Ceasfire Agreed between Israel and Hezbollah - Update

Fox News: Reports the following, " Netanyahu threatens strikes in Beirut if Hezbollah fails to halt attacks " 

Let's Get Real:

POTUS made the call to Israel not to attack Beirut in Lebanon, a concession to the Hawks in Iran.  The Israeli PM has agreed to the Trump Oval request only as long as Hezbollah does not attack Northen Israel.  The problem is that Trump's words often do not match reality.  There is a suppose ceasefire already between Israel and Hezbollah already, it has not worked since the start.  This when lack of Presidential Credibility is a worry, does Trump's words have any power, is any one afraid of Trump NOW?  Israel has been thrown under the bus, but they will act if Hezbollah fires more Drones at Northen Israel.  This story is never over, it has not been in decades. 

Silence by Iran will not lead to resumption of War - Trump - Update

Fox News: Reports the following, " Trump says Iran 'going silent' in peace talks is not a problem: 'I can wait' "

Let's Get Real:

Thus Trump thinks he has the ability to outwait Iran, how about the Mid Terms or the threat by Iran to bomb Israel if their advance in Lebanon does not STOP.  It does not seem that Trump is in a rush to come down hard on Jerusalem, the Israeli PM is under pressure from his Allies to take out Hezbollah, even the Israeli opposition wants a tough policy.  Interesting hours and days ahead.

Iran to cut contact with the US over Israeli military action in Lebanon - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 2.33pm post the following, " Iran says no peace talks with US until Israeli operations cease "

Let's Get Real:

Thus we come to the escalation trap as mentioned in the last post, does Trump throw Israel under the bus and order that they leave Lebanon or does he resume attacks.  The last thing Trump wants is to be seen as a LOSER, he needs to support Israel or the Hawks on the Republican side in the US Congress will savage him in public, even the Democrats would attack him.  Time for Trump to find his inner Reagan and stand up to Iran their threats.

President Trump on US Attacks - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 6.17am post the following by President Trump, " Just sit back and relax': Trump claims critics undermine him in Iran negotiations "

Let's Get Real:

President Trump is feeling the heat of the WAR he started, there is economy and the rise in gas and groceries due to inflation, this is hitting Republican chances in the Mid Terms in November, if the Democrats take the House and Senate one can expect endless investigations and another Impeachment case before the Senate.  Then 2028 Presidential cycle starts, poor people of Iowa and NH will have endless candidates visiting.

New US - Iran Strikes - Update

BBC News: Reports " US says it struck Iranian radar sites as Kuwait reports missile and drone attacks "

Let's Get Real:

POTUS should stop saying peace is at hand, these recent strikes could go on for weeks, Trump has to sell the deal to Republican hawks in the US Congress, any weak deal will open the White House to charges of appeasement and Trump is a LOSER.  The loser bit is something Trump cannot handle.  Also as noted in previous post, there are competing factions in Tehran.  The Hawks in Tehran want to keep its nuclear stockpile and control of the Strait.  The more complex diplomacy needed, who will blink first.

Divisions in Iran - Update

Fox News: Reports the following, " Pezeshkian reportedly submits resignation letter to Supreme Leader's office: source " 

Let's Get Real:

Thus the President of Iran has offered his resignation due to the Revolutionary Guard having more powers.  No wonder the talks with are slow.  The assassination of the previous Supreme Leader has allowed the Religious military, the Revolutionary Guard to have more power, thus Trump faces the problem of having talks with a stable authority that can sign and keep agreements.  Interesting days ahead.

Trump wants changes in Iranian Peace Deal - Update

CNN: Reports the following, " president has insisted on tougher language surrounding Iran’s nuclear commitments and its pledge to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. "

Let's Get Real:

The endless talks are what a CNN commentator called an escalation trap, either Trump makes concessions or escalation of the war.  The Tehran Regime are past Masters at playing the West when it comes to nuclear talks, the Obama deal took two years to get done and its cost, thus the worry by Trump that he is being played and the Iranian Regime wants to unfreeze its assets held in banks due to American sanctions.  The White House has gone very quiet on the issue.