Israel to talk to Lebanon - Update

Fox News: Reports in the following post, " Israel agrees to talks with Lebanon on Hezbollah  "

Let's Get Real:

One would not be shocked if this is idea of Trump Oval, ceasefire talks in Pakistan could fall apart anyway, they have different agendas and thus the prospects are not great.  Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon is a side issue in the view of POTUS.  Thus not hard to place pressure on Israel when it comes to this subject.  IT would be Rude for Israel to bomb Lebanon and very Un-diplomatic when in talks.  Thus no bombing one can presume as long as Hezbollah does not bomb Israel.

Update: CNN and BBC News reports that Israel is bombing Lebanon again and targeting Hezbollah, what will Hezbollah do and more importantly Iran! Bombing and Diplomacy, interesting.

Iran's Nuclear stockpile - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 12.41pm post the following,  " Iran nuclear chief on restrictions to uranium enrichment: 'US and Israel demands will not come true' "

Let's Get Real:

This is the major issue for the US and Europe, a nuclear armed Iran cannot happen, this has been US policy for many US Adminstrations and Europe.  Tehran with the bomb would be another North Korea, the theocracy could strangle the Western Economy at any time through blocking the Strait of Hormuz, and the World could not do anything as Tehran would have the bomb and long range missiles as a shield.  This cannot be allowed to happen.

More THREATS from Iran - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 1.15pm post the following, " Iran's president warns more Israeli strikes on Lebanon will 'render negotiations meaningless "

Let's Get Real:

The President of Iran in normal days would not have much power.  The power is centered on the Supreme Leader, the new Leader is in a coma or dead.  Thus no one for sure knows who leads Iran at the moment.  The Theocracy placed power in many areas if the Supreme Leader is killed, thus we shall who turns up in Pakistan for ceasefire talks, Moderate by Iranian standards or a hard liner, and can they make decisions or do they have to go back Tehran for an answer.  Israel action in Lebanon could break the ceasefire, as Israel and the US have stated, Lebanon was not part of the ceasefire deal.

US stays in the Middle East and warning to Iran - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 4.57am post the following, " Trump says US forces to stay 'in place' until 'REAL AGREEMENT' complied with "

Let's Get Real:

This is a threat from Trump, US Armed Forces are loaded and ready to shoot.  The ceasefire is still on so far, Europe wants appease Iran, no great shock, the UK FCO is in full Appeasement mode, have they learned nothing from the 1930s and the Appeasement of Nazi Germany.  Israel and the US have made it clear that the war in Lebanon was not part of the ceasefire deal.  Thus we wait to see what Iran does now.

VP Vance to Pakistan for talks with Iran - Update

Fox News: Reports the following in a post, " Vance heading to Pakistan for negotiations about Iran this weekend, White House says "

Let's Get Real:

Thus if the ceasefire survives in till Friday, POTUS is sending his VP to Pakistan for talks with Iran.  The VP is known to have opposed the War with Iran.  The VP wants to run in 2028, the anti war base of MAGA, will want a deal.  The Oval wants any blame for failure to go to Vance, that is the point of VP's to take on unpopular issues, VP Harris had the border, Bush 41 had to deal with Ross Perot when he came to complain to the Reagan White House about the perceived issue that Vietnam was still holding American POW's from the Vietnam War.  President Reagan knew that Bush 41 knew him thus give the negative job of telling Perot that he was wrong to his loyal VP.  The aftershock was that Perot ran against Bush 41 in the 1992 Presidential Election.  The Gipper was wise, any problems send in the VP, thus no political hassle for the Oval.   Thus a major job for Vance and his career ambitions to be POTUS.

Tehran Threatening Ships in the Strait of Hormuz- Update

Guardian: Reports in its 3.30pm post the following, " Iranian navy threatens ships in strait of Hormuz without permission  " 

Let's Get Real:

This is a very fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran.  On the one hand you have Israel attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon, and you have Tehran confirming that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is still on going, against the ceasefire deal.  Will this ceasefire hold, it has to be asked.

Iran Threatens Ceasfire - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 3.23pm post the following, " Tehran will withdraw from ceasefire if attacks on Lebanon continue - Iranian state media "

Let's Get Real:

This will be hard one for Trump to deal with, Israel has made it clear that its war against Hezbollah in Lebanon is separate.  LAST YEAR, Trump ordered Israel planes back while they were in mid flight.  Does he have the same power now.  The CEASFIRE between the US and Iran is fragile, also the Israeli lobby is powerful in the US, can the Oval blackmail Israel this time? The post is an interesting development!

Update: Reports from the Guardian that President Trump has stated that Lebanon was not part of Ceasefire deal.  The President must be thinking of the November Mid Terms.  This statement means that Trump cannot pressure Israel to stop bombing Hezbollah in Lebanon.