Sunday, August 21, 2016

The Money and US Elections - Election 2016


Lets Get Real:

One does have to wonder what the Trump Campaign is playing at, they have left the field for the HRC Campaign to run adverts for weeks in the swing States and its only now that Trump starts with his own adverts.   Also as the article notes, Separately, the New York Times said an investigation had revealed Mr Trump's firms were at least $650m in debt. ".   Thus the question is Trump a real billionaire or is the NYT justing fishing for the Trump tax records.   It can be stated that if Trump loses his lack of adverts to match HRC could be a reason, thus making TRUMP  a big LOSER.

Friday, August 19, 2016

Trump in Louisiana - Election 2016


Lets Get Real:

This is Trump being Presidential, the question is it to late for such a pivot in the campaign, Reagan did not need the Presidency to be Presidential, while Trump needs the job to become Presidential. The liberal press will still be critical, and will barely look at the Clinton Campaign and the ransom paid by the Obama Oval to Iran.   This blog is still supporting HRC, but the Campaign has to act as if its 10% behind otherwise it could be a disaster for HRC and Western security.

Corbyn will NOT DEFEND NATO Countries - Labour Leadership Contest


Lets Get Real:

At some point a majority of Labour MPs will have to cut bait, there can not be a real relationship between Corbyn's Labour Party and the more moderate Labour MPs.  After the leadership election the majority of Labour MPs will have to split and form a  new Party.   Otherwise Labour as a political party will spend decades on the outside.  It is healthy for a Democracy for there to be a real Opposition, the present Labour Party is a joke.  NATO is a key foreign policy stone of Western security, the resistance to Labour of keeping the UK's word to NATO is a major threat to Western and Eastern European security.


The troubles of the Trump Campaign - Election 2016


Lets Get Real:

In fact Mr Manafort had been demoted when the Donald Trump overhauled his campaign, the latest resignation could be down to the links between Mr Manafort and the pro Russian Regime in the Ukraine that was overthrown by a popular revolt.   Last night Mr Trump gave a good speech which he stated he regretted some of his remarks and kept to attacking the Obama Administration and HRC.   The prediction of this blog that HRC would win is not a 100%, its politics after all, and a week is a long time in politics.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

On the road to be a LOSER = Donald Trump


Lets Get Real:

Let us take it for granted that HRC will win BIG in 2016, the question is does she have long coattails, will she turn the House and the Senate Democratic, if she wants to work the D.C system then she should make sure that she helps the Democrats in both Houses, it is a lot easier to govern if Congress is run by one Party.   The problem that HRC could face is that voters could vote for HRC and then to make sure she is kept in check vote for the Republicans on the ballot.    As the article notes the last BIG win was in 1984, in that election the Gipper won 59% of the vote, 49 States and 525 electoral votes.  One has doubts that Clinton will get that, thus she would work to get herself elected and Dems in the Congress, then she can govern.

The Trump Campaign Overhaul - Election 2016


Lets Get Real:

It does not matter how many times to overhaul the Campaign, if you're stuck with a candidate who does listen, in 1980 Reagan overhauled his Campaign in NH after losing in Iowa, the rest is of course history.  The Donald is no Reagan, the question is can the Trump learn, thus far it does not look good.   IF the Donald wants to win, he will use prepared speeches and keep to them, will stick to the message of the day, and will hit the swing States with plenty of adverts.   This blog has predicted a HRC win, let us hope HRC does not take the polls of today as the final result, there is a lot that can happen over the next 80 or so days. 

Owen Smith and Daesh Talks - Labour Leadership Election


Lets Get Real:

What one can one say, the Labour leadership contender has shown himself to be a political fool, these kind of remarks are the reason that the Labour Party are so down in the polls.   Even the uber left winger Jeremy Corbyn has not gone that far, this shows how out of touch Smith is, he should have come to the issue from the right, killing off Daesh not talking to them, the Conservative Party must be laughing their backside off, the next election will be a walk over.