Tuesday, September 08, 2009

Karzai WINS now What ?

BBC News: Reports that President Hamid Karzai of Afghanistan has won re-election by passing the 50% mark of the votes casted. The problem is the claim of fraud on massive scale in favour of President Karzai. The real question is not if there was fraud, there was, the election was a Chicago Fix for Karzai, in other words allies of the President stuffed ballots in his favour and political deals done by Karzai with tribal leaders for their tribal votes. The question is what is the Obama Administration going do with the election, Karzai will claim victory, he will not want to fix another election, and he will fix the run off if he has to, Karzai needs the protection of the security of the Presidency, otherwise he becomes a easy target for the Taliban/Terrorists. Thus Obama has a problem, Karzai is the new Diem, does Obama keep him on board and try to work with him and around him or does get a new President. If the Obama Administration wants a new President this will be seen as Imperial rule, aka British Empire. Also Karzai has sent a warning to the White House, the London Times reported that he wants talks with moderate Taliban, what he might consider moderate might not go down well the Obama White House. Thus as stated at the start of the election process that Karzai would win, well it has happened, the Obama Administration has a pivotal choice to make, keep Karzai or give the green light for a new President, JFK got in wrong August of 1963 and gave the green light to overthrown Diem, lets hope Obama does not make the same mistaken he should support Karzai, better the devil you know as the old saying goes, in Afghanistan mistakes can lead to disaster.

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