Washington Post: A very good Editorial form the WP, Obama's policy on Iraq is a massive National Security mistake, the Post writes the following, " Whether or not the war was a mistake, Iraq's future is a vital U.S. security interest. If he is elected president, Mr. Obama sooner or later will have to tailor his Iraq strategy to that reality. " Obama had the chance to show some backbone yesterday but he failed, he can not not win if he is seen as weak on National Security, and if he does win he will have to change policy, what will the left think then, this is the time for the Senator to change his mind, when he goes to Iraq he will have a chance to refine his policy, should he stay with his timetable he will lose the election, its that simple folks.
A look at the Politics of the United States and the UK. The Foreign Policies of both countries and how they behave in the International Community.
Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Leak Case!
CNN: Reports that the Bush Administration has evoked the classic cover up tool in the view of the Elite Media, Executive Privilege to prevent the interview between the Vice - President and Prosecutors on the Plame Case, from seeing the light of day. The left will argue this is another example of the Bush Administration above the law, the right will argue that there was no case to answer. It comes down to your political point of view and judgement.
West Attacks Pakistan Badlands
New York Times: Reports that Western Forces have attacked terrorist bases in Pakistan, but not with land forces. Afghanistan is a double edge sword for Obama, he has stressed Afghanistan as the real front of the War, but over the last two months Afghanistan has taken more in Western Troops Deaths than Iraq. The success of the surge in Iraq and the low level troop deaths has helped the McCain Campaign. If Obama wins and places more troops in Afghanistan it would show that he has not learnt form History. The might of the USSR was forced out of Afghanistan and helped with the downfall of the Soviet Empire. A Obama Presidency could be held hostage to Afghanistan. On the other hand a McCain Presidency would allow for victory in both countries.
Elite Media and Obama
New York Times: Are the Elite Media worried if Obama gets elected, that their audience and their pay masters, wont allow any critical or fun remarks about a Obama Administration. Ms Dowd gives that impression, she writes the following, " ....if Obama gets elected and there is nothing funny about him, it won’t be the economy that’s depressed. It will be the rest of us. " This argument has two aspects, one as noticed by Left Wing Bloggers trying to shut down blogs that are critical of Obama. The left cant not take argument, if you challenge them you are anti green, a racist, a warmonger, that is the lack of brain you are dealing with when you deal if you have to with off beam left wing bloggers and voters. On the other hand there is white guilt, if your an elite media type and white you feel you are to blame for the slavery and the Civil War. That the failure of the Civil Rights movement on the home front is a white guilt issue. Thus you can not attack Obama. One word folks, bollocks, it easy to attack Obama on policy, depending on which policy he has changed, you deal with him as a politician. That is showing respect, colour does not matter, he's wrong about Iraq, does not matter if he was white, black or French. Obama given the polls could be the next POTUS but he is a man and a politician, to treat him otherwise would show a lack of respect, to take notice of his colour and therefore refine from stating a view that is opposed to his is a form of paternal racism. All politicians who stand deserve to be examined and laughed at, if you don't think so look at the present state of the world.
Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Obama and Iraq Redux
Have just seen the speech by Obama on what a Obama Administration would follow as its Foreign Policy, have to say my estimation of Obama has gone down, he did not look that comfortable giving the speech. Also the speech will help Senator McCain, Iraq is working and what does Obama want to do, remove that success, the question he has not answered is what happens if the troops are removed and the terrorists come back, Iran has greater influence and Oil goes up to three hundred dollars a barrel because Iran develops the bomb and the USA has to react, not talk, use military means, will Obama put troops back in to Iraq, will he allow a Nuclear Iran to became a threat to Israel and the region. This was the chance for Obama to show some backbone but he failed, he could not stand up to his left wing base, he came under heavy criticism from the left when he looked like he was going to refine his Iraq policy. This speech was pandering to the left, not the American People.
The Obama Camp has made a political mistake, the American people as polled by the WP/ABC News are split on the policy on Iraq, half want to stay the other half support Obama. Also McCain is seen more as a leader. The Problem for Obama is what if Israel reacts to the speech and hits Iran, Iran causes havoc in the region, what then of the fine words of Obama. Senator Obama might be Jimmy Carter, win the nomination against the odds but lose the general election.
USA Polls
As a policy I tend to check the tracking polls on Friday at the end of the week. I have found that sometimes you have polls that are just outriders and are not relevant for the long term race. Also I trust only a few pollsters, don't want to be in the same boat as Newsweek of 1984 which had Mondale winning.
Reagan, Carter and Obama vs The War on Terror
The New Republic: A article that will look at how a Obama Administration would fight the War on Terror. An interesting argument, that Obama will use the Reagan and Carter doctrines for Foreign Policy, as in Reagan the use of local government or NGOs to fight the cause of USA interests and the Carter Policy of benefits as in money and support if these NGOs and governments follow some American rules of conduct. A good article makes you think, lets postulate that Obama wins, with a healthy majority in both Chambers of Congress, lets recall that will be a lot of Liberals, do you think they will allow Obama a free hand in Foreign Policy, the Liberal Left wing of the Democratic Party have a pre 9/11 mind set, they watch to much Law and Order, thus have a police mind set to terrorism. All the reforms that the Bush Administration has created to prevent another terrorist attack would be seen through the eyes of San Francisco Liberals, UBL should be read his rights before being either shot or arrested, no harsh treatment of terrorists, all calls or email outside the USA would require a warrant, the terrorist would have more rights that the American Citizen. The success of the President is seen in what he can get done on the Hill, Obama will need the Congress to pass his Agenda. The cost will be the National Security of the USA and the West. Read of the Day.
Update: Non Government Organisations. In the Reagan Time it was the Freedom fighters of Nicaragua, the Contras.
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