF you vote for the Labour Party you get the SNP also, its the price you will pay,  the UK will go down the road of France and Greece, we will become the laughing stock of Europe.   Labour will have its strings pulled by a party that wants to end the UK.   Thus think carefully before you vote on May 7th.  The future of the UK is in your hands, VOTE Conservative. 

Follow the Money - Election 2015

Guardian - Politics Live: Reports in its 3.15pm the following post, " Paddy Power say they have now got Ed Miliband as favourite to be prime minister for the first time since October 2014. He is priced at 5/6.. "

Lets Get Real:

They say follow the money, in this case what the great British public are betting on in the election of 2015.   Thus the neck by neck nature of the polls and this above supports my election projection, in that projection this blog has a Labour Government either with a majority or just a few seats bellow the magic 326 required.    Of course a betting on something is a risk, you can lose your shirt.   Lets recall there are over 600+ Seats, in each contest is different.   Thus you have to use what is out there such as p0lls and follow the money of the voter,  and your gut, this gut feels that the SNP threat will work to get the English and the Welsh out to vote, they will not like the idea that they are been run from Scotland. 

Conservatives 2% ahead of Labour - Election 2015

BBC News - Politics Live: Reports on the following tweet by Lord Ashcroft, " ICM poll CON 34% LAB 32% LDEM 10% UKIP 11% GRNS 5%" "

Lets Get Real:

As noted in essence we have a tied race, of course polls have known be wrong, they were a disaster in 1992, they had a Labour victory.   This blog has noticed what when asked who they will vote for VOTERS say Conservative in a quite voice, as if they are having a tax audit.  The question that has to be asked, COULD ALL the polls be wrong, this old gut of mine feels there are movements towards either Labour or the Conservative Party getting a majority.   The English will not like the idea that the SNP would control the polices for the English and Welsh but does not include Scotalnd.    The SNP just might have created a reason for the English to vote for a majority Party, if nothing else to stop the SNP.   At least it adds a bit fiz to the election.