Monday, August 19, 2024

Ukraine's Russian Offensive Update - Ukraine - Russia War - Biden Era


Lets Get Real:

The Kyiv and Moscow Governments have a problem, the Kyiv Regime is losing ground in the East of Ukraine, while Russia faces its first invasion since 1941.   One should recall that Russian has the man power, even if the smart ones have LEFT, while Kyiv needs supplies from the US and its Allies.   Thus far the above article states that the Ukraine plan for the Russians to divert troops from the Ukraine has not happened, for that to happen the Ukraine needs to push forward, go as far as they can, and start to undermine the Putin Regime, create a free press in the buffer zone, and Radio with the ability to undermine the Putin PR.   The Ukraine Army cannot win in Russia, but it can make the Putin regime very nervous, undermine the confidence of the Russian people, make them ask questions of the Regime, the Ukraine might get lucky with another Coup in Russia by the elite this time, make them understand that their interests are under threat.

US Calls on Hamas to agree to a Ceasefire in Gaza - Middle East Crisis - Biden Era and in search of Legacy


Lets Get Real:

The final decision on a ceasefire will not be taken in Gaza or in Israel, it will be taken by Iran, if they agree and push HAMAS to accepting a deal, it will show they are not ready to take on the US and other Israel other Allies.   This will push any war down the road, and there will be a war if Iran is close to getting the bomb or has the bomb, let's recall that Iran is helping the Russians with its drones, in return it can be postulated that Russian tech will be shard by Russian on placing nuke warhead on missiles.   This is not something that any Israeli Government would be able to countenance NOW or in the future.   The point of a ceasefire is to save the lives of those stuck in Gaza and allow the liberal elite reporters who loath Israel to feel  that they have helped saved lives in the short term.   Nothing last forever, even the theocracy in Iran, who thought that the USSR would go away, to the ash heap of history, we need another Reagan in the White House. 

US Secretary of State in POSITIVE talks with Israel over Ceasefire - Middle East Crisis - Biden Era


Lets Get Real:

Thus it is up to Hamas a terrorist group to budge, for this we have to hope that Iran does not want a war or to strike Israel, a strike on Israel could lead to a regional war and further action by Hezbollah in Lebanon.   The DNC Convention is happening this week, one assumes that if a deal could be made it would be announced on Friday before the VP speaks.  It would make the Biden legacy better, but then you have to trust Hamas will do the right thing, they bombed Israel last night, so one does wonder what this week will bring.   Hope might be in short supply this week when it comes to the Middle East. 

Sunday, August 18, 2024

US Secretary of State back in the Middle East Crisis - Biden Era and in Search of a legacy!


Lets Get Real:

Hope is not on the cards, neither Hamas a terrorist group want a peace that removes their influence in Gaza and Israel a Democratic State, is not interested in trust with Hamas.   The question is what does Iran want, does it want a regional WAR or is it afraid of a US/Israeli strike should it prevent a deal.   The US will either force Iran to give up its nuclear weapons, let's postulate that it has the bomb already, or the US/Israeli will have to strike Iran, so its down to WAR or TALKS, as Churchill state Talks are better than War, as long as a the talks do not push the war down the line, and Russia supplies Iran with the tech to place a nuclear warhead on a missile, it would only take one bomb to destroy Israel, and let's recall that ISRAEL also has the bomb.  Tricky days ahead. 

Friday, August 16, 2024

A Deal on Gaza on the cards ? - Middle East Crisis - Biden Era


Lets Get Real:

This is President Biden saying this, I would not trust Biden to say if it is night or day,  someone closer to the to the talks sees some sunlight at the end, there will be further talks next week in Egypt, one can only hope.   A fair deal, if you can have a fair deal with monsters of 7th of October, would have the hostages released, and Israel allowing some other authority to take charge of Gaza, it cannot be HAMAS.  Thus one can assume that the direct threat to Israel is over, in less Iran wants a WAR with Israel and the West.   Thus POTUS might add to his shaky legacy, as long as hostages are released and Gaza can see an end to the death.   The US dealing with Iran its bomb will come later, on our terms not theirs. 

Ukraine Update - 2024 Candidates/2024 General Election- Biden Era

 BBC News: Reports on how the Biden White House is dealing Ukraine invasion of Russia.

Lets Get Real:

The Ukraine policy has been a success for POTUS, after the Afghanistan disaster and the on going  Israeli WAR in Gaza, Biden needs a success  before the November election, as it would help VP Harris in her fight with Trump.  The former President would give Putin what he wants,  Thus Ukraine has to win in Russia, defeat is not an option.

Thursday, August 15, 2024

Ceasefire Talks to continue on Friday - Middle East Crisis - Biden Era

 Guardian: Reports that ceasefire talks will carry on over Friday.

Lets Get Real:

At what point will the West deal with a nuclear armed Iran,  they must have the bomb  by now, better on our terms, than the theocracy in Iran's terms, strike when they are weak, once they have the  bomb they are another North Korea, another THREAT to Western Security and the region.  TIME is not our side! Reality is HARSH!  The 1930s showed that appeasement gets you WAR, Russia is getting Drones from Iran, in return Russia could be helping Iran to have ICBM's, the threat is to much for the West, we need our own Churchill and fast.