Tuesday, June 02, 2015

The World and IS - New War on Terror


Lets Get Real:

The article notes that Iraq wants to buy weapons from Russia and Iran but sanctions on these countries makes that impossible, the West should be firm, no lifting of sanctions on Russia while it is still in the East Ukraine and no deals with Iran in till there is a finished agreement on the nuclear plans of Iran.   The politics of the MIddle East is murky at the best of time, if you West allows Russia or Iran to play then Tehran will use this development in other areas of disagreement with the West.   There needs to be Western ground troops in Iraq, that is the only thing that will STOP IS.   All the talk in the World will not solve Iraq and Syria, it takes troops and weapons and a will to follow through with the destruction of IS. 

Monday, June 01, 2015

Syria and IS - New War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

Thus more land taken by IS, the civil war in Syria is very murky to say the least, you have IS, Al Qaeda, secular rebels and the planned US supported rebels.   The Obama Oval is at fault here also, when the resistance started in Syria against Assad it was secular, the lack of US and Western action allowed more extreme groups to develop, also it saw the rise of IS.   It will take some good diplomacy and good troops to solve the mess in Syria, on top of that you  have have Iran and Russian interests in Syria, the Russians have a warm water navel base in Syria, it can be argued that Putin wants to keep that, so he still supporting Assad.  The Tehran interest is is keeping Assad in power as they share the same religious outlook.   The kettle has boiled over in Syria and Iraq, its a bloody mess. 

IS Latest Terror Tactic - New War on Terror


Lets Get Real:

The Islamic State is creating a generation of terrorists, the West can not wait to finish them off, the threat from IS ever growing, with every youngster that it takes it opens a new threat to the Middle East and the West.   At some point the Oval Office and No.10 will have to face IS, waiting for the problem to go away will not work, the destruction of Syria and Iraq is on going, at some point IS will become a major threat to Baghdad and to Syria.   At what point does the West say NO MORE. 

Thursday, May 28, 2015

Hillary Clinton and Libya - Libyan Arms


Lets Get Real:

At least Hillary Clinton was tough, more a hawk than dove, and lets face after President Obama the Oval Office could do with a tough hawk, the problem seems to rise when there is a question of those arms being send to Syria to arm the Syrian opposition, did they end up the arms of IS.  One can understand why the Obama Administration and its officials are not to keen to discuss the issue, it would be a PR disaster if arms sent to support the Libyan opposition ended up with the enemies of the US.    One suspects in this case it is better to let sleeping dogs sleep, one might not like the answer and the problems for the US and for the Hillary Clinton in 2016.    That is why any such secret operations are done in the manner that allows the White House and other Departments to state they knew nothing, that is a lot better than a paper trail through emails.    In this case it might be wise for the Republicans to let the issue drop, the Republicans do not need to create flak for themselves. 

Are the French TOUGHER on Iran than the US - Middle East


Lets Get Real:

Who would have thought that is would be the French who were tough on Iran, the Obama Oval can smell a deal, it wants a deal at any cost, the French should stand up to Obama,  he will be out of Office in 2017, any failed deal will be left to the powers, thus better to be firm NOW, not later.   That kind of mess can lead to WAR.    The Gulf States are using their money and influence to make it clear to the French, that should they be tough they will gain long term economic and political influence that once the US held.    If POTUS wants to give up the leadership of the West, that is fine, but he does not get to say who takes over, its only an ego maniac who thinks he can control those kind of events.. 

The Daily Mail and Tony Blair - Middle East Peace


Lets Get Real:

Thus the one word that always comes up with Tony Blair is IRAQ, the destruction of the Saddam Hussein was a good development, the post war planning for Iraq was a disaster and Blair should have used his influence with Bush 43 to correct some of the mistakes of the US in Iraq, like dissolving the Army, that caused years of blowback through the killing of US and UK and troops with the help of Iran.   On the other hand US/UK action in Kosovo prevented mass murder, this also showed the good that Blair could do, getting the US in to action to prevent the march of the Serbs.   Also there is the peace deal in Northern Ireland, Mr Blair spent, hours, days, weeks, months, even years on this deal.  Also a good development.   Thus this blog's view of Blair is mixed, a great politician, he did win three elections for Labour, he did take action as mentioned above, but then we come to Iraq, the Western failure to build a strong and united Iraq, and thus the growth of IS, but it should be noted that the growth of Islamic State is down to the Obama Oval, it removed troops in 2011, thus Bush43/Blair set the field for IS but its growth is down to the weakness of President Obama.   This blog hopes history will be kinder to Blair than his present critics allow, at least Blair tried. 

Tony Blair OUT as Middle East Envoy - Middle East


Lets Get Real:

As with Iraq there was a lot of hope that Tony Blair could achieve a lot more in the job outside its borders.   At the end a few economic developments and very much less hope that a Middle East Peace could be made between Israel and the Palestinian people.   The article notes the following, No-one is going to consider Tony Blair's period as Quartet envoy a resounding success.  But it can't be written off as a failure either, largely because of the mandate he was given. "   As most things with Blair, HOPE turns to failure.