US and German LEADERS to meet over the Ukraine Crisis - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 2.11pm post the following, " Joe Biden will meet with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz this afternoon as tensions remain high over Russia’s troop build up at the border with Ukraine.  "

Lets Get Real:

The US President has to be firm with Chancellor Scholz, IF the Russians invade the Ukraine then the Germans will have to turn off the gas pipeline from Russia to Germany.  The LOSS of gas from Russia should be make up from the US and its Allies.  If any trouble from the Germans remind them who leads the Western World and its not them.  The West has to be united about its reaction to any Russian invasion, any Russian invasion of the Ukraine will have practical effects, from the Western economies taking a HIT, but then the West will bring the Russian economy to its knees, also there could be millions of refugees heading to EU Countries, they will have to be looked after, also any Ukraine insurgence will have to be supported, depends how heavy a Russian invasion, just to take East Ukraine or for the whole of the Ukraine.  The new German Chancellor will be looked at in case he follows the French President who wants to appease Putin.

President Macron, Saviour of Ukraine or Appeaser of Putin ? - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports on remarks by President Macron of France before meeting Putin of Russia, " Before talks in Moscow with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday, he called for a "new balance" to protect European states and appease Russia.  "

Lets Get Real:

The above is the reason you cannot trust the FRENCH, they want to appease the RUSSIANS, God only knows that Macron will say to Putin, does he keep to the Western line or does he go off script and suggest that the Ukraine should not come become a member of NATO or that there should be lesser NATO troops in Eastern European States in NATO.  It seems that the French President has LEARNED NOTHING from the history of Neville Chamberlain the appeasing UK PM of the 1930s.  The Ukraine and the West should expect the French to go off script, whatever Macron says at the following new conference with Putin has to be read carefully.  The Biden Oval should not be hamstrung by anything that Macron says to Putin.  No leader wants the following after his name, appeaser, APPEASER, APPEASER, APPERASER.

Western Intelligence on Russian Ukraine Estimates - Biden Era

Mail on Sunday: Reports " Western intelligence assessments believe Kyiv's government could fall within two days of an invasion and lead to a humanitarian crisis involving around 5million refugees and more than 50,000 civilian casualties.  "

Lets Get Real:

If this does not get the West, in this case the UK and the US to place troops in the Ukraine then nothing will, think of it 5 million refugees on the border between the Ukraine and the EU.  There will be constant news about the WAR at the heart of Europe, there will be CALLS for the West to take a side, also the BALTIC STATES will be asking for troops on their border in case Putin try's his luck there.  The Biden Oval after Afghanistan cannot show weakness, it has built some of that back by taking out the leader of Deash in Syria, but that will be forgotten with constant news of the deaths total in the Ukraine.  Also the US and the UK can be expect to support any insurgence in the Ukraine, that will annoy Putin and could lead to a WIDER WAR.  This is the time for leadership, that means taking a CHANCE, a GRAVE CHANCE, by placing US and UK troops in the Ukraine.

Russians Armed Forces 70% ready for UKRAINE Invasion - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Russia has assembled about 70% of the military capability needed for a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in the coming weeks, US officials say. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus it can be argued that the over the time of the Winter Olympics the Russian Armed Forces will be built up to the amount they need to invade the Ukraine.  The Russians have put so much effort in to the build up it is hard to see it being called off, the Russian demands over NATO and Eastern Europe have not been met and will not be met, the question is does Putin understand the economic sanctions that will come down on Russia, also the Russian people understand the consequences of such action, the West can bring the Russian economy to it knees, and how much support in Russia is there for a WAR with Ukraine, Russia and the Ukraine share many religious and culture ties, a failed war liked Afghanistan would be a disaster for Putin, could bring him down.  The Biden Oval after its own Afghanistan failure has a lot to lose, thus has to be TOUGH with Russia.  The Calm before the storm.

Even Appeasing Iran does not help Biden - Biden Era

The Hill: Reports " The foreign minister of Iran said Saturday that a loosening of sanctions from the U.S. was “not enough” and that the country wants guarantees that the 2015 nuclear deal will be reinstated, Reuters reports.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Biden Oval is trying to appease Iran, but the Tehran Government knows that Biden has his hands full with the Russians in the Ukraine, also the threat from China going after Taiwan and then constant threat from North Korea.  One would not be shocked if North Korea tried a missile that can reach the US mainland.  It does not look good, the Tehran Regime is playing Biden, it knows that Biden doe not have the backbone to tackle it, what should worry Tehran is the reaction of Israel, if the Jerusalem Government thinks that it is being SOLD OUT by the Biden Oval it will attack Iran, in that attack it would no be a great surprise if it was joined by Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States.  The KREMLIN must be watching and thinking that this  confirms their view that Biden is a empty suit who will not back up his THREATS.  The WORLD can breath a bit, the Winter Olympics Games in China are on till the 20th of February, after that expect the Russians to take action, the ground will be firm for the Russian Tanks.  One hopes the US, UK and the NATO Countries supplies Ukraine with the enough lethal aid so they can try to fight the Russians, of course Russia will win, but then the West has to follow through with its serious economic sanctions, bring the Russian economy to its knees.

Russian NUCLEAR Missile THREAT in Belarus - Ukraine Crisis

Daily Mail: Reports " Russia is massing nuclear-capable missiles, 30,000 troops and fighter jets in Belarus, NATO warns amid fears Ukraine invasion could spark refugee crisis with two million people displaced "

Lets Get Real:

The Russians are upping the anti, Missiles that can be used as conventional or nuclear threat.  Of course the Russians are not going to nuke the Ukraine, they are far to close to Russia and the radiation would effect Russia.  The message is CLEAR, it shows that with the KREMLIN nothing is off the table.   Also it shows weakness, why place missiles that can be used in a conventional way and nuclear in the first place, its a mater of PR for the Russian people, that the WEST is a THREAT and thus Kremlin is taking care of business.  If WAR does break out, there are no guarantees it wont effect other East European Countries, there will be refugees in their millions and they have to go somewhere, that means the EU will be dragged in, and it only needs for the Russians to make a MISTAKE to drag in NATO.  The Russian Bear might have bitten off more than it can chew, is it looking for nuclear talks as way to save face, a NEW INF Treaty that they will keep too, they cheated on the last one.  Thus a reason to bring INF forces in to Belarus, a way out, just blue sky thinking.

The Russians on the PRAWL AGAIN in UK Airspace ? - Ukraine Crisis

Sky News: Reports " RAF Typhoon fighters launched against aircraft 'approaching UK area of interest' for second day in a row..As the jets launched for a second consecutive day, the RAF said it would say nothing more until the operation was "complete". Yesterday's incident was to intercept and escort four Russian Bear aircraft.  "

Lets Get Real:

One presumes this is the Russians again, checking how the UK reacts, our boys of the RAF will escort them back to international airspace, the Russians are pushing their luck, it only need something like to go WRONG and the World is a world of hurt.  What if Russian MILITARY planes go over Poland or other Baltic States and something happens, the Kremlin should be careful the game it plays, the US ha already sent troops to Poland and Germany, and moved troops from Germany to Rumania.  One can expect not much action for a couple weeks, as Putin is going off to the Winter Games in China, those end on the 20th of this month, then it will be interesting to see what Putin does, is it WAR with the Ukraine or does Putin turn tail and send his troops back home.  The WEST as to be ahead of Putin, to check mate him.