Gaddafi Forces threaten Ajdabiya

Guardian: Reports that Gaddafi forces have reversed the recent success of the Eastern Libyans and are now on the road to Ajdabiya. Thus if the Gaddafi forces take Ajdabiya, the recent Allied attacks in Libyan would have been pointless and worse a waste of money. Lets be clear the Gaddafi forces are second rate if not third rate, but they do have a structure, the rebels are just rebels, it will take months to train them, to create a command structure, thus the argument for troops on the ground, this would end the matter, the Gaddafi forces would get the fact that its OVER, the UK and France would never allow their troops on the ground to lose, even Obama would have no choice, he would have support his Allies, the UK and France, he could not be on the same page as Gaddafi and get re-elected next year. Thus time for the UK and France to call the Obama bluff, even he would not be able to defend not supporting the UK and France on the ground, its brutal politics at the end of the day. The UN resolution 1973 does not prevent a limited boots on the ground operation, the Allies of the willing should send in troops and clear this mess up fast. Otherwise Gaddafi wins and Obama is out in 2012.

The Libyan Front

Telegraph: Reports that the Eastern Libyan rebels have been pushed out of the oil town of Ras Lanuf. This is what you get when you have a limited strategy folks, if not serious and deadly it would be a farce, the rebels advancing and then on the retreat. The Oval Office and No. 10 will have to look at the domestic consequences of this action, while the UK is going through the biggest cuts since World War 2 it is in a second war that has no end. The US is fourteen trillion in debt and is in three Wars, Afghanistan, Iraq and of late Libya. Thus can the Obama, Cameron afford a long war, how can they justify cuts at home if they are spending million every week on Libya, to fight a farcical war in many respects. This blog is calling for limited small scale boots on the ground operation, lets finish off Colonel Gaddafi and allow the Libyan people to elect who they want, its called democracy. Otherwise as Bush 43, Blair and Brown found foreign wars can damage you while in office and be drag on your reputation after you leave office. Lets WIN this if we are going to WIN this WAR.

56% Disapproval Rating for POTUS - Rasmussen

Rasmussen Reports: Has the latest on its daily tracking poll, if your in the Oval don’t look, POTUS has a 56% disapproval rating, while 43% approve of Obama’s job performance. If this trends in to next year or just more milder then POTUS is finished, no way back, the Democrats by mid way through next year will see how its going, if Obama has a chance, they will want him to visit their districts and states, if no chance then Obama will have a very lonely time in the White House, US politics is brutal folks, if Obama is a goner in election terms the Democrats will run for the Hills. At the end of it all POTUS could end up with a nice picture and a big pension and not much else, that’s Democracy folks.

48% Disapproval Rating for POTUS - Gallup

Gallup: Reports on its latest daily tracking poll for the job performance of President Obama, its not good news for the Oval folks, President Obama has a 48% disapproval rating, while 45% approve of the job performance of President Obama. Thus we are heading in to the election cycle for next year folks, on the Presidential Desk at the moment folks there is Libya, Afghanistan till 2014, Iraq till end of the year, then the constant threat from terrorism. Also on the domestic front ObamaCare is under threat from being thrown out by the US Supreme Court. At its most basic folks POTUS has lost that independent vote that got him elected, he needs some or all of them back or he is another Jimmy Carter. The economy has an unemployment rate of 8.9%, those working part time or under employed has the rate at around 16% or more, it can be argued that Wall Street has come back also the banks, but Main Street is in the gutter or just on life support. The problem the President has is simple folks, when he pushed through heath care reform against the will of the US voter he lost their trust, he has not gotten it back yet, the question is can he ever get it back, this blog has its doubts.

Amateur Army vs. the Gaddafi Professional Security Forces

Guardian: Reports that the advancing rebels in Libya have been forced back by the Gaddafi Security forces at the town of Bin Jawad. This is when it gets complicated for the Allies folks, the rebels are now in Gaddafi supporting areas of Libya. The UN resolution called for the protection of the Libyan people from attacks from Colonel Gaddafi, but the rebels have to take the Sirte the birthplace of Colonel Gaddafi before they can support Misrata, the people of Sirte from reports support the Gaddafi regime, thus the rebels are hitting Sirte with weapons that will cause damage and could cause death to the people of Sirte. Thus what do the Allies do, back to boots on the ground folks, a professional Army could go around Sirte and support the rebels in Misrata, this operation could last just a few days if the Allies are willing to go in hard, really hard folks and view the UN Resolution at it’s most liberal. Otherwise this could take weeks, even months, and Gaddafi could regroup and attack the East again, are the Allies going to wait months, modern warfare as shown in Iraq is no support to political leaders. Thus the need for a Max Strategy and to WIN.

Misrata under more ATTACKS

Telegraph: Reports on comments by the UK Coalition PM David Cameron at the Libyan Conference in London, the PM stated that Misrata is under attack form the land and sea. The case of Misrata is why Gaddafi cant be allowed to stay in power, the man is a second division Hitler or Stalin, take your pick. The people of Libya would never be safe with Gaddafi still in power, it can be argued that Gaddafi is waiting the Allies out, he is hoping to get in to an American election cycle, also that the Sovereign debt crisis of Europe will divert the Allies from Libya. Thus Gaddafi has to be taken out, one way or another, in box would be nice.

Arming the Libya Rebels - Libya

Read an alarming report from ABC News that the US might arm the Libyan rebels, the source was the US UN’s Ambassador Susan Rice. This would be a major mistake, the historical case study that it brings to mind is the following, Afghanistan = Cold War = Taliban/Al Qaeda. Lets be clear not against arming the rebels on the whole, but it should be old low grade stuff, nothing that can be turned on a Western Army in the future. The rebels have to be trained and armed, they are not going to overthrow Colonel Gaddafi on their own. The Libyan War is a Civil War, lets make sure that those replace Gaddafi are secular democrats, not religious nuts as occurred in Iran in 1979. If Air power on its own cant take down the Mad Dog then the Allies will have to look again at ground troops, nothing big, but a small professional forces made up of Special Forces from the US, UK and France, they should be used to help the rebels in the Gaddafi supporting areas of Libya. Otherwise folks this conflict could last well in to next year, and next year is a Presidential Election year.