Threat to the USA by Iran

New York Times: Reports that Iran has made a direct threat on the military bases of the USA in the region if its attacked by Israel. The more Iran heats the row up, more a chance of an accident, a USA ship mistaking a move by a ship from Iran as a threat and attacking, this is the time for Iran to cool the water or WAR could be the end result.

Obama v Clinton

Time: Article on how Clinton supporters do not worship at the feet of Obama, and how they should if they want to win. The problem is that Clinton could have won the General Election and Obama on the whole has a good chance but its not a absolute. Time is long in a Campaign.

Newsweek and Polls

Newsweek: Ironic article, Newsweek are trying to explain why one of their polls had Obama leading by 15%, now down 3%. Read and understand why the Liberal Elite Media is in the toilet for Obama. God forbid that McCain should win, the staff at Newsweek would have take a year off to recover, perhaps McCain should throw them off the press plane, why bother to have them if they are a wing of the DNC and the Obama Camp.

New Polls and the 08 Race

Lets have a look at the weekend Polls folks, who is up and who is down and who needs to watch the West Wing more, season 6 and 7.

Newsweek: A new poll from the Liberal Newsweek, well it seems that their last poll which had Obama in double point lead over McCain was very much an outrider. A new Poll has the following results, Obama 44% - McCain 41%. Thus another 3% margin between the candidates. As stated this is going to be a very close race, if you want a feel for the Campaigns watch the last season of the West Wing, the closes they ever got to real politics and very accurate.

Gallup: Reports that Obama has taken a six point lead over McCain. As from their last tracking poll period Obama is ahead by an extra three percent. The poll finds the following, Obama 48% - McCain 42%. It can be postulated that the Obama Camp should be quite happy, their candidate had never been behind McCain and he has on the whole not fallen below 45%, but as stated a few times, the race is still to close and Obama needs to make his big leads last. On the other hand McCain is still in the race, but has a problem getting over the 45% mark. McCain needs to keep on message and make sure his supporters can keep to the Campaign message.

Rasmussen Reports: Reports a tied race between Obama and McCain. The poll finds the following, Obama 47% - McCain 46%. It can be postulated with the tensions with Iran and the economy in the toilet that the folks are looking for someone with a safe pair of hands to lead the USA. This view if develops could help McCain more than Obama. In a rather ironic way, the worse things look, people will turn to the older guy, that being McCain. Lets see the polls at the end of the week.

Drudge On Iran Test

Drudge Report: Has more on the Iran Missile Test. In one word it was a con, and on the whole not a very good con. Iran should learn from the mistakes of Iraq, you don't con this President and more important you don't con Israel. This type of illusion could have caused a War in the Middle East.

Update: Con = Confidence Trick

The Polls for the 08 Race

Lets have a look at the polls folks.

Gallup: Reports that Obama holds a narrow 3% lead over McCain. In a match up the poll finds the following, Obama 46% - McCain 43%. As argued before in a close race Obama will lose, you have to take in to consideration those that lie when asked who they will vote for in November. Obama needs to get a bigger lead and to keep it, if this is the race going in to Election Day, Obama will lose the election. McCain is doing well even with all the negatives against the Republicans.

Rasmussen: Also shows a Obama lead over McCain by 3%. The poll finds the following, Obama 48% - McCain 45%. It can postulated that the move by Obama to the centre could have upset his base but also showed he just another politician on the make, this could have hurt him with Moderate Republicans and Independents. The next big call for Obama is his VP, perhaps he will have to take Hillary Clinton, he needs her voters and her money. The question would the Liberal base take such a move, would the change candidate became the Establishment candidate and what about Bill Clinton. This is a race for Obama to lose, this will be a long race for Obama.

The Left and Reality

RCP: Interesting article by Bob Beckel on how Obama has moved to the centre and how his fan base is not happy. It can be argued that the move has been fast, recent polls have shows Obama even with McCain. The move to the centre and right on some Issues had to happen as Obama wants to get elected President, but his fans bought the hype, he is from Chicago, that is tough politics, winning is all that matters, and that is a lesson that Obama has learnt perhaps to well but its good politics.