VP Vance to Pakistan for talks with Iran - Update

Fox News: Reports the following in a post, " Vance heading to Pakistan for negotiations about Iran this weekend, White House says "

Let's Get Real:

Thus if the ceasefire survives in till Friday, POTUS is sending his VP to Pakistan for talks with Iran.  The VP is known to have opposed the War with Iran.  The VP wants to run in 2028, the anti war base of MAGA, will want a deal.  The Oval wants any blame for failure to go to Vance, that is the point of VP's to take on unpopular issues, VP Harris had the border, Bush 41 had to deal with Ross Perot when he came to complain to the Reagan White House about the perceived issue that Vietnam was still holding American POW's from the Vietnam War.  President Reagan knew that Bush 41 knew him thus give the negative job of telling Perot that he was wrong to his loyal VP.  The aftershock was that Perot ran against Bush 41 in the 1992 Presidential Election.  The Gipper was wise, any problems send in the VP, thus no political hassle for the Oval.   Thus a major job for Vance and his career ambitions to be POTUS.

Tehran Threatening Ships in the Strait of Hormuz- Update

Guardian: Reports in its 3.30pm post the following, " Iranian navy threatens ships in strait of Hormuz without permission  " 

Let's Get Real:

This is a very fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran.  On the one hand you have Israel attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon, and you have Tehran confirming that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is still on going, against the ceasefire deal.  Will this ceasefire hold, it has to be asked.

Iran Threatens Ceasfire - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 3.23pm post the following, " Tehran will withdraw from ceasefire if attacks on Lebanon continue - Iranian state media "

Let's Get Real:

This will be hard one for Trump to deal with, Israel has made it clear that its war against Hezbollah in Lebanon is separate.  LAST YEAR, Trump ordered Israel planes back while they were in mid flight.  Does he have the same power now.  The CEASFIRE between the US and Iran is fragile, also the Israeli lobby is powerful in the US, can the Oval blackmail Israel this time? The post is an interesting development!

Update: Reports from the Guardian that President Trump has stated that Lebanon was not part of Ceasefire deal.  The President must be thinking of the November Mid Terms.  This statement means that Trump cannot pressure Israel to stop bombing Hezbollah in Lebanon.

US will work closely with Iran - Trump - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 12.32pm post the following, " Trump says US 'working closely' with Iran     "

Let's Get Real:

Both the US and Iran are claiming victory, either the two sides are delusional or not telling the TRUTH, the above post states the following, " Trump says Iran won't enrich uranium, and the US will work with Tehran to "dig up and remove all of the deeply buried (B-2 Bombers) Nuclear 'Dust.' " This is the reverse of the view in Iran, in their plan, Tehran gets to keep its nuclear stockpile.  The Americans claimed to have destroyed the long range missiles of Iran, that has not stopped Iran hitting Gulf States after the ceasefire went in to force.  Also Trump claims a Regime change, this has been contested by experts on the Region.  They might even be more ruthless form of a theocracy.  As to the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has declared they run it, Trump has a delusional thought of Iran and the US running the Strait.  The peace summit in Pakistan will meet on Friday! A hail Mary pass indeed.

Trump's correct TACO moment - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 11.38pm post the following, " Trump agrees to suspend bombing of Iran for two weeks "

Let's Get Real:

Trump has followed example of JFK over the Cuban Missile Crisis, as you will recall Kennedy did a secret deal with the USSR over their missiles in Cuba, in that deal the US would remove its missiles in Turkey and Italy after a few months, but in secret, the secret was kept for decades, while in public have the appearance of winning, such a deal is not possible in this day and age, Trump still has the problem of Iran's nuclear stockpile, if he lets them keep it, his Presidential Credibility will go up in smoke. The clock restarts, one assumes that Trump will declare victory, will Iran gives up its nuclear stockpile?

Pakistan Requesting two week deadline to Trump's threat to Iran and 2 week ceasefire - Update

Fox News: Reports the following in its latest post, " Pakistani PM urges Trump to extend deadline by 2 weeks "

Let's Get Real:

This is the off ramp for POTUS, it's easy for Trump, its the right thing to do on the diplomatic level and confirms Trump is TACO, Trump Always Chickens Out, also the American voter in general wants out of Iran, they care more about the domestic economy.  Everyone gets what they want, Trump gets the Strait of Hormuz open for oil tankers, and Iran's regime gets another two weeks in power. The Pakistani plan calls for a two week ceasefire, will POTUS and Israel go along with the plan?

Update: POTUS agrees to Pakistan's peace plan.  Thus a 2 week ceasefire, Trump has chickend out, as Churchill said, better to talk than WAR.  That still leaves of Iran's nuclear stockpile.

Trump' s End of Civilsation threat to Iran - Update

Sky News: Reports the following in its 1.13pm post  " A whole civilisation will die tonight': Trump warns Iran as Strait of Hormuz deadline looms "

Let's Get Real:

One does not expect such language from a US President.  Trump has been hanging around with to many tyrants from Russia to North Korea.  It is about time that the US Cabinet evoked the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution, that allows a President to be replaced by the VP.  This blog is NOT some Democratic WIMP, it is a proud Reagan supporter and always will be, but Trump has lost the plot, an American should never threatene the civilisation of a State, even if its Iran.