Biden leads in NATIONAL US Polls - US Presidential Election 2020

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports in its 10.48pm post the following, " The latest data puts Biden about 10 points ahead of Trump.  "

Lets Get Real:

If Florida or Ohio go for Biden then we know its OVER on election night, of course if the rust belt States go together, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania go for Biden the its a massive victory for Biden.  The interesting races will be the Senate races, do the voters really want to give the Democrats a CLEAN SWEEP, that would mean that it would be DOWN to the US Supreme Court to stop any massive liberal polices.  One can assume if its  a massive victory for Biden then even Trump will have to go quietly and hand over the power on January 20th 2021.   The question is what he will do between November and January, there  is only one President at a time, and a angry Trump might start a war with Iran and hand it over to Biden.  On the foreign policy side one should expect former Obama officials, also will Biden really be that tough with Russia and North Korea, also of course he will appease Iran, back to the Obama deal with them.  If the US Supreme Courts does revoke OBAMACARE, then Biden will need to build up his support for another attempt.  On the whole one expects a more quiet time from a Biden White House. 

Amy Coney Barrett - 2nd Part - 2020 Presidential Election

Sky News: Reports " Amy Coney Barrett confirmed as Supreme Court justice ..... The appointment shifts America's highest court further to the right and could mean new rulings on abortion and Obamacare. " 

Lets Get Real:

The general election next Tuesday could be thrown in to the Courts if the election is VERY CLOSE, the polls would have to be completely WRONG.  Of course the best thing that can happen is that Biden wins BIG, the Oval, the house and the Senate, and then the Republicans on the Hill might have to place pressure on Trump to leave on his own speed.  After losing big Trump might think he needs to leave the Office with some grace, so no rushing to the Courts if the election is CLOSE.  It is interesting one the first cases that Judge Amy Coney Barrett will have before her will be ObamaCare, it would be ironic, if the strikes it down, then Biden will have to rebuild the support for ObamaCare again in the US Congress, getting the US Congress to pass a mandate, in other words US voters being forced to buy cover might be a hard SELL.  Interesting days ahead at the Court.

Trump's forever Victory - US Supreme Court - 2020 Presidential Election

BBC News: Reports " The US Senate has confirmed Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court in a victory for President Donald Trump a week before the general election.  "

Lets Get Real:

Whatever happens next week, Trump has shaped the future of the US Supreme Court, had had three nominees and thus pushes the Court to the right.  The Democrats are furious, they could decide to PACK the Court with liberals, but the argument against that is the Republican could do the same when they are power.  Also VP is on the record in opposing such plan, he has thrown the idea in to the LONG GRASS, he will set up a commission to look at the US Court system.   The LEFT will push for Biden to pack the Court, it could be a early battle for Biden in his first term ( and only term, does any really think he will run for 2nd term, he is already losing it, he called Trump, George twice in a recent speech ).   The Biden foreign policy will be a return to the Obama Era, thus Obama re-treads in post such as NSA and Secretary of State.  It will be nice to have a quiet Presidency, Trump will be giving him hell ever day through his tweets, and watch in till Trump starts his own TV network, it will be Trump 24/7.

Is Boris waiting for the US Election Result before Brexit Deal ? - Brexit Update 2 - Transitional Phase

Daily Mail: Reports " Claims PM is waiting to see if Donald Trump wins US election before sealing Brexit trade deal as hopes of a breakthrough rise with talks in London 'extended by another three days' "

Lets Get Real:

The source for a story is EU, they might be wanting to see what they want to see, if the EU Deal is not good then the PM will walk away, he did so last week in till the EU came to its senses.  The PM has to sell the deal to the House of Commons and the European Research Group, they will not just take any DEAL on offer.  As to Trump he will end up in the company of Hoover, Carter, Bush 41 as one term President.   The real reason that Trump is going to lose is TRUMP, he could have had a 2nd term if he has just listened to his staff and could have shut up for a minute, and and stopped having numerous press conferences and his tweeting.   At least after he losses he can go back to his real love, himself or TV with his own network.  Trump on TV 24/7, and we worry about COVID - 19.

The Last Days of Trump - 2020 Presidential Election / Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 10pm blog the following, " Barack Obama campaigned for Joe Biden in Philadelphia, as polls show Biden pulling ahead in the key swing state of Pennsylvania. The former president is currently participating in a discussion with black male community leaders, and he will hold a drive-in rally later tonight.  "

Lets Get Real:

In 2016 this blog blogged and supported HRC, but placed £2.50 for Trump to WIN, this election cycle this blog is reversing its thought of doing the same.  Let's be honest Trump has been a disaster as POTUS, Nixon comes out better, No wonder Tricky Dicky wanted Trump to run, you can say a lot of things about Nixon, but he knew people, he did win 49 States in his re-election and thus could postulate that Trump would be a disaster, and the has been, he has taken the Presidency to NEW LOWS, even compared to Bill Clinton.   The Oval's reaction to COVID - 19 has been a total disaster, hundreds of thousands have died, and Trump after getting the disease thinks he is immune, thus having large gatherings were the disease can spread.  CNN has been totally negative, makes one feel sorry for Trump!!! Trump has been friendly to Putin's Russia and to North Korea, he has been critical of allies, while bending backwards to be nice to enemies of the West.  Thus we are not far from the Biden Era, God help us!

Resumption of UK/EU talks - Part 2 - Brexit Update 2 - Transitional Phase

Sky News: Reports " Brexit trade talks back on after EU says both sides must compromise.. Number 10 says Mr Barnier's speech represents a "fundamental" shift in approach from Brussels.  "

Lets Get Real:

It is one of the HARDEST words in the English Language, COMPROMISE, it depends how far the EU expect the UK to compromise, the PM can not compromise over UK FISH IN UK WATERS, that would be seen as throwing the UK fisherman under the bus for the benefit of the French, on State support for business, that is more of middle ground issue, an agreement would STOP any future LABOUR Government from taking over large areas of the UK economy and also keep a check on the EU countries doing the same.  As to UK fish, how much of a cut can the French President take before it becomes a political problem for him, also will the cut in concessions but done over a gradual time.  Also the PM can not agree to the ECJ being the final judge on the issue, the ECJ in not popular in the UK. 

UK and EU talks RESUME - Brexit Update 1 - Transitional Phase

BBC News: Reports " UK 'ready to welcome EU' to continue trade talks "

Lets Get Real:

Let's hope that the EU is being playing with a fair hand, will they really give concessions on fish, and how much EU regulations do we have to take, the French are the problem, the French President faces elections and he does now want to see as being weak over French fisherman, and this could play in to the hands of the Opposition, it depends how much fish we allow the French to get, not the 84% they get NOW, but a vastly reduce number, otherwise it will be seen that the UK has given way far to much to Paris.  As to accepting EU regulations, we can agree NOW, but if they are problem, ditch them, a Treaty is only as good as both sides see the benefits.   The EU/UK talks start tomorrow!!