VP Harris leads Trump by 4% - New Poll - 2024 Candidates/2024 General Election

The Hill: Reports the following, " Harris tops Trump by 4 points in new national poll......Economist/YouGov poll released Thursday. Harris leads with 49 percent to Trump’s 45 percent  "

Lets Get Real:

This blog is somewhat iffy of polls that show Harris with such a lead, if it was true it would mean that Harris is expect to win big in November, most of the national polls and State polls show a race that have the candidates at tied or with Harris leading by 1% or 2%.  Of course a week is a long time in politics, the Harris campaign has had the candidate on media shows, thus countering the argument that Harris has kept to safe ground.  The View is hardly Fox News, as liberal as they come, if Harris did Fox News that would be shocking.  If Trump is behind in the last two weeks expect him to agree to a 2nd debate with Harris.   The first debate was a win for Harris, a 2nd win would give her the Presidency. 

POTUS " ironclad commitment to Israel’s security. " - Middle East Crisis - Biden Era

White House: Readout of President Biden's call with the Israeli PM, " Readout of President Joe Biden’s Call with Prime Minister Netanyahu of Israel..President Biden spoke this morning with Prime Minister Netanyahu of Israel.  Vice President Harris joined the call.  The President affirmed his ironclad commitment to Israel’s security.  He condemned unequivocally Iran’s ballistic missile attack against Israel on October 1st.  On Lebanon, the President emphasized the need for a diplomatic arrangement to safely return both Lebanese and Israeli civilians to their homes on both sides of the Blue Line.  The President affirmed Israel’s right to protect its citizens from Hezbollah, which has fired thousands of missiles and rockets into Israel over the past year alone, while emphasizing the need to minimize harm to civilians, in particular in the densely populated areas of Beirut.  On Gaza, the leaders discussed the urgent need to renew diplomacy to release the hostages held by Hamas.  The President also discussed the humanitarian situation in Gaza and the imperative to restore access to the north, including by reinvigorating the corridor from Jordan immediately.  They agreed to remain in close contact over the coming days both directly and through their national security teams.  "

Lets Get Real:

This readout of the talk is interesting, POTUS confirmed his ironclad commitment to Israel and that he would stay in contact with the Israeli PM directly and their national security teams also keep in contact.  ONE DOUBTS that Israel wants to anger the Biden White House in case VP Harris wins in November, thus one can assume the targeting of Iran's nuclear sites is off the list, also the oil facilities.  Then what, a cyber attack could be on the cards, and hitting Regime buildings at night to prevent innocent people getting killed.  The Israeli Defence Secretary stated that the Iranian attack of the 1st had failed, no one was hurt, no heavy damage to buildings either, thus no need to go heavy in return.  Interesting few days ahead. 

Israeli counter Sltrike will be surprising- Israel- Middle East Crisis - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports in its 6.45pm post that the Israeli Defence Minister has stated the Israeli strike on Iran will be deadly, precise and surprising.

Lets Get Real:

EVERY professional commentator and blog will try to work out what the Minister means, one assumes some kind of cyber attack, combined with air attack from the air, with special forces on the ground.  Thus important enough to hurt Iran, without a full war breaking out, as the Minister stated the Iranian attack of last week failed to do any damage, Israel was helped by the US. One thinks Biden will be happy, no strike on Iran's nuclear sites this time.

Israeli Defence Minister BLOCKED from going to the US Defence Department - Middle East Crisis - Biden Era

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 9.14pm post the following, " 

Netanyahu 'blocks Israeli minister's visit to Pentagon......

Benjamin Netanyahu barred him from travelling to the US until Joe Biden spoke with the prime minister, Israeli news outlet Haaretz reported...It cited sources familiar with the matter as saying Mr Netanyahu also insisted the security cabinet approve military action against Iran beforehand. "

Lets Get Real:

It seems from the above that the Israeli PM does not trust his Defence Minister not to follow what the Biden Oval wants.   This would show the level of distrust between the Israeli PM and POTUS.  The PM wants the security Cabinet approve the attack plan before such a visit and POTUS should get over any anger he has towards the PM and pick up the phone.   Does this mean that Israel wants to go after the nuclear sites in Iran, something that POTUS does not want, could this be the delay that is preventing the visit, is the Israeli PM afraid his defence minister will go native in Washington D.C.   The Israeli Government has delayed the attack so far, it needs to act or Iran will think that Israel is to weak to stand up to Iran.

VP Harris LEADS Trump by 3% - 2024 Candidates/2024 General Election - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports in its 11.09am post that a new NYT poll shows VP Harris leading Trump by 3%, 49% to 46%.

Lets Get Real:

This is a good poll, month before the election, the VP in her 60 Minutes interview she said that Trump would surrender the Ukraine to Russia, her Israel answer was more evasive, support for Israel if not for the present PM.  Those swing States have a high level of Arab voters and supporters, thus far so good for the  VP, a week is a long time in politics.

VP Harris TIED with Trump on 47% with likely voters - 2024 Candidates/General Election - Biden Era

Yahoo!News: Reports on its latest poll, " Among likely voters, the vice president’s lead vanishes entirely (47% to 47%).  "

Lets Get Real:

The American voters is tired of the celebrity run campaign of the VP, they want her to do tough interviews, she is running the 2020 campaign of POTUS, in that campaign Biden was hidden in his home bunker, the press covered for him due to the fact they hated Trump and of course it was the period of COVID - 19.   They want to know more about the VP, they think they were sold a con in 2020, if the election had been a typical election one does wonder if Biden would have been elected.  There are reports that former President Barack Obama will do a weeks campaign for her, its late and you cannot transfer charisma, political class acts like Obama do not like  to share the stage, Obama was the first African - American President, now  if Harris is elected, his achievement will not be that special.   The Wars in the Middle East could damage the Harris run, the Biden line is to support Israel, even if he cannot stand the Israeli PM, its mutual, it might effect the ethnic vote in the Swing States.  Former President Trump is on the side of Israel.  An interesting few weeks ahead.   This blog is keeping to the projection that Harris will win.

What to do about Iran - Middle East Crisis - Biden Era

 Noted: Remembering the 7th of October, we who support Israel, should also support them when they have to make the tough decisions.

BBC News reports in its 4.33pm post on the options Israel has when it comes to a counter strike on Iran.

Lets Get Real 

The article goes through the various options, from economic , leadership to the strategic options of military such as Iran's  nuclear sites.  If Jerusalem wants to send a hard message it will hit Iran's nuclear sites  these are the last resort of the Evil Regime, take them out before they become the 1st option.  The future is bleak with a nuclear armed Iran